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FlamingLiberal posted:Are they even able to do that without going through Congress? The executive branch has pretty much zero control over enforcement of marijuana policy, so no.
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# ¿ Sep 1, 2024 02:57 |
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Gallup just released new polling on Joe Biden's approval rating, which has dropped by double digits among Democrats since last month:![]() His overall approval rating sits at 37%: ![]() Gallup posted:WASHINGTON, D.C. -- President Joe Biden’s job approval rating among Democrats has tumbled 11 percentage points in the past month to 75%, the worst reading of his presidency from his own party. This drop has pushed his overall approval rating down four points to 37%, matching his personal low.
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Zotix posted:Yeah but they are back. CNN is covering it live as well. The police seem to think there's a good chance he's in there. Multiple drones, helicopter overhead, and lots of police flooded there again in the past half an hour. Obviously not 100% sure he's in there, but there's some reason they flooded back there. The police presence is high, but it's not certain that he's in the home: https://twitter.com/MEStatePolice/status/1717691855385563218 https://twitter.com/MEStatePolice/status/1717691857163935940
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theCalamity posted:That’s what people and the Democrats said in 2020. Vote for us and we’ll pass the voting rights law. They got into power and failed to do so. But now people must vote for more democrats. How many more Democrats? How many Democrats do we need? The answer is enough to overcome the filibuster, but even then it's not at all clear that Democrats will actually go through with the things they say that they intend to do. Barack Obama posted:“The first thing I’d do as president is sign the Freedom of Choice Act.” Barack Obama posted:When South Dakota passed a law banning all abortions in a direct effort to have Roe overruled, I was the only candidate for President to raise money to help the citizens of South Dakota repeal that law. When anti-choice protesters blocked the opening of an Illinois Planned Parenthood clinic in a community where affordable health care is in short supply, I was the only candidate for President who spoke out against it. And I will continue to defend this right by passing the Freedom of Choice Act as president. Barack Obama posted:Asked about the Freedom of Choice Act at Wednesday’s news conference, Obama said it “is not the highest legislative priority.” B B fucked around with this message at 18:44 on Oct 28, 2023 |
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I don't think that politely asking the Israelis to carry out their genocide in a somewhat more restrained manner counts as a "massive change in posture," particularly when Biden is openly casting doubt on the number of Palestinian dead and you have Democratic senators saying that the Palestinians wouldn't even benefit from a cease fire: https://twitter.com/ballesteros_312/status/1718019197366669344 The Palestinians are better off if the IDF continues to indiscriminately bomb them is quite the take, but it's one that at least some elected Democrats seem to believe.
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Joe Biden saying "I support your right to defend yourself but not your right to indiscriminately kill civilians" while asking Congress for billions in funding for military aid that would allow Israel to continue to indiscriminately kill Palestinian civilians makes me think that Joe Biden supports Israel indiscriminately killing Palestinian civilians.
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Main Paineframe posted:This obsession with what the parties are doing is the core problem here, honestly. The reason the parties don't support the things we want is because the American population in general doesn't support the things that we want. If we build support for those things, then at least one of the parties will shift. Actually voting, by itself, is not an effective method of meaningfully shifting politics. If you can't find sufficient candidates who reflect your views, that's because your views are not popular enough. The vast majority of Democratic voters support a cease fire, and there is majority support for a cease fire across party lines: ![]() And yet, not even Bernie Sanders is calling for a cease fire. Some Democratic senators, as posted above, are even going so far as to suggest that the Palestinians wouldn't be better off with a cease fire--that the Palestinians getting bombed indiscriminately is better off than the alternative.
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Eric Cantonese posted:Is the polling thread still open? For reference, 538 gives this pollster an A rating and indicates it has a 0.2 R lean. I think it is a bit early for polling like this to be all that informative, but I won't be surprised if the election is much closer than last time given Biden's pretty lackluster job performance and the poor state of the economy. It also wouldn't be that surprising if Trump ended up ultimately winning. Edit: Also some new polling from ABC: https://twitter.com/ABC/status/1721166493776330851 B B fucked around with this message at 15:18 on Nov 5, 2023 |
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Here are results from some of NYT/Siena's final 2022 election polling: https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1587045620258377728 Here are the actual results from these races: AZ Senate Results Dem - 51.39 Rep - 46.51 PA Senate Results Dem - 51.2 Rep - 46.3 GA Senate Results Dem - 49.44 Rep - 48.49 NV Senate Results Dem - 48.81 Rep - 48.04 In my opinion, NYT/Siena seems to know what they are doing with their polling. As one of the Pod Jon's points out, polls a year out aren't completely worthless: https://twitter.com/jonfavs/status/1721208097073762671 B B fucked around with this message at 18:59 on Nov 5, 2023 |
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Bar Ran Dun posted:Those are Final polls though not one year out, haven’t even started the primaries polls. Sure it does. But they're a good pollster, and those numbers very well may reflect where the race stands today. There's a lot of time between now and election day for the Democratic Party to reverse these sorts of trends, but they should absolutely be worried by those numbers.
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cr0y posted:I think people are justifiably concerned about polls for 2024 because we aren't sure if there's going to be a 2028 if we can't get this one to go our way. This is most certainly the most important election of our lifetime, just like the last one, the next one, and the one after that. (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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Eric Cantonese posted:Any doomscrolling fuel for Election Day yet? Just a heads up that we're still about about 2 hours and 40 minutes away from polls closing in VA. Results will start coming in pretty quick, but it'll probably be like noon tomorrow before we have a solid picture of who is in control. With that said, Virginia also very recently decided control of the House of Delegates by drawing a name out of a hat, so maybe not. In any case, I look forward to ![]() gurragadon posted:I'm not sure of anywhere but i'll get you started with a personal anecdote. My polling place outside of Richmond was empty but there were a lot of people giving out information for Democrats but only one lady giving out stuff for Republicans. Looks like early voting was down this year from 2021. I voted early this year, but I live right next to a polling place and have been keeping an eye on traffic to and from throughout the day. Purely anecdotal, but it does seem a bit less active than in years past. I'm nervous about the outcome because of the possibility of the looming abortion ban.
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Polls close in VA in 10 minutes. As promised, here are some resources you may find useful in tracking election results: Virginia State Board of Elections - Official Results VPAP - This site is particularly good, because it offers an option to view election results by the most competitive races that are likely to decide control of both houses of the state legislature. Unless something really weird happens, control of both houses will come down to the seats identified by the "featured races only" filter. This site has also historically updated their results very quickly as districts release their data. In terms of when to expect results, here's a note from the AP: AP posted:HOW LONG DOES VOTE COUNTING USUALLY TAKE? I'll keep an eye out for any interesting streams I find. Really hoping I wake up tomorrow in a state where abortion will remain legal through the next legislative cycle, at least.
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Sublimer posted:Did NYT get rid of The Needle? I’m not seeing it on mobile and don’t have access to my pc right now. I think that's really only a thing for national elections. As far as I know, it's based on a model that uses polling data, and there's nowhere near enough "good" polling for that to be valuable for the races happening tonight.
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While we are posting Dave Wasserman tweets, here's his prediction for how things go tonight in VA: https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1722030020116267275 ![]()
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While we wait for election results, CNN has a new poll out that shows Trump leading Biden:CNN posted:CNN Poll: Trump narrowly leads Biden in hypothetical rematch ![]()
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I always write myself in for sheriff, and I regret to inform you all that I have seen enough: I have lost yet another election for sheriff in Virginia. ![]()
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Ohio now has constitutional protection for abortion access: https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1722062934023483640 Anno posted:e: ![]()
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Quick Virginia update. Democrats are currently leading 9 to 6 in the senate (21 are needed for a majority), and the races that will likely determine control are pretty evenly split right now: ![]() Looking like a nail-biter on the senate side at the moment. ![]()
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Nelson Mandingo posted:Roem is apparently predicted to win. So Virginia is locked up for dems. I can see why Youngkin is against abortion, when his presidential aspirations were terminated before viable. Where are you seeing that it's locked up? 10 races are called for Democrats, 8 races are called for Republicans, and 21 are needed for a majority. Roem was favored to win. These are the five races that are likely going to determine the outcome, and none of them has been officially called yet: ![]() Edit: To be clear, I hope you're right, but I think your call is very premature.
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Zore posted:They're basing it on the Crystal Ball people on Twitter who are calling 16, 24 and 31 for the Dems based on the fact that that what's remaining is mostly early vote which leans overwhelmingly D. Fair enough. Also just saw this: https://twitter.com/samshirazim/status/1722065992229048659 Good news overall. Hope the trend holds. E: Nelson Mandingo posted:Ben Tribbett, so you're right it's nothing official. And could definitely turn out wrong. But tonight has generally pretty much gone dems way as it is, so far. Thanks for clarifying!
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https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1722072374718169538![]() Abortion rights live in Virginia.
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Pobrecito posted:Is it revenge porn if you're uhhh having sex on camera on a publicly available cam model website? I'm not going to get too hung up on the definition of revenge porn, but this is the kind of ad the Republicans were running: ![]() It was very obvious slut-shaming of a woman who *gasp* had sex with her husband.
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Crunch Buttsteak posted:I'm curious to see how long this manufactured evangelical "bum-rush the school board with right-wing grievances to take it over" strategy is gonna last. Like yes there are a few "successes" here and there but even in the high-profile cases where MAGA types take over school boards and start banning books and pride flags, it seems like virtually everyone in the school district goes "wow this sucks complete rear end" if you put a microphone in front of them. One quick note about this related to Virginia elections. There was a very big controversy in Hanover County earlier this year about an unelected school board banning a bunch of books: https://richmond.com/news/local/edu...7c8e1b95ca.html Hanover is a *heavily* Republican county, but it pissed off enough of their residents that a ballot proposition for direct election of school board members is currently winning by a decent margin: ![]()
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Very quick update on the VA House of Delegates:![]() Dems have won 42 of the 51 seats needed for a majority. It's very possible that they can hold the Senate and pick up control of the House. TL;DR: Glenn Youngkin is having a terrible night and is looking less presidential by the second. Also lol. Lmao even. B B fucked around with this message at 04:12 on Nov 8, 2023 |
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I really do not want to be the person who jinxes this, but Susanna Gibson is back in the lead:![]()
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cr0y posted:So I'm on a work project and can only check my phone like once every 15 minutes. Can someone point me to or give me a summary? Democrats are winning big everywhere except Mississippi.
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https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1722092511789826355?s=20 Democrats are on track to win the House of Delegates in Virginia.* Increasingly looking like a rout. * This would give the Democratic Party complete control of the legislature in Virginia; they currently control only one house.
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B B posted:I really do not want to be the person who jinxes this, but Susanna Gibson is back in the lead: Susanna Gibson has extended her lead: ![]() I very much hope she wins. Partly because she is an incredible advocate for abortion rights, but also because it'd be wonderful to see a woman overcome all of the slut-shaming. B B fucked around with this message at 05:05 on Nov 8, 2023 |
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GoutPatrol posted:I am happy good things happened today. As someone affected by the good things that happened today, me too!
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i am a moron posted:So I’m asking because this: LBJ is probably the only example of what you're asking. With that said, Biden has historically low approval ratings. He's polling worse than Trump at the same point in his presidency, and the only president who polled worse is Jimmy Carter. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/ Biden is a uniquely unpopular president, so it's not all that surprising that there's discussion over whether or not he should be running for re-election.
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Elizabeth warren got confronted during dinner by a Palestinian refugee who has lost 68 family members in Israel's indiscriminate murder of civilians in Gaza: https://twitter.com/JVPBoston/status/1722848277819760865 She was met with protesters as she left the dinner: https://twitter.com/micahinATL/status/1722799841057632451 Hopefully we see more of these types of things until elected Democrats locate their humanity and call for a ceasefire. I don't know if shame is really an effective tactic against elected politicians, though.
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Kalit posted:Eh, being obnoxious towards a politician who is already critical of Israel's invasion and calling for a ceasefire seems like a good way to push them away from the protester's side It seems to me that if Warren had called for a ceasefire (she hasn't, by the way), she would have been able to respond to the protester by saying "I have already called for a ceasefire." All she has called for is a "short-term cessation of hostilities that pose high-risk to civilians." The statement that article you posted is at the link below. The word "ceasefire," which is not the same thing as a "short-term cessation of hostilities," does not appear once. https://www.markey.senate.gov/news/press-releases/statement-of-senators-regarding-humanitarian-aid-to-civilians-in-gaza Kalit posted:Do you think that harassing a person over an issue where they are on the same side as you would make said person more sympathetic? They're not on the same side. The protester wants a ceasefire, which Elizabeth Warren has not publicly supported.
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More protesters confronting Democratic Senators. In this case, Senator Fetterman seems incapable of acknowledging that killing 10,000 civilians, 4,000 of whom were children, is bad: https://twitter.com/michaelarria/status/1723052309310038116
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zoux posted:How much new foreign aid has the US sent since October 7th? We send $3.8 billion annually, and Biden wants to send at least $14.3 billion more as a result of the events of October 7. It's waiting on congressional approval. Source: https://www.axios.com/2023/11/04/us-israel-aid-military-funding-chart
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davecrazy posted:Why exactly is Osama Bin Laden being rehabilitated on ticktock? Not really sure why the "Dear America" letter is getting so much attention from zoomers. There is a much funnier and much more correct OBL letter out there: OBL posted:I asked Shaykh Sa'id, Allah have mercy on his soul, to task brother Ilyas to prepare two groups - one in Pakistan and the other in the Bagram area of Afghanistan - with the mission of anticipating and spotting the visits of Obama or Petraeus to Afghanistan or Pakistan to target the aircraft of either one of them. They are not to target visits by US Vice President Biden, Secretary of Defense Gates, Joint Chiefs of Staff (Chairman) Mullen, or the Special Envoy to Pakistan and Afghanistan Holbrook. The groups will remain on the lookout for Obama or Petraeus. The reason for concentrating on them is that Obama is the head of infidelity and killing him automatically will make Biden take over the presidency for the remainder of the term, as it is the norm over there. Biden is totally unprepared for that post, which will lead the US into a crisis. As for Petraeus, he is the man of the hour in this last year of the war, and killing him would alter the war's path.
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Hieronymous Alloy posted:https://x.com/HeerJeet/status/1725392874492035517?s=20 ![]() The whole article on this is great: Washington Post posted:How Osama bin Laden’s ‘Letter to America’ reached millions online The people who pearl clutched about this and the editors at The Guardian are dumb as dogshit.
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Biden's approval rating continues its free fall: https://twitter.com/MeetThePress/status/1726240932507349100 ![]() ![]() NBC posted:Poll: Biden’s standing hits new lows amid Israel-Hamas war
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Protestors have disrupted the California Democratic Convention to call for a ceasefire: https://twitter.com/IfNotNowOrg/status/1726022922601423349 https://twitter.com/IfNotNowOrg/status/1726016564804173859
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# ¿ Sep 1, 2024 02:57 |
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Raenir Salazar posted:IIRC didn't he only support it because he was misled about the intelligence about Saddam's role in 9/11 and then turned against invasion when this was bunk? Here's Joe Biden a year after the invasion, when many of his colleagues had already started turning against the war: Joe Biden posted:Let me tell you what I see with Iraq. We had to go into Iraq, not because Saddam was part of Al Qaeda, there was no evidence of that, not because he possessed nuclear weapons or because he posed an imminent threat to the United States, there was no evidence of that. The legitimate reason for going into Iraq, was he violated every single commitment he made and warranted being taken down. And the international community and us had a right to respond. I don't think you recall correctly. That said, he has consistently and regularly lied about his various positions on the Iraq War, so it's possible you're thinking of one of his various misrepresentations of his position.
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