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Oct 5, 2013 19:32
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Sir Tonk posted:
You laugh, but Gohmert believes Terrorist Babies are a real threat to our American way of life.
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Oct 6, 2013 01:30
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Republicans are going to control the Colorado state senate after they win this next recall. I don't know why they aren't already doing this nationwide.
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Oct 6, 2013 21:31
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Brigadier Sockface posted:Republicans are going to control the Colorado state senate after they win this next recall. I don't know why they aren't already doing this nationwide. Probably because recalls are only an option in 19 states. Of those, only a couple or so have a close enough split to have a reasonable chance of actually flipping a legislative house.
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Oct 6, 2013 21:51
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Brigadier Sockface posted:Republicans are going to control the Colorado state senate after they win this next recall. I don't know why they aren't already doing this nationwide. At least Democrats still have a majority in the Colorado House of Representatives, right?
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Oct 7, 2013 00:37
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Mall Santa tea party Congressman Kerry Bentivolio's primary challenger, David Trott, has raked in $425k in 30 days! Wowee! Where are all of these donors coming from? http://mfi-miami.com/2013/10/financial-terrorist-david-trotts-congressional-campaign-rakes-in-425k-in-30-days/ MFI-Miami posted:On Thursday, David Trott’s congressional campaign announced it has raised $425,000 in campaign donations from 270 individual contributors since the Trott announced his candidacy September 4th to unseat incumbent Kerry Bentivolio. At least the mall santa is entertaining.
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Oct 7, 2013 18:01
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I'll give Michigan Republicans that. They are in your face with their outright evil but it seems to work for them quite well.
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Oct 7, 2013 19:47
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Is Cory Booker a senator yet?
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Oct 8, 2013 12:04
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Brigadier Sockface posted:Is Cory Booker a senator yet? The election isn't until a week from tomorrow.
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Oct 8, 2013 12:53
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So thanks to the shutdown it looks like the VA Gubernatorial election is pretty much over. McAuliffe is up 9 points in a three-way race and 10 points head-to-head. The RCP average pegs the lead at a little more than 6 points.Politico posted:Democrat Terry McAuliffe has opened up a significant lead over Republican Ken Cuccinelli in the Virginia governor’s race amid broad public disapproval of the federal government shutdown, according to a POLITICO poll of the 2013 gubernatorial election. source: http://www.politico.com/story/2013/...53.html?hp=t3_3 I'm curious if this puts the VA Senate or even VA House of Delegates in play. The Senate is currently 20-20 but the GOP has a huge majority in the House of Delegates where it's 65 Republicans to 32 Democrats.
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Oct 8, 2013 19:09
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The Virginia Senate isn't up for election until 2015. They serve 4 year terms, unlike the Delegates.
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Oct 8, 2013 20:03
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Install Windows posted:The Virginia Senate isn't up for election until 2015. They serve 4 year terms, unlike the Delegates. Welp now I feel like an idiot. This is what happens when it's my first gubernatorial election in this state.
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Oct 8, 2013 21:08
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Bill Young just announced he won't run for re-election next year. Young's been representing Florida's Pinellas County since 1971 and has never faced a serious challenger. Pinellas itself has been trending blue in recent years and I think this once-safe GOP district is now a complete toss-up. My guess is some Florida state senators are salivating at this opportunity, maybe Jeff Brandes for the GOP or Charlie Justice for the Democrats. Of course, all along I've been saying this is the race Charlie Crist should be throwing his hat into the ring for, not Florida governor. 
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Oct 9, 2013 17:23
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Ballz posted:Of course, all along I've been saying this is the race Charlie Crist should be throwing his hat into the ring for, not Florida governor. I don't know where Crist lives, but it is worth noting US House Reps don't have to live in the district they represent. They just have to reside in the state.
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Oct 9, 2013 18:08
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notthegoatseguy posted:I don't know where Crist lives, but it is worth noting US House Reps don't have to live in the district they represent. They just have to reside in the state. Crist lives in downtown St. Pete, so residency isn't an issue for him. Also, I think the race is Brandes to lose. The guy's loaded, good looking, and plays well on tv.
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Oct 9, 2013 18:37
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notthegoatseguy posted:I don't know where Crist lives, but it is worth noting US House Reps don't have to live in the district they represent. They just have to reside in the state. That's the case for my (hopefully) next representative. I really wish she lived in the district. I don't care if she's from a few miles outside our gerrymandered borders, but I think it could sway a lot of low-info voters away from her. On the other hand, it would be hilarious if this scene was worked into a political ad against her.
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Oct 9, 2013 18:50
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Nice Davis posted:That's the case for my (hopefully) next representative. I really wish she lived in the district. I don't care if she's from a few miles outside our gerrymandered borders, but I think it could sway a lot of low-info voters away from her. One of the Indiana US Reps, when he was Secretary of State, pushed really hard for non-partisan re-districting to take it out of the hands of the legislature. In a sort of gently caress You move, the General Assembly re-drew his district and put him a couple miles out of it. Rokita played it off and said he planned on leaving Indianapolis to go to Danville or some other bumblefuck Indiana town but it was pretty funny.
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Oct 9, 2013 19:01
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Ballz posted:Bill Young just announced he won't run for re-election next year. Wait, Florida could have a guy formally called Representative Justice in Congress? This must happen.
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Oct 9, 2013 20:24
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Gygaxian posted:Wait, Florida could have a guy formally called Representative Justice in Congress? This must happen. He's actually pretty good and currently languishing away in the Florida Senate. If Crist doesn't jump in, I'd be all for Justice.
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Oct 9, 2013 21:56
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Ballz posted:I'd be all for Justice. Which means his opponent would oppose Justice.
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Oct 9, 2013 23:44
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ReV VAdAUL posted:Which means his opponent would oppose Justice. Justice is a tool of Obama's big-government socialism.
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Oct 9, 2013 23:50
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http://www.saintpetersblog.com/state-senator-jeff-brandes-tells-me-he-is-not-running-for-bill-youngs-seatquote:Well, you can scratch State Senator Jeff Brandes’ name from the list of possible successors to Congressman Bill Young. The guy who runs the St. Petersblog says that Brandes won't be running for Young's seat. The guy who runs St. Petersblog is a convicted political crook, a liar, and someone who thinks showing up for political events in a chicken suit qualifies as reasonable debate, so take this report with a grain of salt.
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Oct 10, 2013 18:05
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burmart posted:http://www.saintpetersblog.com/state-senator-jeff-brandes-tells-me-he-is-not-running-for-bill-youngs-seat I work at a TV station in Tampa Bay and we've been waiting back on confirmation from Brandes. But despite his history, I think Peter Schorsch is reputable enough to not make poo poo up like this wholesale. Jack Latvala also posted on his Facebook page that he won't run, saying he didn't want a job "that is rated less favorably than a cockroach." Suddenly that GOP depth itching to take over Young's seat is getting thinner by the hour. Edit: In other Florida news today, a new poll has Charlie Crist leading Gov. Rick Scott... by only four points and within the margin of error.  Edit 2: On the Dem side of things for Young's seat, Darryl Rouson says he won't run. It's probably also worth noting that Jessica Ehrlich said she'd be running before Young's retirement was announced. Ehrlich lost to him in 2012 in the closest race Young had faced in 20 years (he defeated her by only 15 percent  ).Ballz fucked around with this message at 23:28 on Oct 10, 2013 |
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Oct 10, 2013 21:13
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Gyges posted:Probably because recalls are only an option in 19 states. Of those, only a couple or so have a close enough split to have a reasonable chance of actually flipping a legislative house. A little late, but also in at least one of those states, Washington, you have to have grounds for a recall. A person filing a petition must allege that the elected official "has committed an act or acts of malfeasance, or an act or acts of misfeasance while in office, or has violated the oath of office, or has been guilty of any two or more of the acts specified in the Constitution as grounds for recall." The acts that give rise to the recall petition must be specifically alleged, and the Superior Court must then determine whether the recall petition states valid grounds for recall.
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Oct 10, 2013 23:18
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Ballz posted:Edit 2: On the Dem side of things for Young's seat, Darryl Rouson says he won't run. It's probably also worth noting that Jessica Ehrlich said she'd be running before Young's retirement was announced. Ehrlich lost to him in 2012 in the closest race Young had faced in 20 years (he defeated her by only 15 percent This article updated to now add that Crist says he won't run for Young's seat, which I think makes it all but certain he'll be going for his old job in Tallahassee.
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Oct 11, 2013 13:16
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So it's like an open and shut case that Republicans won't have ruling majorities in the House or Senate in 2014, right? I mean, I know their 2011 antics 'are too far away' from 2014 to have a distinct electoral effect, but we're less than 12 months from voting here.
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Oct 11, 2013 14:49
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Cheekio posted:So it's like an open and shut case that Republicans won't have ruling majorities in the House or Senate in 2014, right? Nope, still very likely to keep the house and have a good shot at the Senate. WV, AR, MT, and SD are all extremely likely to certain GOP pickups. They also have a very good shot at Alaska. The Dem's best pickup opportunity is to hope that Susan Collins has a stroke in the next 5 months.
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Oct 11, 2013 14:51
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Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:Nope, still very likely to keep the house and have a good shot at the Senate. WV, AR, MT, and SD are all extremely likely to certain GOP pickups. They also have a very good shot at Alaska. There's also a chance we could knock off Mitch McConnell--the Tea Party DID just withdraw their endorsement. Natalie Tennant jumped into the race in WV, and she's polling only a few points behind Capito. Plus, Montana's lieutenant governor, John Walsh, is entering the MT Senate race. Democrats got lucky--if they lose, no one can say it was because they ran lovely candidates. And with all the infighting and bullshit in Alaska, I'd say Begich has a better-than-average chance of keeping his seat--especially if the Thrilla from Wasilla gets the GOP nod. Fritz Coldcockin fucked around with this message at 14:59 on Oct 11, 2013 |
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Oct 11, 2013 14:57
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The Chicken Suited Owner of Saint Petersblog is now pushing the idea that Pitchman Anthony Sullivan will be running for Young's seat. http://www.saintpetersblog.com/add-tv-pitchman-anthony-sullivans-name-into-mix-for-bill-youngs-seat quote:“The last year has been a wonderful learning experience,” said Sullivan, referring to his involvement in the effort to build the controversial “The Lens” design for a new St. Petersburg Pier. “What I’ve learned is that the people are yearning for new leaders with a different style of leadership.”
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Oct 11, 2013 15:05
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burmart posted:The Chicken Suited Owner of Saint Petersblog is now pushing the idea that Pitchman Anthony Sullivan will be running for Young's seat. ... The Britishy Billy Mays knock off, or the Sham-Wow guy who got his tongue bit off? I get them mixed up.
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Oct 11, 2013 15:06
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Teddybear posted:... The Britishy Billy Mays knock off, or the Sham-Wow guy who got his tongue bit off? I get them mixed up. Shamwow is Vince Shlomi, so I guess the former?
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Oct 11, 2013 15:26
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Cheekio posted:So it's like an open and shut case that Republicans won't have ruling majorities in the House or Senate in 2014, right? The total number of House seats Dems need isn't impossible, but it would require a Democratic wave to fight REALLY hard. I think I read recently that of the GOP House majority, only 10 live in districts that Obama won in 2012. The Senate is going to be tough due to many retirements and that many Dem Senators who rode on Obama's coattails in 2008 are now up for re-election in purple or red states.
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Oct 11, 2013 16:08
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burmart posted:The Chicken Suited Owner of Saint Petersblog is now pushing the idea that Pitchman Anthony Sullivan will be running for Young's seat. If he ran as an independent, it'd probably split the liberal and moderate vote, almost guaranteeing the seat stays in GOP hands. Sullivan led an unsuccessful campaign to tear down St. Pete's aging eyesore of a city pier and replacing it with an artsy-fartsy design (that many still consider an eyesore), so he's not new to local politics here. The pier's fate is a very polarizing issue, so if he tried running on the "I wanted to build the Lens" platform he probably wouldn't get much support. Ballz fucked around with this message at 16:21 on Oct 11, 2013 |
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Oct 11, 2013 16:19
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Ballz posted:If he ran as an independent, it'd probably split the liberal and moderate vote, almost guaranteeing the seat stays in GOP hands. It's unfortunate, because we're now just going to be stuck with the closed down inverted pyramid. The lens was better than nothing.
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Oct 11, 2013 16:28
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notthegoatseguy posted:The total number of House seats Dems need isn't impossible, but it would require a Democratic wave to fight REALLY hard. I think I read recently that of the GOP House majority, only 10 live in districts that Obama won in 2012. Two useful resources for this kind of thing: Presidential Vote by Congressional District (Daily Kos, but content is non-partisan) Cook PVI (which gives a basic rundown of how much of an advantage one party has in a Jack Johnson vs. John Jackson scenario) It's not even so much the Louie Gohmert (R+21) districts that create the huge Republican advantage, it's the large number of R+4, R+5, etc districts in comparison to the Democrats. This is why the generic ballot question is useful (where most people agree a national House vote win of ~7 points is where Democrats actually winning the House comes into play).
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Oct 11, 2013 18:37
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Yes, the likely scenario in such a case isn't getting the suicide caucus out of Congress, it's to get moderate GOP in purple districts out of office. Which is why you've got GOP reps like Peter King, etc., even talking as loudly as they are (not very) about ending the shutdown and getting on with business, and making backroom hush-hush off-the-record talk about voting for a clean CR. They're terrified, even if the suicide caucus isn't. And that's why the GOP house leadership had to make a rule that nobody could introduce legislation (clean CR, to end the shutdown) without getting it OK'd by Cantor/Boehner.
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Oct 11, 2013 19:33
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Poster for a Steve Lonegan rally.
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Oct 11, 2013 20:02
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Wayne Gretzky noooooo.
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Oct 11, 2013 20:06
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Joementum posted:Poster for a Steve Lonegan rally. Why does he look like slightly less disfigured Mason Verger in his own campaign poster?
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Oct 11, 2013 20:11
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 I laughed.
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Oct 11, 2013 20:24
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