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Literally any poll before the debates are going to be noise. One of the good things the DNC changed from the last roll-around is that there's going to be more debates (12) and the debates will be earlier (First one is June 26th), which should help to winnow the primary field by a decent amount (and provide the other candidates plenty of opportunities to dunk on Biden and/or for Biden to dunk on himself) before the first primary ballot is cast.
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May 4, 2019 16:23
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FAUXTON posted:Do any of the polled candidates not qualify for the debates? According to this, the currently qualified Democratic candidates are Biden, Booker, Buttigieg, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Harris, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, O'Rourke, Ryan, Sanders, Swalwell, Warren, and Yang. Getting a debate spot requires a candidate to either have 65K individual donations or to get above whole numbers (Above 1%) in at least three qualified polls, which currently disqualifies Williamson, Messam, Moulton, and Gravel. As for how the debates themselves will be conducted, it looks like they'll actually have two debates on back-to-back nights, with up to 20 candidates getting randomly sorted into one of the two. This will undoubtedly go poorly if/when certain big-ticket candidates aren't sorted together—I am certain, for instance, that Bernie supporters will cry foul (With justification) if Biden appears on the first night and Bernie the second.
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May 4, 2019 20:28
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EBB posted:Are you suggesting a milquetoast status-quo candidate is still preferable to what's in office right now? They're similar, one just has a facade that doesn't curdle milk. I mean it would be nice if our cabinet officials weren't dedicated to the wholesale destruction of the agencies they're appointed to.
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May 5, 2019 18:14
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TF CURES GENERATOR posted:Romney death rally was real We really all did die in 2012, we just haven't realized it yet.
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May 6, 2019 00:57
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https://twitter.com/kyledcheney/status/1125396053598060544?s=19
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May 6, 2019 14:54
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lz0xULQIaSU
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May 8, 2019 04:52
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Vincent Van Goatse posted:I'm just basking in the idea that Ollie North wasn't corrupt and unethical enough for the NRA's liking. IIRC he's also extremely corrupt and unethical (In his role at the NRA, not just in general obviously), and the conflict is mostly over how much everyone involved should be allowed to steal.
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May 13, 2019 01:05
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https://twitter.com/wpjenna/status/1127751996650479617?s=19
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May 13, 2019 03:17
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TF CURES GENERATOR posted:LET THEM DIE Guess you're getting your wish. quote:He drove away from the hospital and into the adjacent neighborhood, passing the first home, with a collapsed front porch and windows blown out by a tornado. “I sat with that lady as she died four years ago, and now this house just rots away,” he said. He turned onto another block and drove past a bungalow where the owner had died of lung cancer at 58. Next was a suspected drug overdose. Next was a midnight heart attack in the bathroom, and Graham had checked for a pulse and then stayed to pray with the new widower until his children came from Wichita.
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May 13, 2019 03:27
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CRUSTY MINGE posted:I can get behind that. They voted themselves into this position by pulling the GOP lever for the past 60 years. About one in three people who depend on that hospital voted for Hillary, give or take.
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May 13, 2019 03:35
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CRUSTY MINGE posted:Problem predates Hilldog. This is chickens coming home to roost. You're suggesting that everyone who lives in those areas supports those policies and deserve to die because of it. That's both inaccurate and reprehensible.
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May 13, 2019 06:19
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Fallom posted:These people are actively trying to kill my family (and would have killed my wife by now) so I don’t quite see it as red vs blue. I don't either, but I also don't see the voters as the real enemy, because belief doesn't come from nowhere. The ultimate enemy are those with the money, power, and spite to promote policies and beliefs that benefit the few to the detriment of the many. Lusting for the death of poor, deluded assholes just rubs me the wrong way when so many of them are just as much victims as anyone else. Acebuckeye13 fucked around with this message at 06:36 on May 13, 2019 |
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May 13, 2019 06:34
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facialimpediment posted:
these men are nothing less than American Heroes 
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May 14, 2019 06:04
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STOP EVERYTHING YOU'RE DOING, THE NAVY SKY PENIS WRITERS HAD THEIR VOICES RECORDED
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Nice and hot piss posted:the only game you need is Snake on your old nokia phone breath of the wild is p. good imo
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May 14, 2019 22:00
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https://twitter.com/ewarren/status/1128656242627493889?s=19
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May 15, 2019 14:52
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facialimpediment posted:yay, we're wagging the dog and dick-waving into war again The only good news is that from the sounds of it, like in Venezuela, Trump is too chickenshit to actually commit to a war and that may very well be the only thing that saves us.
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May 17, 2019 02:08
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facialimpediment posted:And now, for something completely different. What do foreign countries' ambassadors get for food in DC when they're feeling homesick? This whole article is great, makes me wish I was still in DC to try out some of those restaurants.
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May 17, 2019 05:19
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https://twitter.com/AlexCKaufman/status/1129000388215148544?s=19
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May 18, 2019 23:14
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Fallom posted:I think people are starting to pick up on how fake polls are and you can tell the polling companies feel threatened because they're coming up with nonsensical excuses for why it's somehow ok to only get responses from retirement home dwellers and the people dumb enough to pick up for an unknown number. ehh, polls are still reasonably accurate and I think it's fair to say Biden has a sizeable lead on Bernie (and everyone else). The big question is if or for how long he can maintain that lead-this is Joe Biden we're talking about, after all, a man who's been blowing presidential campaigns for longer than I've been alive. Once the debates start hitting and the D-tier candidates start dropping out, we'll see where the primary stands.
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May 20, 2019 00:20
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yikes
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May 25, 2019 19:28
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Hexyflexy posted:It’s total in a full strike. It’s also also a bit weird, in the 2000 warhead strike, if I was the soviet nuke commander I wouldn’t bother hitting the American silos with all those warheads at all - it’s a given they’re expended, and in WW3, effectively forever. 2000 nuke strike is a first strike scenario, so it's trying to hit the silos before the American response starts flying. Also I should be alright (until I die of radiation poisoning probably) unless the Russkies decide to get real spiteful about national parks.
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May 27, 2019 01:56
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Duzzy Funlop posted:Why is that, by the way? Three reasons: 1. Orbital ballistics are complex, it takes time to calculate them and it's not something that's easily done on the fly, especially with Cold War-era electronics. Better to calculate and program just a handful of targets for each missile. 2. Each missile is assigned to a target based on a pre-existing war plan. If you're in a situation where you are using an ICBM, you are not in any kind of situation where the plan can be changed. 3. The purpose of an ICBM is that they are amongst the fastest-reacting nuclear forces the nation has. Missiles like the Titan II were designed to be launched within minutes, if not seconds of a launch order being received, and that required the entire process to be as quick and as automated as possible. For the Titan II, the missile commander would have three buttons that would determine which pre-programmed target the missile would be launched at based on their orders, and that was it—there was no way of otherwise retargeting the missile, since the infrastructure wasn't designed around that being necessary. (Since it's not like Moscow is going to go anywhere).
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May 27, 2019 02:38
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This thread is haunting https://twitter.com/gwensnyderPHL/status/1133061831118000128?s=19
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May 28, 2019 02:48
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I'm not gonna lie, at least 20% of why I want to vote for Warren is that I love her dog. https://twitter.com/ewarren/status/1133548333446901760?s=19
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May 29, 2019 08:41
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I think I've come around to the following arguments: -Above everything else, there is a moral and constitutional imperative to begin impeachment. These are the procedures the Constitution was written for, and official impeachment inquiries can unearth information that is further damaging to the President and the administration, even if conviction in the Senate is extremely unlikely. -Trump will likely argue that "If I did anything wrong, they would have impeached" anyway, which is not substantively different from "The Senate acquitted me, I did nothing wrong" -Part of the argument against impeachment is that once the process begins, it squanders the opportunity for the Democrats to talk about their vision from the country. However, by this point we're all very well aware that nobody gives a loving poo poo about positive visions and the media certainly wouldn't cover it anyway, so may as well heap as much dirt on Trump as possible. -While impeachment might not be broadly popular, it's more popular with the most motivated members of the base, and that's who you need to be energized and excited to organize for the general election. It's probably also one of the few issues that both the center/center-left #Resist folks and the farther left section of the base agree on, so it's one of the few unifying issues the Democrats can campaign on going into the election.
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May 29, 2019 23:32
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Hegel Exercises posted:https://twitter.com/tedcruz/status/1134203496947830784?s=21 If Ted's for it like hell do I trust it.
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May 31, 2019 03:19
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