There's a spectre haunting the PredictIt thread

The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > C-SPAM > There's a spectre haunting the PredictIt thread

IM DAY DAY IRL: Jul 11, 2003; Everything's fine.

Nothing to see here.

I sold off those 500 for a small profit but then flipped a coin last night and bought a couple shares right before going to sleep. oh well. Probably gonna withdraw everything and wait until midterms before jumping back in :shobon:

# ? Dec 22, 2017 18:40

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# ? Apr 26, 2024 11:20

Hufflepuff or bust!: Jan 28, 2005; I should have known better.

Congrats everyone on another successful market. Hope no one got left holding the pointy end.

# ? Dec 22, 2017 19:16

Hufflepuff or bust!: Jan 28, 2005; I should have known better.

Waiting on the end-of-year pennies.

# ? Dec 28, 2017 03:20

bawfuls: Oct 28, 2009

AL SoS has officially, for realsies, declared Doug Jones victorious. PredictIt is still waiting on.... something. Presumably it will resolve today.

edit: closed! :toot:

https://twitter.com/alanblinder/status/946466294769029122

https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/946458874382569472

bawfuls has issued a correction as of 23:03 on Dec 28, 2017

# ? Dec 28, 2017 21:18

KidVanguard: Jan 27, 2006; American Diaper

Is anyone in on the first cabinet member to leave? It�s gotta be Rex right?

# ? Jan 1, 2018 17:34

PIZZA.BAT: Nov 12, 2016

that's gonna be a real tough market due to how many of them are probably just there as a tax dodge and will resign the moment they pass the year mark. it's probably a gamble as to who's resignation will go through first

# ? Jan 1, 2018 20:59

life is a joke: Mar 7, 2016

public service... a noble calling

# ? Jan 1, 2018 22:48

Arkane: Dec 19, 2006; by R. Guyovich

Apparently if you're from Washington state, you can now sign up for PredictIt per a Reddit user.

Not sure about Nevada, but neither state is listed in the FAQ anymore as one where you can't fund an account...

# ? Jan 16, 2018 19:27

Solkanar512: Dec 28, 2006; by the sex ghost

Arkane posted:

Apparently if you're from Washington state, you can now sign up for PredictIt per a Reddit user.

Not sure about Nevada, but neither state is listed in the FAQ anymore as one where you can't fund an account...

About loving time! The state is otherwise really awesome though.

# ? Jan 17, 2018 04:42

Womyn Capote: Jul 5, 2004

Wheres the best money in the shutdown market?

# ? Jan 19, 2018 00:43

Arkane: Dec 19, 2006; by R. Guyovich

Womyn Capote posted:

Wheres the best money in the shutdown market?

doesn't exist

the odds of a shutdown changes hour by hour

# ? Jan 19, 2018 01:28

Vox Nihili: May 28, 2008

Arkane posted:

doesn't exist

the odds of a shutdown changes hour by hour

Has it been volatile? Volatility = money if you have the time to micromanage.

# ? Jan 19, 2018 01:37

Arkane: Dec 19, 2006; by R. Guyovich

Vox Nihili posted:

Has it been volatile? Volatility = money if you have the time to micromanage.

yes it is extremely volatile

# ? Jan 19, 2018 16:57

bawfuls: Oct 28, 2009

Not sure if I'd call this extremely volatile but there's something to work with here I suppose

# ? Jan 19, 2018 17:20

Arkane: Dec 19, 2006; by R. Guyovich

bawfuls posted:

Not sure if I'd call this extremely volatile but there's something to work with here I suppose

It started today at 30, has gone as high as 67, bounced from 67 to 50 to 60 to 45 to 58 to mid-40s and is back right now near 30 on news of a meeting with Schumer.

Ya it's extremely volatile

# ? Jan 19, 2018 18:55

Womyn Capote: Jul 5, 2004

I just don't understand how the price of shutdown yes is still around 60 cents? Is there still that much of a chance for a deal before Monday, or is there something in the rules that can gently caress it up?

# ? Jan 21, 2018 01:23

theres a will theres moe: Jan 10, 2007; Hair Elf

Do any of you have an excel formula you use to convert those goddamn parenthetical negatives in the trade history CSV into something that can actually be used in a calculation?

# ? Jan 21, 2018 04:48

theres a will theres moe: Jan 10, 2007; Hair Elf

I've submitted a request:

quote:

Hello,

In exporting one's trade history .csv, having negative currency values formatted as parenthetical values is an enormous pain in the rear end. I know of no software that natively identifies parenthetical values as being the negative of non-parenthetical, and setting up Excel or openoffice to handle this is a nightmare.

Please offer a version of the history .csv that outputs numbers in a format on which calculations can be performed, like "-$1.00" or "-1.00" instead of "($1.00)."

Alternatively, please suggest a spreadsheet program that can recognize the format currently offered.

Wish me luck

e: vvv thanks. I'll give that a try next time I'm checking up on how much i've lost!

theres a will theres moe has issued a correction as of 00:48 on Jan 22, 2018

# ? Jan 21, 2018 23:51

Notorious R.I.M.: Jan 27, 2004; up to my ass in alligators

mac or linux (or windows bash shell) can do it pretty quickly:

code:

sed 's/(\(.*\))/-\1/g' < input.csv > output_filtered.csv

# ? Jan 22, 2018 00:31

Vishass: Feb 1, 2004

Womyn Capote posted:

I just don't understand how the price of shutdown yes is still around 60 cents? Is there still that much of a chance for a deal before Monday, or is there something in the rules that can gently caress it up?

I think 40% of people assume the democrats are spineless and will fold. Fair assumptions.

Maybe I am confused, but my interpretation of the rules is congress has 4 more hours to make a deal. If the government is still shut down at 12:01est, employees were "furloughed on 1/22" regardless of if they wind up working or not because of some early morning bill.

# ? Jan 22, 2018 02:09

Vishass: Feb 1, 2004

I think I'm right. 1/22 just shot up from 60 to 90 YES.

# ? Jan 22, 2018 03:33

theres a will theres moe: Jan 10, 2007; Hair Elf

Senate just adjourned til tomorrow. 1/22 is yes

Predictit comments are hilarious

# ? Jan 22, 2018 03:34

Arkane: Dec 19, 2006; by R. Guyovich

Vishass posted:

I think 40% of people assume the democrats are spineless and will fold. Fair assumptions.

Maybe I am confused, but my interpretation of the rules is congress has 4 more hours to make a deal. If the government is still shut down at 12:01est, employees were "furloughed on 1/22" regardless of if they wind up working or not because of some early morning bill.

this isn't correct, but it's moot now

# ? Jan 22, 2018 05:53

theres a will theres moe: Jan 10, 2007; Hair Elf

1/22 best market ever
Never forget

# ? Jan 22, 2018 19:33

Arkane: Dec 19, 2006; by R. Guyovich

theres a will theres moe posted:

1/22 best market ever
Never forget

Might be a little while before they resolve it

# ? Jan 23, 2018 04:28

theres a will theres moe: Jan 10, 2007; Hair Elf

E: nvm

theres a will theres moe has issued a correction as of 02:29 on Jan 24, 2018

# ? Jan 23, 2018 05:04

Vishass: Feb 1, 2004

Arkane posted:

Might be a little while before they resolve it

I really have to remember to set everything to sell at like 97 cents

# ? Jan 23, 2018 20:03

Vishass: Feb 1, 2004

Oh good they resolved 1/22 as YES.

# ? Jan 25, 2018 16:18

Accretionist: Nov 7, 2012; I BELIEVE IN STUPID CONSPIRACY THEORIES

Edit: Nevermind, I overlooked the 'Rules' tab

# ? Jan 27, 2018 04:42

i say swears online: Mar 4, 2005

someone convince me not to hold jerome powell NO

# ? Jan 27, 2018 05:15

Accretionist: Nov 7, 2012; I BELIEVE IN STUPID CONSPIRACY THEORIES

Anyone think Trump will use the words, "fake news," or, "amnesty," in his SOTU?

# ? Jan 27, 2018 20:24

theres a will theres moe: Jan 10, 2007; Hair Elf

Accretionist posted:

Anyone think Trump will use the words, "fake news," or, "amnesty," in his SOTU?

I think a more interesting market would be whether he uses any three+ syllable words.

Too unpredictable to play

# ? Jan 28, 2018 02:05

FourLeaf: Dec 2, 2011

Accretionist posted:

Anyone think Trump will use the words, "fake news," or, "amnesty," in his SOTU?

Those two seem like real toss-ups.

Though everyone should be aware that in the "Obama" SOTU market, "a compound word consisting in part of such name (such as "Obamacare" or "Obamanomics") will not qualify." Which makes NO very underpriced imho.

# ? Jan 28, 2018 02:42

theres a will theres moe: Jan 10, 2007; Hair Elf

I do believe a 2/9 shutdown no is underpriced in the 70s but I have a tendency to lose all my money on a sure thing

# ? Jan 28, 2018 05:12

RandomPauI: Nov 24, 2006; Grimey Drawer

You bet on Clinton winning the election too huh? Gotta love the electoral college.

# ? Jan 28, 2018 05:36

theres a will theres moe: Jan 10, 2007; Hair Elf

RandomPauI posted:

You bet on Clinton winning the election too huh? Gotta love the electoral college.

That and the Manning pardon have been my biggest losses.

# ? Jan 28, 2018 06:02

dangling pointer: Feb 12, 2010

Any thoughts on the viewers for SOTU? I'm in the bottom two brackets personally.

I'm also in YES for Gorsuch and Mueller markets :rolldice:

dangling pointer has issued a correction as of 17:22 on Jan 30, 2018

# ? Jan 30, 2018 17:18

BrutalistMcDonalds: Oct 4, 2012; Lipstick Apathy

Trump mentioning Obama in the SOTU seems like a no. "Previous administration" etc.

Don't take this as gambling advice!

# ? Jan 30, 2018 21:48

BrutalistMcDonalds: Oct 4, 2012; Lipstick Apathy

I've got six bucks riding on it, though.

# ? Jan 30, 2018 21:56

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# ? Apr 26, 2024 11:20

Sheng-Ji Yang: Mar 5, 2014

dangling pointer posted:

Any thoughts on the viewers for SOTU? I'm in the bottom two brackets personally.

I'm also in YES for Gorsuch and Mueller markets

donald needs to start a war in the next couple of hours if he want to be 03 dubya

# ? Jan 30, 2018 21:59

The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > C-SPAM > There's a spectre haunting the PredictIt thread

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