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BeerSheetsBrownhat posted:No one deserves to win in a week 17 league.  Welcome back Fantasy Sports Fans, it's 2018. It's officially time to  Free League Hosting Services
Spoeank posted:Here's an updated twitter list for fantasy: Varg posted:Footballguys just emailed out an entire list of who to follow on twitter for every team's fantasy purposes.. I might actually pay attention to twitter now. I put it into an excel file in case anyone who's not subscribed to their mailings is interested. BeerGod feel free to add this to the OP too if you want Podcasts
 Introduction Fantasy Football is the ancient art of nerds pouring over statistics in the hopes of predicting how infinitely more athletic and successful men will perform over the course of a professional football game. In recent history it has become a billion dollar industry while infusing itself into the collective psyche of the NFL. Countless podcasts, articles, websites, and every other source under the sun have sprung up in support of what is essentially glorified socialized gambling. There's even a television show about a league. Fantasy Football is basically Dungeons & Dragons for The leagues themselves vary from friendly to insane, including at least one where the loser gets a tattoo chosen by the winner. Other leagues have pots worth hundreds of thousands of dollars, or byzantine rules about relegation, delegation, salary caps, and every other statistic under the sun. We are collectively insane, and we can't get enough. Fantasy Football itself is a lot of fun. Not only do you get to make a game out of watching football, but it also forces you to learn about the sport as a whole. I would never have known (or cared) that last year Darren McFadden was struggling with the Raider's transition from a power blocking scheme to a zone block until he became my first round draft pick and started costing me games. It makes you a better fan when you know all the players on the field. Dirt Worshipper said it best: Dirt Worshipper posted:Before I played fantasy I despised it. We all know the obnoxious guy at the sports bar in the Brady jersey, running in between TV’s screaming ”Throw Jennings the ball!”. They disagree fundamentally with the lessons our fathers taught us about football: You root for your home team, through good years and bad. The bad years are meant to be borne with grim fidelity, the good years are our reward. Fantasy was just wrong. The Basics A league consists of several owners (typically 12), one of whom is the commissioner who manages the league. At the beginning of the season each owner drafts a roster of players. Rosters are typically fifteen players and consist of starters and a bench of reserve players to replace starters who are injured or on bye weeks. A typical starting lineup that will mirror NFL positions and consist of 1 Quarterback (QB), 2 Running Backs (RB), 3 Wide Receivers (WR), 1 Tight End (TE), a Place Kicker (PK), and a Team Defense/Special Teams (DST). Each week your players will score points for your team according to their performance. Scoring can be very simple or incredibly complicated depending on the league, but many leagues use a standard scoring system where passing provides 1 point per 25 yards, 4 points per passing touchdown, and -1 point per interception and receiving and rushing gain 1 point per 10 yards, 6 points per receiving/rushing touchdown. Field goals are typically worth 3 points, and team defense scoring depends on a number of factors including sacks, interceptions, points allowed, defensive touchdowns, etc. Many leagues will use different scoring systems depending on the preferences of the players. One significant difference is PPR, or Points Per Reception, where wide receiver are awarded a set number of points (typically 0.5 or 1) for every reception. The league season will go for a set number of weeks during the regular NFL season. Typically the last two to four weeks of the regular season are reserved for the playoffs, and most leagues end on the sixteenth week because many NFL teams will sit their star players in Week 17 if the outcome doesn't matter. Variations There are many roster variations that different leagues will use. Many leagues use a flex position where different positions can fit into a slot. The most common form of flex position replaces the third WR position in the standard lineup above with a WR/RB/TE flex position. That means that any Wide Receiver, Running Back, or Tight End player could be used in that slot. Leagues where that flex position allows a QB are typically called "2 QB leagues" because quarterbacks typically score far more points that other players. Other leagues utilize IDP or Individual Defensive Players instead of Team Defenses. IDP players score points for tackles, sacks, interceptions, touchdowns, etc. Many leagues are several years old and include rules to provide continuity between seasons. In contrast to a redraft league where every player is drafted at the start of each season some leagues use keepers where team owners are allowed to keep a set number of players per year. Other leagues are dynasty leagues where the entire roster is kept from year to year. Typically dynasty leagues use much deeper benches and include a rookie draft. The Draft Every league starts with a draft, where team owner pick their players. There are two major types of draft; the snake draft and the auction draft. A snake draft is where every owner receives a draft position and then picks a player in order for a number of rounds equal to the roster size. It's called a snake draft because the order "snakes" back and forth each round. In other words the owner who picked last in the first round will pick first in the second. Auction drafts are where each team owner has a set budget and they bid for each player until everyone's roster has been filled. There are numerous drafting strategies out there, but ultimately the goal of any draft is to get the maximum amount of value for your players. Trades and the Waiver Wire While drafting is essential, the most successful teams typically win by taking advantage of the waiver wire and trades. Trading is precisely what it sounds like; players offer each other trades that are accepted or rejected. Many leagues incorporate an approval process to prevent collusion where two players will deliberately stack one team and then split the winnings; there is no universe where Adrian Peterson is worth Mark Sanchez. Depending on the league trading may either be nonexistent or commonplace. Many leagues will end trading several weeks before the playoffs begin. The NFL has hundreds of players and most of them will not be on a team roster. As players are injured or fall out of favor team owners will be forced to pick up free agents to replace them. To do this they use the waiver wire. Each week individual players are locked the moment their team starts their game. For the duration of this "waiver period" owners who wish to claim a free agent submit a "waiver claim." Owners who wish to make more than one waiver claim must indicate the priority of their claims. At the end of the waiver period (typically a day or two after the beginning of the new week) the league software checks the standings of the teams. Going in reverse order (worst standing to highest) the teams get their highest priority claim. If multiple teams have submitted waiver claims for the same player it will go the team with the lowest standing, and the other teams will get their lower priority claims. After the waiver period has ended every player is available to be claimed immediately. The waiver wire is extremely important. Alfred Morris, the 5th ranked running back of 2012, was a free agent in most leagues until the first week. Many owners use the waiver wire to "stream" defenses and other players based on that week's match.  Beer4TheBeerGod posted:Every year I put together a list of general suggestions for draft strategies, and the community provided some wonderful insight and updates. Now that the NFL draft is over and fantasy football season has started I thought it would be appropriate to revisit those ideas and put together some new thoughts and suggestions. Consider this a living document, and let me know what you think! Teemu Pokemon posted:If it's a 1 keeper league, the goal should just be to keep the best ADP bargain, or a top end stud like Brown or Johnson if you have one, and then just treat the draft and subsequent rankings as a redraft. Don't reach on young guys because it's a "keeper league" because it's not. Spoeank posted:DON'T 👏 DRAFT 👏 TIGHT 👏 ENDS 👏 Beer4TheBeerGod fucked around with this message at 23:35 on Apr 27, 2019 |
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Apr 29, 2018 01:15
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I think you are missing a pretty fantastic fantasy resource. 
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Apr 29, 2018 01:22
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welp, slow draft time, right? 
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Apr 29, 2018 04:44
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Sataere posted:I think you are missing a pretty fantastic fantasy resource. Write up a blurb then.
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Apr 29, 2018 05:43
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Is it too early for hot takes? I think I would rather have Saquon Barkley than Zeke Elliott this year.
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Apr 29, 2018 07:35
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Tiptoes posted:Is it too early for hot takes? There's a pretty strong correlation between RB draft round and their rookie performance. First round RBs have a really good history. Using half PPR: Leonard Fournette (2017): RB8 Christian McCaffrey (2017): RB11 Ezekiel Elliott (2016): RB2 Todd Gurley (2015): RB7 Melvin Gordon (2015): RB50 Trent Richardson (2012): RB2 Doug Martin (2012): RB8 David Wilson (2012): RBLOL Mark Ingram (2011): RB40 It seems like at least recently there is a trend. Given the limited lifespan of RBs teams are willing to draft early and then run them into the ground.
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Apr 29, 2018 13:14
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Trent Richardson was RB2 that year?!?!
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Apr 29, 2018 14:25
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The Zack posted:Trent Richardson was RB2 that year?!?! Yeah. There's a reason he was a first round pick in fantasy drafts the following year.
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Apr 29, 2018 16:07
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Thanks, Beer! Need just a few more for a slow draft. The only requirement is that you write a short blurb about your strategy going in, them analyze how it worked out after drafting is done. https://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3854617
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Apr 29, 2018 16:27
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Tiptoes posted:Is it too early for hot takes? That is a hot take. I think barkley will be overdrafted for his performance this year. Too many mouths to feed on that offense. Zeke, if healthy, is a top 3 RB I think.
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Apr 29, 2018 16:33
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Zauper posted:That is a hot take. I think barkley will be overdrafted for his performance this year. Too many mouths to feed on that offense. It shouldn't be at all controversial, Zeke easy pick over Barkley.
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Apr 29, 2018 19:48
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Zauper posted:That is a hot take. I think barkley will be overdrafted for his performance this year. Too many mouths to feed on that offense. On the other hand, I don't think Dallas has done nearly enough to help their team and Zeke isn't going to get any help on that offense. It's the Lesean McCoy-Bills conundrum, where an elite talent gets depressed by the system around them. All they've added at WR is Allen Hurns and 3rd rounder Michael Gallup and I don't have high expectations for a Hurns/Terrance Williams/Cole Beasley/Gallup group. TE is a huge question mark and a potential black hole after Witten's sudden retirement as well. As good as Zeke is, I don't like backs on offenses where the passing game can't contribute. So I'm thinking Dallas will take a step back this year and finish under .500. That makes me believe Zeke has a decent chance of disappointing if taken in the first. Shadow edit: I completely forgot Terrance Williams exists but who could blame me. Tiptoes fucked around with this message at 03:50 on Apr 30, 2018 |
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Apr 30, 2018 02:58
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Tiptoes posted:I don't think there will be a cap on Barkley, even as a rookie. He's the best back in the history of Yards Created. Interesting analysis there, but I think it actually dampens my expectations relative to the crazy hype I've been reading about him. Barkley had some fairly poor rushing games this year, and in the sorts of metrics that article looks at, he's basically an all around back similar to (or slightly better than) Mixon, Hunt, or Zeke, but with poorer inside running. If you bump up Penn State's oline yards blocked to the college average, Barkley's ypc up the middle bump up to...almost average. NYG definitely isn't the dream landing spot Dallas was for Zeke his rookie year either. Maybe he makes up for it enough with receiving, but in redraft I'm definitely taking a handful of RBs before him and in dynasty (especially superflex) I'm going to try to trade out of 1.01 if I can get a haul.
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Apr 30, 2018 05:44
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Zauper posted:That is a hot take. I think barkley will be overdrafted for his performance this year. Too many mouths to feed on that offense. Too many mouths to feed? For the Giants? Without OBJ last year, the only offense they outproduced was the Browns. With Benjamin back, they now have 2 mouths to feed. With Zeke I worry a bit about the lack of any real receiving answer for DAL. On the other hand, it's pretty widely acknowledged that Dez hasn't been good for a couple of years, so I wonder how much that'll really impact things. Hurns doesn't seem like the guy to open it all up, but he's been a 1000 yard receiver more recently than Bryant.
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Apr 30, 2018 18:14
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My keeper league currently keeps trades in an excel spreadsheet, and chats via SMS. It's not ideal. Has anyone made good software for off-season trading & chatting?
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Apr 30, 2018 18:15
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Fansy posted:My keeper league currently keeps trades in an excel spreadsheet, and chats via SMS. It's not ideal. Why not just use MFL for the league so you can do things year to year. It also has a built in chat function, but I use GroupMe and Slack for most of my leagues.
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Apr 30, 2018 18:26
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Ben Nevis posted:Too many mouths to feed? For the Giants? Without OBJ last year, the only offense they outproduced was the Browns. With Benjamin back, they now have 2 mouths to feed. You're also forgetting Evan Engram who was and will continue to be a very integral part of that offense, and Sterling Shepard who Did Things in the few games he played last season. In the end it's really impossible to project out what the Giants offense is going to look like this year by using last year as a baseline because the entire coaching staff and a shitton of the roster has turned over. I see them playing out a little bit like the Saints offense traditionally does in that they have a stacked offensive roster filled with guys who all have the potential for a top 5 performance on any given week, but you'll never know which one is going to pop.
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Apr 30, 2018 18:33
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Mikey Purp posted:You're also forgetting Evan Engram who was and will continue to be a very integral part of that offense, and Sterling Shepard who Did Things in the few games he played last season. In the end it's really impossible to project out what the Giants offense is going to look like this year by using last year as a baseline because the entire coaching staff and a shitton of the roster has turned over. I see them playing out a little bit like the Saints offense traditionally does in that they have a stacked offensive roster filled with guys who all have the potential for a top 5 performance on any given week, but you'll never know which one is going to pop. I guess it depends on what you call a mouth to feed. I mean, those guys exist and can catch balls (and can be worthwhile fantasy assets), but pretty clearly demonstrated last year that they're not the players that can be The Guy. The Giants let ~220 carries go this offseason and will give Barkley every chance in the world to be The Guy.
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Apr 30, 2018 18:52
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Fansy posted:My keeper league currently keeps trades in an excel spreadsheet, and chats via SMS. It's not ideal. At the very least use Google Drive since you can all collaborate there. That and a Slack channel would work.
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Apr 30, 2018 19:43
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The Giants do not have a "stacked" offensive roster. They have a WR1 who is coming back from injury and appears to also be a headcase/suspension risk. They have an ancient QB who is 4-5 years past his prime. And they have Engram, who is very good. Everyone else is a JAG or worse.
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Apr 30, 2018 21:04
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coronaball posted:The Giants do not have a "stacked" offensive roster. They have a WR1 who is coming back from injury and appears to also be a headcase/suspension risk. They have an ancient QB who is 4-5 years past his prime. And they have Engram, who is very good. Everyone else is a JAG or worse. Define "stacked" then? I mean, they don't have a superstar at every skill position but that is nearly impossible in the modern NFL. Assuming that Saquon is even half of what he is hyped up to be, the Giants will be rolling out an elite WR1, elite RB and good/maybe elite TE. That's as good or better than some of the best offenses in the league. I agree that Eli is past his prime, but he can still make plays when the pocket doesn't collapse within a second of snapping the ball and accordingly there have been a lot of moves to shore up the O-line this off-season. I'm not saying they are locked and loaded to put up 40 points per game, but like I said, the Giants' roster is very analogous to what other high-powered offenses like the Saints, Falcons or Steelers have. I don't think there's any reason to doubt that the pieces are there to put up a lot of points, it's all about whether the players and coaching staff can gel and execute.
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Apr 30, 2018 23:05
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A stacked offense does not preclude running back production, anyway. A stacked offense means more first downs means more opportunities for the back. A stacked offense built around the passing game also means a lot more end zone pass interference calls, which means more goal line TDs for Jonathon Stewart
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Apr 30, 2018 23:11
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'Ey yo 2018 Fantasy Football let's gooooo time to turn it all around babyyyyyyy Last year was particularly bad for me but it was all my own fault—I didn't do the same level of research I normally do. I'm going to try to visit this thread a little more often than last year's thread. Starting with slow draft. Hopefully I made the deadline in time!
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Apr 30, 2018 23:40
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https://twitter.com/Pat_Thorman/status/990236612427681792 Between this and shady mccoy likely starting to grind to a halt, 2018 is going to be #dontDAB Draft A Bill
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May 1, 2018 02:32
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OH FOR FUCKS SAKE https://twitter.com/bobbyfantasypro/status/991163491053600774
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May 1, 2018 04:54
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And now the season can begin.
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May 1, 2018 05:56
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Look, when you have a chance to spend fantasy draft capital on the guy on his fifth team in seven years with 250 career carries, you gotta pull the trigger
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May 1, 2018 06:22
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Mikey Purp posted:Define "stacked" then? I mean, they don't have a superstar at every skill position but that is nearly impossible in the modern NFL. Assuming that Saquon is even half of what he is hyped up to be, the Giants will be rolling out an elite WR1, elite RB and good/maybe elite TE. That's as good or better than some of the best offenses in the league. I agree that Eli is past his prime, but he can still make plays when the pocket doesn't collapse within a second of snapping the ball and accordingly there have been a lot of moves to shore up the O-line this off-season. The big difference between the Giants and the Saints, Falcons and Steelers is that the Saints, Falcons and Steelers have quarterbacks. Eli put up his lowest yardage in a decade last year, and his second lowest TD total since his first year. They have more receiving pieces, but given Eli's trajectory, expecting an offense like the Jags last year seems pretty likely to me.
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May 1, 2018 14:56
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Eli was fine the year before. Giants just had the worst O-line in the league last year. As well as losing their elite WR1. As well as having a non-existent running game. As well as having a terrible coach who lost his locker room. I expect a big bounce back from Eli this year. He's not elite, but if you protect him, he will make the throws.
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May 1, 2018 15:00
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Drunk Nerds posted:Thanks, Beer! Guys, we are still a couple slots short of this. Let us know if you are interested.
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May 1, 2018 15:09
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RCarr posted:Eli was fine the year before. Giants just had the worst O-line in the league last year. As well as losing their elite WR1. As well as having a non-existent running game. As well as having a terrible coach who lost his locker room. I mean, he was better in 2016, but it was still a drop off from his highs of 14 and 15. I guess you can hope it's a 2 year aberration and not a 37 year old QB starting to slide.
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May 1, 2018 16:56
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Doing fantasy basketball only increased the pain of this long dark summer, I'm glad I'm not the only one thinking about fantasy football this early All I want is Josh Gordon.
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May 1, 2018 17:19
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So Sleeperbot does dynasty leagues now. I’m thinking of moving my NFL.com dynasty league there. I can’t do MFL, everyone in my league (including me) hates the layout/design, so I think this is our next best option. However, I’m pretty sure no one in my league knows about or uses sleeperbot, so that’s giving up a pretty huge advantage for me... 
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May 1, 2018 17:29
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Spoeank posted:OH FOR FUCKS SAKE Yessssssssssssssss His time has finally come......again.....probably.....maybe....
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May 1, 2018 19:05
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RCarr posted:So Sleeperbot does dynasty leagues now. I’m thinking of moving my NFL.com dynasty league there. I can’t do MFL, everyone in my league (including me) hates the layout/design, so I think this is our next best option. Anything you need that fleaflicker can't do?
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May 1, 2018 19:58
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sourdough posted:Anything you need that fleaflicker can't do? Was fleaflicker free last year? I remember deciding to go with NFL.com over fleaflicker last season, but now I'm not sure why.
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May 1, 2018 20:01
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RCarr posted:Was fleaflicker free last year? I remember deciding to go with NFL.com over fleaflicker last season, but now I'm not sure why. Yeah, always been free, main downside is no auction draft, and until this off-season, they didn't break out defensive positions, only had DL, LB, and DB, not separate DE, DT, CB, and S, but they just added that.
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May 1, 2018 20:26
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sourdough posted:Yeah, always been free, main downside is no auction draft, and until this off-season, they didn't break out defensive positions, only had DL, LB, and DB, not separate DE, DT, CB, and S, but they just added that. Ahh yeah we had an auction start up draft last year, so that was the deal breaker.
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May 1, 2018 21:38
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Beer, for the OP... Football Absurdity is goon run and an excellent fantasy football resource. It blends comedy and information to let you know what players you should be looking for. Football Absurdity has games, puzzles and personality quizzes. What it doesn't have is information on the value of Mike Davis!"
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May 2, 2018 00:20
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Is every article going to contain Mike Davis this year? After not talking about him last year it's the least you can do.
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May 2, 2018 01:08
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