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Who will win?
Moore! *grope*
Jones! *shrugs, looks around* who?
View Results
 
  • Locked thread
Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

sexpig by night posted:

if Moore does lose I'm gonna miss his little fancy cowboy act, between the gayest vest I've ever seen and the most pussy gun he whipped out to show how tough he is. Now riding his pretty little pony named Sassy. I'm gonna miss that dandy little bitch.

I will not.

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Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Doug Jones is inching up on PredictIt on news of turnout. Now sitting at 33c.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Main Paineframe posted:

how the gently caress did humanity live before twitter

Not well, but better.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Frijolero posted:

The only people I hate more than Republicans are horse-people.

Most horse-people are Republicans anyway.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
The centaur wing of th GOP

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Frijolero posted:

Zero people care about Roy Moore riding a horse.

They vote for him because he's anti-taxes, pro-guns, and pro-"life"

They barely care about those things either. They mostly like him because he triggers the buttmad libs

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Frijolero posted:

Are we talking about the online non-people or the actual voters?

I think a majority of his voters are going to be middle-aged, white people who only care about taxes and guns.

Both. Half of them would modify their "convictions" to match whatever their tribe decides is appropriate. The other half just really, really like playing with guns.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Pegapodes

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
I can't believe the Dems ran Dog "the Bounty Hunter" Jones. But it is Alabama, I guess...

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

I was about to post this. Exits point to an extremely close result.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Schnorkles posted:

it'll be within a couple either way.

Or the exits will be way off and it won't, haha

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
49% say allegations true or probably true, 45% say false or probably false per CNN

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Schnorkles posted:

Based on the way Moore won in 2012, I'd be surprised if it wasn't within 4 or 5.

Almost nothing would surprise me here

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Jones sitting at ~35% on PI after exits

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Typo posted:

that's where it was all day

It's inched up a couple points in the last hour (I'm averaging across markets, it varies from like 30-38).

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Joementum posted:

this is actually good.............. for bitcoin Jones!

https://twitter.com/FOX6Hardison/status/940711042346356741

If that's accurate then Jones will win.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Jones inching up to 38% on PI

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Typo posted:

meaningless variance imo

It's not, there's huge volume behind it

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Typo posted:

there's huge amount of meaningless variance on the stock market everyday if you follow minute by minute trading

People are buying Jones right now, dunno what else to tell you. Any meaning you ascribe is up to you.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

logikv9 posted:

I'm gay for JebCoin

And im Jeb! for GayCoin (our houses will never reconcile)

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Covok posted:

So, when everything is Bitcoin, will there be fedoras for everyone?

Insufficient power generation for both crypto algorithms and clothing manufacture, so no.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
The JebCoin!/Jeb!Coin fork

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Jones back to 30c on PredictIt.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Apparently Jones outspent Moore bigly on TV advertising.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

GunnerJ posted:

There was one guy giving Nate poo poo for doubting that Clinton had a 95% chance to win or some poo poo.

Sam Wang of PEC. He's been garbage for years and unsurprisingly was quite popular on D&D in the run-up to 2016.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Godinster posted:

lol 55% of Alabama supporters don't think the allegations are important

Holy gently caress just let it burn to the ground if it ever catches fire

Too swampy to burn.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Jones has slipped further on PI, now trading for about a quarter.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Here are some county benchmarks someone shared. Know despair before your friends!

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1c9-tuc5E1ZzTEqecVp0D-cpxu2ab3ug9_XEt6R9vMcw/htmlview?sle=true#gid=0

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
BULLOCK COUNTY drops a 95% D precinct

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Jones is going to win.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Vox Nihili posted:

Jones is going to win.

I lied btw

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
It's going to be insanely close. Gonna be regression towards the average in the urban areas for sure, not sure if NYT model accounts for that (it doesn't)

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Matt Zerella posted:

I'm happy as hell Moore lost but Doug Jones sucks rear end.

He's fine, way better than the average deep-red dem.

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Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

WampaLord posted:

Show me this mythical creature.

Bill Clinton back in the day is a good example. Turns out charisma and talent matter bigly.

  • Locked thread