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I'm fascinated by how the predictions for AEW's debut viewership are all over the board. I don't want to influence votes so I'm not going to post anyone else's predictions or any context. I'm just curious what people posting here think the show will do for week 1. For those that don't know AEW will be Wednesdays from 8-10 Live on TNT. It looks like it will be live nationwide, so that would put it on at 5 on the West Coast. It will be going against NXT which will also be 8-10 but I believe is NOT live on the West Coast. NXT has a two week head start. Please post your reasoning below!
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Sep 16, 2019 17:58
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| # ? Apr 26, 2024 03:27 |
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300k is my optimistic guess
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Sep 16, 2019 18:01
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400k
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Sep 16, 2019 18:02
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Week 1 beats NXT, but is less than Raw/SD. Building an audience takes time and creating familiarity. Casual and lapsed wrestling fans (aka people who don't subscribe to any wrestling service) are not familiar with anyone in AEW yet, and positive buzz needs time to build once it is widely available. TNT seem to be pushing it heavily, so if that audience actually exists, they will eventually find it.
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Sep 16, 2019 18:02
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I'm going with an even million. Its a big channel, they've done everything under the sun to promote the build. Am 6000% excite so my math might be off.
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Sep 16, 2019 18:04
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If TNT actually promote it over the next few weeks I'm guessing 600k, maybe 700.
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Sep 16, 2019 18:04
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The All Out preview episode on a Friday night before the show drew like 200k viewers with little to no promotion. I'm going to guess 750k. Turner has been promoting it on both TNT and TBS. The spots on TBS have been during baseball games.
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Sep 16, 2019 18:09
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Pinche Rudo posted:The All Out preview episode on a Friday night before the show drew like 200k viewers with little to no promotion. I'm going to guess 750k. Turner has been promoting it on both TNT and TBS. The spots on TBS have been during baseball games. 390,000.
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Sep 16, 2019 18:12
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I'm also going with a cool million. It might be optimistic but they did about 400,000 on the preview show on TNT which was only announced 48 hours before it aired.
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Sep 16, 2019 18:13
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Going with 850,000
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Sep 16, 2019 18:22
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850,001. I really want to win that car.
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Sep 16, 2019 18:25
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1250000
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Sep 16, 2019 18:25
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1.3 million but I'm probably way overestimating it. NXT has a 2 week head start but let's be honest, by the third week of live NXT they'll have hosed it up and it won't be nearly the competition that WWE wants it to be.
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Sep 16, 2019 18:29
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69,420 viewers
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Sep 16, 2019 18:30
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1.03m
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Sep 16, 2019 18:30
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MassRafTer posted:390,000. drat my memory was way off. Holy poo poo that's a lot
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Sep 16, 2019 18:30
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Went with 1.5-2M because I think there's a fair amount of buzz for it and we'll see TNT ramp up the advertising for it in the next couple weeks. Also TBS has the NL Wild Card game on 10/1 and two of these teams will be in it  Those are some juicy fanbases and markets which probably means at least 5-6 million viewers watching that game
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Sep 16, 2019 18:38
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IcePhoenix posted:Went with 1.5-2M because I think there's a fair amount of buzz for it and we'll see TNT ramp up the advertising for it in the next couple weeks. Funny coincidence if Washington hosts the Wild Card game which will be plugging the debut in DC.
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Sep 16, 2019 18:40
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It'll be interesting to see if viewership grows during basketball season as I imagine TNT will be cross promoting AEW on the weekly Thursday night NBA games
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Sep 16, 2019 18:40
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Gavok posted:850,001. I really want to win that car. you can go straight to hell
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Sep 16, 2019 18:42
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666,420 viewers guaranteed
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Sep 16, 2019 18:43
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1,001,000 viewers, 1000 for each of Jericho's holds.
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Sep 16, 2019 18:44
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MassRafTer posted:390,000. This is the number that made me vote for an even million with preparedness to be surprised by higher. A recap show with no new content that wasn't heavily promoted on a Friday night did basically the conservative estimate for what the main show could be considered healthy. I feel like they are going to hit the first one out of the park.
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Sep 16, 2019 18:45
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Charles Gnarwin posted:666,420 viewers guaranteed Jack Black and Kyle Gass are ALL IN.
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Sep 16, 2019 18:50
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I expect they will get half as much as twice the super bowl
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Sep 16, 2019 18:50
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Like, 5. With several million watching on illegal streaming sites
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Sep 16, 2019 18:52
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I wonder what other counter programming besides NXT, AEW will face in their timeslot. I wonder what they would consider a success. Maybe... 450,000 views based on how many people watched the ALL OUT preview show and just pure speculation that people may stay in to watch a program on a weekday instead of a friday.
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Sep 16, 2019 18:54
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https://tvseriesfinale.com/tv-show/tnt-tv-show-ratings-33209/ TNT's top dramas get around .8-1.2 million. I...haven't heard of any of those shows, but I'm not a TV guy. Obviously numbers are down everywhere since then but how did early Spike TNA do compared to other stuff on Spike?
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Sep 16, 2019 19:01
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Fat Lowtax posted:https://tvseriesfinale.com/tv-show/tnt-tv-show-ratings-33209/ for a true comparison, USA does lower numbers than TNT
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Sep 16, 2019 19:05
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I think ballpark around 750,000 seems feasible.
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Sep 16, 2019 19:18
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MassRafTer posted:390,000. 390,001
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Sep 16, 2019 20:06
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one dollar
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Sep 16, 2019 20:07
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my prediction is 0 
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Sep 16, 2019 20:09
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this does remind me I need to figure out the cheapest way to watch TNT because I cut the cord ages ago
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Sep 16, 2019 20:20
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I don't want to say what I voted for in fear that AEW marks will quote my post in a future thread if it is at all a higher number and laugh at me
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Sep 16, 2019 20:21
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Mel Mudkiper posted:this does remind me I need to figure out the cheapest way to watch TNT because I cut the cord ages ago I recommend Sling.
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Sep 16, 2019 20:23
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Mel Mudkiper posted:this does remind me I need to figure out the cheapest way to watch TNT because I cut the cord ages ago Speaking of which... the Roku app does have a West/East coast feed, so I assume it won't be live on the west coast
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Sep 16, 2019 20:28
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*smooths down giant nametag and leans into mic* 1 Viewer
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Sep 16, 2019 20:31
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Prokhor Zakharov posted:*smooths down giant nametag and leans into mic* 2 viewers
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Sep 16, 2019 20:47
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| # ? Apr 26, 2024 03:27 |
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AEW's debut on TNT will be a game changer, akin to the Moon Landing or Wyld Stallyns performing in Mecca. 100 million viewers.
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Sep 16, 2019 20:51
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