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Wrong thread.
dirty shrimp money fucked around with this message at 00:13 on Nov 6, 2013 |
# ? Nov 4, 2013 02:33 |
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# ? May 21, 2024 18:33 |
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pre:# LW Team Record Score 1 3 Florida State 8-0 3.3643 2 1 Oregon 8-0 3.2088 3 2 Alabama 8-0 3.1820 4 4 Ohio State 9-0 2.8999 5 6 Missouri 8-1 2.6425 6 5 Baylor 7-0 2.4937 7 7 Stanford 7-1 2.2970 8 11 Clemson 8-1 2.2707 9 13 Michigan State 8-1 2.2315 10 8 Louisville 7-1 2.1750 11 12 Auburn 8-1 2.1109 12 16 Oklahoma State 7-1 2.0416 13 10 Oklahoma 7-1 1.9810 14 17 Arizona State 6-2 1.9292 15 21 Wisconsin 6-2 1.8517 16 9 Miami (FL) 7-1 1.8112 17 19 Northern Ill. 9-0 1.7744 18 14 LSU 7-2 1.7694 19 18 Houston 7-1 1.7632 20 15 UCF 6-1 1.7205 21 28 South Carolina 7-2 1.5357 22 25 Fresno State 8-0 1.4747 23 33 Texas A&M 7-2 1.4355 24 22 BYU 6-2 1.4219 25 26 UCLA 6-2 1.4124 pre:# LW Team Record Score 26 29 Texas 6-2 1.4052 27 24 Ball State 8-1 1.3635 28 31 Notre Dame 7-2 1.2753 29 20 Texas Tech 7-2 1.2544 30 32 Arizona 6-2 1.2347 31 35 Minnesota 7-2 1.1987 32 34 Duke 6-2 1.0640 33 27 Michigan 6-2 1.0362 34 41 Cincinnati 6-2 1.0123 35 36 Washington 5-3 1.0121 36 48 USC 6-3 1.0071 37 42 East Carolina 6-2 0.9983 38 38 Louisiana-Laf. 6-2 0.9973 39 23 Virginia Tech 6-3 0.9900 40 37 SUNY Buffalo 6-2 0.9691 41 46 Georgia Tech 6-3 0.9549 42 39 Ole Miss 5-3 0.9413 43 49 North Texas 6-3 0.9023 44 45 Nebraska 6-2 0.9010 45 51 Utah State 5-4 0.8957 46 30 Oregon State 6-3 0.8873 47 52 Toledo 6-3 0.8389 48 44 Ohio U 6-2 0.8249 (FBS MEAN) 49 56 Marshall 5-3 0.7735 50 54 Georgia 5-3 0.7727 51 53 Boise State 6-3 0.7354 52 40 Rice 6-3 0.7310 53 50 Bowling Green 5-3 0.7027 54 58 Old Dominion 6-3 0.6154 55 43 Tulane 6-3 0.5976 56 60 Texas State 6-3 0.5224 57 63 Penn State 5-3 0.4952 58 47 Iowa 5-4 0.4613 59 59 Maryland 5-3 0.3851 60 67 San Jose State 5-3 0.3584 61 57 Florida 4-4 0.2913 62 64 Vanderbilt 4-4 0.2467 63 76 Middle Tenn. 5-4 0.2344 64 68 Rutgers 5-3 0.2269 65 55 Mississippi St. 4-4 0.2129 66 61 Navy 4-4 0.2039 67 62 UNLV 5-4 0.1572 68 71 Wyoming 4-4 0.1166 69 73 Utah 4-4 0.1111 70 77 Arkansas State 4-4 0.0823 71 82 Boston College 4-4 0.0769 72 80 Western Ky. 5-4 0.0576 73 86 Kansas State 4-4 0.0255 74 81 West Virginia 4-5 0.0233 75 65 Pittsburgh 4-4 0.0125 76 84 Syracuse 4-4 0.0032 77 69 Northwestern 4-5 0.0029 78 66 Tennessee 4-5 0.0026 79 74 Washington St. 4-5 -0.0447 80 70 Troy 5-4 -0.0610 81 91 LA-Monroe 5-4 -0.0616 82 72 Wake Forest 4-5 -0.0849 83 75 Colorado State 4-5 -0.0913 84 93 North Carolina 3-5 -0.1603 85 78 Indiana 3-5 -0.1672 86 95 San Diego State 4-4 -0.1812 87 89 SMU 3-4 -0.2059 88 79 NC State 3-5 -0.2210 89 87 Colorado 3-5 -0.2416 90 83 TCU 3-6 -0.2428 91 100 UTSA 4-5 -0.2638 92 85 South Alabama 3-5 -0.2825 93 88 Illinois 3-5 -0.2941 94 90 Nevada 3-6 -0.3328 95 102 Kentucky 2-6 -0.3553 96 92 Army 3-6 -0.3644 97 106 Florida Atl. 3-6 -0.3919 98 97 Louisiana Tech 3-5 -0.3955 99 99 Central Mich. 3-5 -0.4062 100 96 Kansas 2-6 -0.4100 101 94 Arkansas 3-6 -0.4112 102 98 Virginia 2-7 -0.5414 103 101 New Mexico 2-6 -0.5583 104 111 Akron 3-7 -0.5755 105 107 South Florida 2-6 -0.5933 106 104 UAB 2-6 -0.6428 107 108 Iowa State 1-7 -0.6477 108 103 Memphis 1-6 -0.6546 109 105 Tulsa 2-6 -0.7060 110 109 Purdue 1-7 -0.7215 111 115 Air Force 2-7 -0.7805 112 110 California 1-8 -0.7964 113 118 Connecticut 0-7 -0.9122 114 113 Temple 1-8 -0.9331 115 112 Kent State 2-8 -0.9423 116 114 UTEP 1-7 -1.0127 pre:# LW Team Record Score 117 117 Massachusetts 1-8 -1.0248 118 120 Florida Intl. 1-7 -1.0333 119 116 Idaho 1-8 -1.0359 120 119 Eastern Mich. 1-8 -1.0431 121 121 Hawaii 0-8 -1.0452 122 122 Southern Miss 0-8 -1.1547 123 123 New Mexico St 1-8 -1.1674 124 124 Miami (OH) 0-8 -1.2027 125 125 Western Mich. 1-8 -1.2075 126 126 Georgia State 0-9 -1.7376 R^2 = .9546 E = .0005 ..... or Syracuse And hows about a big honkin chart for kicks
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# ? Nov 6, 2013 00:13 |
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Man, quiet thread this year. DIVISIONB.CSV This poll tends toward late-season stability, because it doesn't care about the order in which games are played. A late loss is no worse than an early loss. Thus Oregon just fell to #4. Don't take any of the FCS rankings seriously, as they're based purely on games vs FBS teams and thus aren't very fair. code:
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# ? Nov 11, 2013 19:18 |
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Every week I keep thinking I'll finally get motivated and run my poll, and every week I don't bother. Maybe this will be the week.
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# ? Nov 11, 2013 19:55 |
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wa27 posted:Every week I keep thinking I'll finally get motivated and run my poll, and every week I don't bother. I know that feeling. At least you didn't start the thread promising to do summary posts, then discover you'd broken your poll and just can't be assed to fix it. Maybe I'll make it up by going on a retrorating kick in the offseason, I don't know.
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# ? Nov 11, 2013 21:36 |
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I didn't run mine last week, but here's week 11!code:
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# ? Nov 12, 2013 02:00 |
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Second version of this week's poll, I forgot to control for teams that have only played 8 games. Still gently caress Art Briles tho.pre:# LW Team Record Score 1 1 Florida State 9-0 3.1092 2 6 Baylor 8-0 3.0433 3 3 Alabama 9-0 2.9504 4 4 Ohio State 9-0 2.5603 5 7 Stanford 8-1 2.4665 6 2 Oregon 8-1 2.3575 7 5 Missouri 9-1 2.1629 8 20 UCF 7-1 2.1317 9 10 Louisville 8-1 2.0492 10 11 Auburn 9-1 1.8848 11 8 Clemson 8-1 1.8817 12 9 Michigan State 8-1 1.8377 13 14 Arizona State 7-2 1.8023 14 15 Wisconsin 7-2 1.7880 15 12 Oklahoma State 8-1 1.6199 16 17 Northern Ill. 9-0 1.6124 17 22 Fresno State 9-0 1.5244 18 27 Ball State 9-1 1.4215 19 13 Oklahoma 7-2 1.4186 20 23 Texas A&M 8-2 1.3667 21 39 Virginia Tech 7-3 1.3412 22 19 Houston 7-2 1.3231 23 21 South Carolina 7-2 1.2983 24 25 UCLA 7-2 1.2948 25 16 Miami (FL) 7-2 1.2641 pre:# LW Team Record Score 26 35 Washington 6-3 1.2455 27 18 LSU 7-3 1.2393 28 40 Buffalo 7-2 1.2095 29 26 Texas 7-2 1.1930 30 31 Minnesota 8-2 1.1624 31 37 East Carolina 7-2 1.1192 32 43 North Texas 7-3 1.0716 33 24 BYU 6-3 1.0594 34 32 Duke 7-2 1.0401 35 42 Ole Miss 6-3 0.9957 36 50 Georgia 6-3 0.9851 37 34 Cincinnati 7-2 0.9791 38 36 USC 7-3 0.9490 39 38 La.-Lafayette 7-2 0.9246 40 49 Marshall 6-3 0.9140 41 28 Notre Dame 7-3 0.9140 42 44 Nebraska 7-2 0.9109 43 53 Bowling Green 6-3 0.8522 44 41 Georgia Tech 6-3 0.8495 45 29 Texas Tech 7-3 0.8484 46 33 Michigan 6-3 0.8131 47 30 Arizona 6-3 0.7927 48 54 Old Dominion* 7-3 0.7545 49 45 Utah State 6-4 0.7390 50 47 Toledo 6-3 0.7361 51 51 Boise State 6-3 0.6717 52 48 Ohio U 6-3 0.6679 53 58 Iowa 6-4 0.6567 54 52 Rice 6-3 0.6448 55 46 Oregon State 6-3 0.6370 56 56 Texas State 6-3 0.4957 57 62 Vanderbilt 5-4 0.4484 58 63 Middle Tenn. 6-4 0.4330 59 73 Kansas State 5-4 0.4323 60 75 Pittsburgh 5-4 0.4021 61 55 Tulane 6-4 0.3499 62 64 Rutgers 5-3 0.3299 63 66 Navy 5-4 0.3009 64 70 Arkansas State 5-4 0.2820 65 57 Penn State 5-4 0.2782 66 72 Western Ky. 6-4 0.2200 67 76 Syracuse 5-4 0.2174 68 71 Boston College 5-4 0.1937 69 60 San Jose State 5-4 0.1607 70 59 Maryland 5-4 0.1483 71 83 Colorado State 5-5 0.0357 72 69 Utah 4-5 0.0100 73 65 Mississippi St. 4-5 0.0058 74 67 UNLV 5-5 -0.0091 75 77 Northwestern 4-5 -0.0214 76 86 San Diego St. 5-4 -0.0361 77 61 Florida 4-5 -0.0430 78 79 Washington St. 4-5 -0.0492 79 84 North Carolina 4-5 -0.0497 80 85 Indiana 4-5 -0.0840 81 78 Tennessee 4-6 -0.1186 82 80 Troy 5-5 -0.1294 83 91 UTSA 5-5 -0.1350 84 68 Wyoming 4-5 -0.1420 85 74 West Virginia 4-6 -0.1497 86 98 Louisiana Tech 4-5 -0.1684 87 81 La.-Monroe 5-5 -0.1979 88 90 TCU 4-6 -0.2206 89 82 Wake Forest 4-6 -0.3250 90 88 NC State 3-6 -0.3294 91 97 Florida Atl. 3-6 -0.3665 92 92 South Alabama 3-5 -0.3774 93 93 Illinois 3-6 -0.4283 94 87 SMU 3-5 -0.4390 95 89 Colorado 3-6 -0.4658 96 94 Nevada 3-7 -0.4855 97 103 New Mexico 3-6 -0.4870 98 95 Kentucky 2-7 -0.4968 99 104 Akron 3-7 -0.5027 100 96 Army 3-7 -0.5464 101 101 Arkansas 3-7 -0.5524 102 99 Central Mich. 3-6 -0.5562 103 100 Kansas 2-7 -0.5683 104 108 Memphis 2-6 -0.5915 105 102 Virginia 2-8 -0.6909 106 105 South Florida 2-6 -0.7218 107 109 Tulsa 2-7 -0.8668 108 115 Kent State 2-8 -0.8747 109 110 Purdue 1-8 -0.8791 110 106 UAB 2-7 -0.8814 111 107 Iowa State 1-8 -0.9371 112 120 Eastern Mich. 2-8 -0.9676 113 112 California 1-9 -0.9749 114 114 Temple 1-8 -0.9886 115 119 Idaho 1-9 -1.0189 116 111 Air Force 2-8 -1.0430 pre:# LW Team Record Score 117 117 Massachusetts 1-8 -1.0807 118 118 Florida Intl. 1-8 -1.1567 119 116 UTEP 1-8 -1.1808 120 123 New Mexico St. 1-9 -1.2265 121 121 Hawaii 0-9 -1.2839 122 113 Connecticut 0-8 -1.3165 123 125 Western Mich. 1-9 -1.3490 124 122 Southern Miss 0-9 -1.4031 125 124 Miami (OH) 0-9 -1.4665 126 126 Georgia State* 0-9 -1.7853 1. SEC 2. Pac 12 3. Big 10 4. ACC 5. Big 12 6. American 7. MAC 8. Sun Belt 9. Mountain West 10. Conference USA dirty shrimp money fucked around with this message at 23:11 on Nov 13, 2013 |
# ? Nov 13, 2013 16:19 |
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Captain von Trapp posted:Man, quiet thread this year. wa27 posted:Every week I keep thinking I'll finally get motivated and run my poll, and every week I don't bother. Basil Hayden posted:I know that feeling. At least you didn't start the thread promising to do summary posts, then discover you'd broken your poll and just can't be assed to fix it. My poll was originally meant to give the true rankings of the team because no one else was doing it, but now that other people are doing it correctly, I don't need to worry about it, which is a nice change from the days when I spent 3 hours a week on the poll. I can read other people's work to know how teams are ranked instead of feeling like I need to do it myself.
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# ? Nov 18, 2013 00:26 |
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Fortunately mine is still pretty easy to run. It's about a 5-minute process to finagle the CFBStats.com data into last year's format, but one way or another, here's this week's poll & DIVISIONB pastebin.code:
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# ? Nov 18, 2013 01:26 |
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I gotta look into why UCF and Ohio State got thrown back so far. It can't just be strength of schedule (though OSU's is pretty poor). Something's not right.pre:# LW Team Record Score 1 1 Florida State 10-0 3.2647 2 3 Alabama 10-0 2.9809 3 2 Baylor 9-0 2.8562 4 6 Oregon 9-1 2.4180 5 9 Louisville 9-1 2.2297 6 5 Stanford 8-2 2.2071 7 7 Missouri 9-1 2.1302 8 11 Clemson 9-1 2.0267 9 14 Wisconsin 8-2 2.0226 10 13 Arizona State 8-2 2.0218 11 15 Oklahoma State 9-1 1.9649 12 10 Auburn 10-1 1.9576 13 12 Michigan State 9-1 1.9462 14 8 UCF 8-1 1.9142 15 4 Ohio State 10-0 1.7425 16 16 Northern Ill. 10-0 1.7246 17 17 Fresno State 9-0 1.6810 18 19 Oklahoma 8-2 1.5960 19 24 UCLA 8-2 1.4516 20 23 South Carolina 8-2 1.4113 21 20 Texas A&M 8-2 1.3707 22 52 Ohio U 6-4 1.3132 23 33 BYU 7-3 1.2999 24 31 East Carolina 8-2 1.2882 25 34 Duke 8-2 1.2753 pre:# LW Team Record Score 26 27 LSU 7-3 1.2518 27 22 Houston 7-3 1.2459 28 38 USC 8-3 1.2236 29 35 Ole Miss 7-3 1.2181 30 30 Minnesota 8-2 1.1512 31 37 Cincinnati 8-2 1.1315 32 18 Ball State 9-2 1.1209 33 43 Bowling Green 7-3 1.0932 34 32 North Texas 7-3 1.0680 35 25 Miami (FL) 7-3 1.0400 36 39 Louisiana-Laf. 8-2 1.0353 37 21 Virginia Tech 7-4 1.0153 38 29 Texas 7-3 1.0053 39 28 Buffalo 7-3 0.9551 40 46 Michigan 7-3 0.9545 41 40 Marshall 7-3 0.9454 42 26 Washington 6-4 0.9440 43 41 Notre Dame 7-3 0.9187 44 50 Toledo 7-3 0.9184 45 54 Rice 7-3 0.8717 46 51 Boise State 7-3 0.8701 47 48 Old Dominion 8-3 0.7997 48 49 Utah State 6-4 0.7417 49 36 Georgia 6-4 0.7388 50 57 Vanderbilt 6-4 0.6677 51 53 Iowa 6-4 0.6621 52 42 Nebraska 7-3 0.5900 53 47 Arizona 6-4 0.5633 54 45 Texas Tech 7-4 0.5568 55 59 Kansas State 6-4 0.5562 56 44 Georgia Tech 6-4 0.5447 57 65 Penn State 6-4 0.4858 58 63 Navy 6-4 0.4692 59 55 Oregon State 6-4 0.4398 60 64 Arkansas State 6-4 0.4320 61 58 Middle Tenn. 6-4 0.4233 62 68 Boston College 6-4 0.3863 63 61 Tulane 6-4 0.3468 64 56 Texas State 6-4 0.3423 65 70 Maryland 6-4 0.2767 66 66 Western Ky. 6-4 0.2209 67 60 Pittsburgh 5-5 0.1964 68 71 Colorado State 6-5 0.1877 69 76 San Diego State 6-4 0.0793 70 78 Washington St. 5-5 0.0552 71 62 Rutgers 5-4 0.0184 72 74 UNLV 5-5 -0.0092 73 79 North Carolina 5-5 -0.0275 74 69 San Jose State 5-5 -0.0317 75 67 Syracuse 5-5 -0.0406 76 83 UTSA 5-5 -0.0724 77 73 Mississippi St. 4-6 -0.0960 78 81 Tennessee 4-6 -0.1198 79 72 Utah 4-6 -0.1329 80 75 Northwestern 4-6 -0.1571 81 77 Florida 4-6 -0.1814 82 87 La.-Monroe 5-5 -0.1995 83 91 Fl. Atlantic 4-6 -0.2148 84 94 SMU 4-5 -0.2207 85 85 West Virginia 4-7 -0.2560 86 80 Indiana 4-6 -0.2562 87 82 Troy 5-6 -0.3063 88 89 Wake Forest 4-6 -0.3237 89 88 TCU 4-7 -0.3303 90 95 Colorado 4-6 -0.3510 91 84 Wyoming 4-6 -0.3548 92 99 Akron 4-7 -0.3849 93 90 NC State 3-7 -0.3861 94 104 Memphis 3-6 -0.3914 95 96 Nevada 4-7 -0.3954 96 86 Louisiana Tech 4-6 -0.4392 97 103 Kansas 3-7 -0.4827 98 93 Illinois 3-7 -0.5164 99 102 Central Mich. 4-6 -0.5344 100 101 Arkansas 3-7 -0.5442 101 100 Army 3-7 -0.5444 102 92 South Alabama 3-6 -0.5762 103 98 Kentucky 2-8 -0.6546 104 105 Virginia 2-8 -0.6909 105 108 Kent State 3-8 -0.7102 106 106 South Florida 2-7 -0.8349 107 120 New Mexico St. 1-9 -0.9142 108 107 Tulsa 2-8 -0.9284 109 97 New Mexico 3-7 -0.9289 110 112 Eastern Mich. 2-8 -0.9673 111 109 Purdue 1-9 -0.9902 112 110 UAB 2-8 -1.0160 113 113 California 1-10 -1.0179 114 115 Idaho 1-9 -1.0189 115 114 Temple 1-9 -1.0245 116 111 Iowa State 1-9 -1.0397 pre:# LW Team Record Score 117 116 Air Force 2-8 -1.0540 118 119 UTEP 2-8 -1.0598 119 117 Massachusetts 1-9 -1.2631 120 123 Western Mich. 1-10 -1.3401 121 122 Connecticut 0-9 -1.3422 122 118 Fl. Intl. 1-9 -1.3893 123 121 Hawaii 0-10 -1.4327 124 124 Southern Miss 0-10 -1.6725 125 125 Miami (OH) 0-10 -1.6971 126 126 Georgia State 0-10 -1.8558
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# ? Nov 18, 2013 05:11 |
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Here's mine. I've got the opposite problem and need to do some tweaking to do based on UCF getting a big bump for beating 1 win Temple.code:
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# ? Nov 19, 2013 00:30 |
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Alright, I finally got around to running my poll for the past 12 weeks.quote:Description The story of the season so far is Oregon took #1 from Bama in week 4 and has held it since then. They stayed a heavy favorite against Utah so they haven't dropped since the Stanford loss. The top four teams have been pretty far ahead of the rest until this week, when Ohio State jumped up closer to that group. My poll is really starting to show it's bias towards high-scoring teams this year thanks to Baylor, Oregon, and FSU. Tidbits: -This week the poll predicted the spreads of each game to within an average difference of 3.64 points. Not spectacular because it was averaging around 3.00 in the later weeks of 2012. I didn't make any changes to the formula this year. -FSU will probably lose points next week. My poll is predicting the spread to be a whopping -62.73, while the actual spread is "only" -56.5. This is an extreme example of how lopsided games have too much of an influence on my rankings. They'll only lose a point or two, but I should probably change the poll next year to have the influence variable scale down as the spread goes up. code:
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# ? Nov 19, 2013 02:37 |
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Uh oh - Bama got hit hard with the FCS tax, FSU jumped them to #1code:
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# ? Nov 25, 2013 20:42 |
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MC Fruit Stripe posted:The NCAA ended my poll by changing the way stats are presented on their page. Glad I'm not the only one this happened to. I might still run my poll at the end of the year if I can figure out how to impore the stats. I also haven't had the free time I did last year, and my team sucks bad so I've been less interested overall in CFB this year.
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# ? Nov 25, 2013 21:01 |
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I've been pasting data from this page and converting it to something I can plug into my table. Beats the first couple of weeks when I did everything by hand. Great time killer when I'm waiting on some database or server patching stuff. As for Ohio State dropping so far, turns out I was importing some Frank Solich brand Ohio Bobcat data for them, and vice versa...and like bad Mexican food it worked through the system and crapped out some stuff. Same happened for FAU/FIU. pre:# LW Team Record Score 1 1 Florida State 11-0 3.2040 2 2 Alabama 11-0 3.1311 3 -- Ohio State 11-0 2.8725 4 3 Baylor 9-1 2.5557 5 7 Missouri 10-1 2.5184 6 11 Oklahoma State 10-1 2.3772 7 6 Stanford 9-2 2.3742 8 10 Arizona State 9-2 2.3322 9 13 Michigan State 10-1 2.3012 10 12 Auburn 10-1 2.2821 11 9 Wisconsin 9-2 2.2733 12 5 Louisville 10-1 2.2536 13 8 Clemson 10-1 2.2391 14 4 Oregon 9-2 2.1120 15 14 UCF 9-1 1.9502 16 16 Northern Illinois 11-0 1.8869 17 17 Fresno State 10-0 1.8375 18 20 South Carolina 9-2 1.8126 19 18 Oklahoma 9-2 1.7993 20 26 LSU 8-3 1.5701 21 24 East Carolina 9-2 1.3927 22 33 Bowling Green 8-3 1.3467 23 19 UCLA 8-3 1.3026 24 25 Duke 9-2 1.2692 25 31 Cincinnati 9-2 1.2514 pre:# LW Team Record Score 26 38 Texas 7-3 1.2505 27 32 Ball State 9-2 1.2127 28 42 Washington 7-4 1.1891 29 21 Texas A&M 8-3 1.1808 30 39 Buffalo 8-3 1.1798 31 43 Notre Dame 8-3 1.1460 32 35 Miami (FL) 8-3 1.1381 33 28 USC 9-3 1.1330 34 41 Marshall 8-3 1.1302 35 36 Louisiana-Lafayette 8-2 1.1302 36 37 Virginia Tech 7-4 1.1196 37 30 Minnesota 8-3 1.0695 38 27 Houston 7-4 1.0345 39 53 Arizona 7-4 1.0324 40 52 Nebraska 8-3 1.0091 41 29 Ole Miss 7-4 0.9857 42 49 Georgia 7-4 0.9750 43 23 BYU 7-4 0.9409 44 45 Rice 8-3 0.9064 45 48 Utah State 7-4 0.8840 46 40 Michigan 7-4 0.8496 47 56 Georgia Tech 7-4 0.8084 48 34 North Texas 7-4 0.7948 49 51 Iowa 7-4 0.7686 50 50 Vanderbilt 7-4 0.7512 51 46 Boise State 7-4 0.6585 52 44 Toledo 7-4 0.6483 53 54 Texas Tech 7-4 0.6216 54 63 Tulane 7-4 0.5908 55 58 Navy 7-4 0.5867 56 60 Arkansas State 7-4 0.5371 57 61 Middle Tennessee 7-4 0.5335 58 62 Boston College 7-4 0.4945 59 47 Old Dominion (FBS-T) 8-4 0.4709 60 66 Western Kentucky 7-4 0.4617 61 57 Penn State 6-5 0.3220 62 67 Pittsburgh 6-5 0.3203 63 73 North Carolina 6-5 0.2941 64 55 Kansas State 6-5 0.2895 65 70 Washington State 6-5 0.2026 66 69 San Diego State 7-4 0.1902 67 59 Oregon State 6-5 0.1540 68 72 UNLV 6-5 0.1520 69 76 UTSA 6-5 0.1348 70 65 Maryland 6-5 0.0950 71 -- Ohio U 6-5 0.0901 72 64 Texas State 6-5 0.0804 73 68 Colorado State 6-6 0.0190 74 77 Mississippi State 5-6 0.0151 75 84 SMU 5-5 -0.0684 76 122 Florida Atlantic 5-6 -0.0812 77 75 Syracuse 5-6 -0.1327 78 71 Rutgers 5-5 -0.1795 79 74 San Jose State 5-6 -0.1809 80 78 Tennessee 4-7 -0.2080 81 91 Wyoming 5-6 -0.2367 82 79 Utah 4-7 -0.2560 83 89 TCU 4-7 -0.3084 84 85 West Virginia 4-7 -0.3251 85 82 Louisiana-Monroe 5-6 -0.3305 86 87 Troy 5-6 -0.3315 87 80 Northwestern 4-7 -0.3326 88 86 Indiana 4-7 -0.3333 89 99 Central Michigan 5-6 -0.3757 90 102 South Alabama 4-6 -0.3944 91 83 Florida 4-7 -0.4153 92 88 Wake Forest 4-7 -0.4327 93 92 Akron 4-7 -0.4370 94 95 Nevada 4-7 -0.4503 95 98 Illinois 4-7 -0.4884 96 90 Colorado 4-7 -0.5424 97 94 Memphis 3-7 -0.5534 98 105 Kent State 4-8 -0.5619 99 96 Louisiana Tech 4-7 -0.6103 100 101 Army 3-7 -0.6296 101 97 Kansas 3-8 -0.6371 102 93 NC State 3-8 -0.6413 103 100 Arkansas 3-8 -0.6726 104 108 Tulsa 3-8 -0.7485 105 104 Virginia 2-9 -0.7873 106 103 Kentucky 2-9 -0.7997 107 109 New Mexico 3-8 -0.9006 108 106 South Florida 2-8 -0.9162 109 116 Iowa State 2-9 -1.0045 110 111 Purdue 1-10 -1.0527 111 112 UAB 2-9 -1.1118 112 114 Idaho 1-10 -1.1284 113 110 Eastern Michigan 2-9 -1.1685 114 117 Air Force 2-9 -1.1749 115 113 California 1-11 -1.1778 116 118 UTEP 2-9 -1.2559 pre:# LW Team Record Score 117 121 Connecticut 1-9 -1.3301 118 115 Temple 1-10 -1.3400 119 119 Massachusetts 1-10 -1.3912 120 81 Florida International 1-10 -1.3926 121 120 Western Michigan 1-10 -1.4040 122 107 New Mexico State 1-10 -1.4181 123 123 Hawaii 0-11 -1.6518 124 125 Miami (OH) 0-11 -1.6726 125 126 Georgia State (FBS-T) 0-11 -1.9784 126 124 Southern Miss 0-11 -1.9793 1. SEC 2. Pac 12 3. Big 10 4. Big 12 5. ACC 6. American 7. MAC 8. Conference USA 9. Mountain West 10. Sun Belt dirty shrimp money fucked around with this message at 23:45 on Nov 25, 2013 |
# ? Nov 25, 2013 23:36 |
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My poll all of a sudden really likes Missouri. pre:Rank LW Team Record Score 1 1 Florida State 12-0 3.2590 2 5 Missouri 11-1 3.0385 3 2 Alabama 11-1 2.8748 4 7 Stanford 10-2 2.7782 5 3 Ohio State 12-0 2.6485 6 8 Arizona State 10-2 2.6265 7 6 Oklahoma State 10-1 2.5907 8 4 Baylor 10-1 2.5896 9 10 Auburn 11-1 2.4736 10 12 Louisville 10-1 2.4320 11 9 Michigan State 11-1 2.4138 12 18 South Carolina 10-2 2.2164 13 14 Oregon 10-2 2.2077 14 16 Northern Illinois 12-0 2.0835 15 15 UCF 10-1 2.0423 16 11 Wisconsin 9-3 2.0328 17 19 Oklahoma 9-2 1.9576 18 13 Clemson 10-2 1.9074 19 20 LSU 9-3 1.6664 20 17 Fresno State 10-1 1.6177 21 23 UCLA 9-3 1.6111 22 24 Duke 10-2 1.5886 23 22 Bowling Green 9-3 1.4970 24 26 Texas 8-3 1.4371 25 27 Ball State 10-2 1.4029 pre:Rank LW Team Record Score 26 25 Cincinnati 9-2 1.3497 27 28 Washington 8-4 1.3457 28 38 Houston 8-4 1.2989 29 32 Miami (FL) 9-3 1.2729 30 36 Virginia Tech 8-4 1.2642 31 34 Marshall 9-3 1.2541 32 42 Georgia 8-4 1.1416 33 43 BYU 8-4 1.1332 34 21 East Carolina 9-3 1.1153 35 45 Utah State 8-4 1.1005 36 44 Rice 9-3 1.0635 37 49 Iowa 8-4 0.9937 38 48 North Texas 8-4 0.9861 39 31 Notre Dame 8-4 0.9331 40 29 Texas A&M 8-4 0.9088 41 30 Buffalo 8-4 0.9005 42 35 Louisiana-Lafayette 8-3 0.8975 43 33 USC 9-4 0.8874 44 50 Vanderbilt 8-4 0.8728 45 37 Minnesota 8-4 0.8673 46 51 Boise State 8-4 0.8374 47 41 Ole Miss 7-5 0.7180 48 39 Arizona 7-5 0.7093 49 57 Middle Tennessee 8-4 0.7032 50 46 Michigan 7-5 0.6827 51 61 Penn State 7-5 0.6703 52 55 Navy 7-4 0.6354 53 47 Georgia Tech 7-5 0.5513 54 64 Kansas State 7-5 0.5416 55 60 Western Kentucky 8-4 0.5375 56 40 Nebraska 8-4 0.5148 57 59 Old Dominion (FBS-T) 8-4 0.5118 58 52 Toledo 7-5 0.4655 59 71 Ohio U 7-5 0.4495 60 54 Tulane 7-5 0.4391 61 53 Texas Tech 7-5 0.3715 62 56 Arkansas State 7-5 0.3279 63 68 UNLV 7-5 0.3238 64 69 UTSA 7-5 0.3192 65 58 Boston College 7-5 0.2889 66 70 Maryland 7-5 0.2339 67 74 Mississippi State 6-6 0.2243 68 73 Colorado State 7-6 0.1920 69 63 North Carolina 6-6 0.1178 70 62 Pittsburgh 6-6 0.0888 71 79 San Jose State 6-6 0.0703 72 65 Washington State 6-6 0.0411 73 76 Florida Atlantic 6-6 0.0332 74 77 Syracuse 6-6 -0.0074 75 66 San Diego State 7-5 -0.0109 76 67 Oregon State 6-6 -0.0246 77 72 Texas State 6-6 -0.0923 78 80 Tennessee 5-7 -0.1199 79 82 Utah 5-7 -0.1645 80 86 Troy 6-6 -0.1822 81 85 Louisiana-Monroe 6-6 -0.1834 82 90 South Alabama 5-6 -0.1894 83 89 Central Michigan 6-6 -0.2074 84 87 Northwestern 5-7 -0.2218 85 88 Indiana 5-7 -0.2494 86 75 SMU 5-6 -0.2895 87 93 Akron 5-7 -0.3355 88 78 Rutgers 5-6 -0.3689 89 81 Wyoming 5-7 -0.4177 90 83 TCU 4-8 -0.4593 91 94 Nevada 4-8 -0.4598 92 91 Florida 4-8 -0.4749 93 84 West Virginia 4-8 -0.4834 94 92 Wake Forest 4-8 -0.5334 95 98 Kent State 4-8 -0.5799 96 95 Illinois 4-8 -0.6066 97 96 Colorado 4-8 -0.6503 98 102 NC State 3-9 -0.6857 99 97 Memphis 3-8 -0.7031 100 100 Army 3-8 -0.7388 101 99 Louisiana Tech 4-8 -0.7751 102 103 Arkansas 3-9 -0.7960 103 101 Kansas 3-9 -0.8108 104 104 Tulsa 3-9 -0.8575 105 109 Iowa State 3-9 -0.8810 106 106 Kentucky 2-10 -0.8817 107 105 Virginia 2-10 -0.8949 108 108 South Florida 2-9 -0.9856 109 107 New Mexico 3-9 -1.0367 110 110 Purdue 1-11 -1.1360 111 117 Connecticut 2-9 -1.2092 112 112 Idaho 1-11 -1.2152 113 118 Temple 2-10 -1.2182 114 111 UAB 2-10 -1.2451 115 115 California 1-11 -1.2468 116 113 Eastern Michigan 2-10 -1.2947 pre:Rank LW Team Record Score 117 114 Air Force 2-10 -1.3645 118 122 New Mexico State 2-10 -1.4301 119 116 UTEP 2-10 -1.4382 120 121 Western Michigan 1-11 -1.5113 121 119 Massachusetts 1-11 -1.5506 122 123 Hawaii 1-11 -1.5585 123 120 Florida International 1-11 -1.5983 124 126 Southern Miss 1-11 -1.8226 125 124 Miami (OH) 0-12 -1.8486 126 125 Georgia State (FBS-T) 0-12 -2.1739
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# ? Dec 2, 2013 17:46 |
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Haven't done this in a few weeks, but since it's the end of the pre-bowl season I'll go ahead and post the latest result. FBS only, though the ratings are derived from games against FCS teams also, provided the FCS teams have played more than 1 FBS team.code:
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# ? Dec 9, 2013 07:32 |
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So, 1 plays 3.pre:# LW Team Record Final Score 1 1 Florida State 13-0 3.2303 2 3 Alabama 11-1 2.5662 3 9 Auburn 12-1 2.5104 4 8 Baylor 11-1 2.4901 5 11 Michigan State 12-1 2.4086 6 4 Stanford 11-2 2.3753 7 5 Ohio State 12-1 2.3605 8 2 Missouri 11-2 2.3399 9 10 Louisville 11-1 2.2206 10 6 Arizona State 10-3 2.0447 11 12 South Carolina 10-2 1.9987 12 13 Oregon 10-2 1.9622 13 7 Oklahoma State 10-2 1.9611 14 14 Northern Illinois 12-1 1.8828 15 18 Clemson 10-2 1.8761 16 15 UCF 11-1 1.7922 17 16 Wisconsin 9-3 1.7823 18 17 Oklahoma 10-2 1.7175 19 23 Bowling Green 10-3 1.6328 20 20 Fresno State 11-1 1.5631 21 25 Ball State 10-2 1.3817 22 21 UCLA 9-3 1.3803 23 19 LSU 9-3 1.3534 24 28 Houston 8-4 1.2949 25 27 Washington 8-4 1.2386 pre:# LW Team Record Final Score 26 22 Duke 10-3 1.2345 27 36 Rice 10-3 1.1964 28 29 Miami (FL) 9-3 1.1843 29 30 Virginia Tech 8-4 1.1770 30 34 East Carolina 9-3 1.1112 31 33 BYU 8-4 1.0541 32 26 Cincinnati 9-3 1.0535 33 31 Marshall 9-4 1.0154 34 38 North Texas 8-4 0.9758 35 37 Iowa 8-4 0.9745 36 43 USC 9-4 0.9677 37 35 Utah State 8-5 0.9412 38 32 Georgia 8-4 0.9316 39 40 Texas A&M 8-4 0.9112 40 24 Texas 8-4 0.8844 41 41 Buffalo 8-4 0.8658 42 46 Boise State 8-4 0.8521 43 39 Notre Dame 8-4 0.8286 44 45 Minnesota 8-4 0.8066 45 44 Vanderbilt 8-4 0.7468 46 49 Middle Tennessee 8-4 0.6980 47 47 Ole Miss 7-5 0.6131 48 48 Arizona 7-5 0.6040 49 42 Louisiana-Lafayette 8-4 0.6029 50 52 Navy 7-4 0.5910 51 50 Michigan 7-5 0.5910 52 53 Georgia Tech 7-5 0.5644 53 55 Western Kentucky 8-4 0.5416 54 57 Old Dominion (FBS-T) 8-4 0.5197 55 56 Nebraska 8-4 0.5131 56 51 Penn State 7-5 0.4632 57 60 Tulane 7-5 0.4626 58 58 Toledo 7-5 0.4535 59 59 Ohio U 7-5 0.4420 60 54 Kansas State 7-5 0.4287 61 63 UNLV 7-5 0.3273 62 62 Arkansas State 7-5 0.3246 63 64 UTSA 7-5 0.3123 64 65 Boston College 7-5 0.2961 65 61 Texas Tech 7-5 0.2707 66 66 Maryland 7-5 0.2331 67 67 Mississippi State 6-6 0.2237 68 68 Colorado State 7-6 0.2088 69 69 North Carolina 6-6 0.1188 70 82 South Alabama 6-6 0.0388 71 73 Florida Atlantic 6-6 0.0316 72 74 Syracuse 6-6 -0.0068 73 70 Pittsburgh 6-6 -0.0108 74 75 San Diego State 7-5 -0.0111 75 76 Oregon State 6-6 -0.0257 76 71 San Jose State 6-6 -0.0281 77 72 Washington State 6-6 -0.0612 78 77 Texas State 6-6 -0.0920 79 81 Louisiana-Monroe 6-6 -0.1702 80 80 Troy 6-6 -0.1758 81 88 Rutgers 6-6 -0.1909 82 83 Central Michigan 6-6 -0.2123 83 78 Tennessee 5-7 -0.2211 84 84 Northwestern 5-7 -0.2278 85 85 Indiana 5-7 -0.2507 86 79 Utah 5-7 -0.2631 87 87 Akron 5-7 -0.3685 88 89 Wyoming 5-7 -0.4192 89 86 SMU 5-7 -0.4196 90 91 Nevada 4-8 -0.4451 91 90 TCU 4-8 -0.4658 92 92 Florida 4-8 -0.4849 93 94 Wake Forest 4-8 -0.5258 94 95 Kent State 4-8 -0.5876 95 93 West Virginia 4-8 -0.5977 96 96 Illinois 4-8 -0.6298 97 97 Colorado 4-8 -0.6417 98 98 NC State 3-9 -0.6602 99 100 Army 3-8 -0.7207 100 101 Louisiana Tech 4-8 -0.7802 101 103 Kansas 3-9 -0.7958 102 102 Arkansas 3-9 -0.7999 103 104 Tulsa 3-9 -0.8373 104 99 Memphis 3-9 -0.8511 105 107 Virginia 2-10 -0.8717 106 105 Iowa State 3-9 -0.8770 107 106 Kentucky 2-10 -0.8908 108 111 Connecticut 3-9 -0.9486 109 109 New Mexico 3-9 -1.0255 110 108 South Florida 2-10 -1.0286 111 110 Purdue 1-11 -1.1299 112 112 Idaho 1-11 -1.2089 113 115 California 1-11 -1.2151 114 114 UAB 2-10 -1.2154 115 116 Eastern Michigan 2-10 -1.2169 116 113 Temple 2-10 -1.2182 pre:# LW Team Record Final Score 117 117 Air Force 2-10 -1.2862 118 122 Hawaii 1-11 -1.3965 119 118 New Mexico State 2-10 -1.4197 120 119 UTEP 2-10 -1.4231 121 120 Western Michigan 1-11 -1.5177 122 121 Massachusetts 1-11 -1.5771 123 123 Florida International 1-11 -1.6236 124 124 Southern Miss 1-11 -1.7824 125 125 Miami (OH) 0-12 -1.8338 126 126 Georgia State (FBS-T) 0-12 -2.0487 pre:1 Purdue 2 Tennessee 3 Virginia 4 Indiana 5 Mississippi State 6 Utah 7 California 8 Idaho 9 Florida 10 Georgia 11 Arizona State 12 Kentucky 13 Texas A&M 14 Pittsburgh 15 South Florida 16 Ole Miss 17 Virginia Tech 18 Notre Dame 19 North Carolina 20 Arkansas 21 Wake Forest 22 Tulsa 23 NC State 24 Stanford 25 Michigan dirty shrimp money fucked around with this message at 20:07 on Dec 9, 2013 |
# ? Dec 9, 2013 20:02 |
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And here I have an additional moon poll I played around with this morning...using my poll and strength of schedule calculations, mixed in with each team's opponents' opponents' average score, I developed a sort of RPI of my own. This poll seems to sort of underrate even good mid-majors badly because it hits them for their schedule, again for their conference schedule, and the fact their mid-major conference mates play a mid-major conference schedule, but this could be the basis of a power conference-only poll next year or if I want to do a NFL power ranking: pre:1 Auburn 0.8216 2 Florida State 0.8056 3 Stanford 0.7627 4 Arizona State 0.7484 5 Missouri 0.7252 6 Alabama 0.7024 7 Ohio State 0.6334 8 South Carolina 0.6329 9 Baylor 0.6259 10 Michigan State 0.6102 11 Oregon 0.5728 12 Georgia 0.5615 13 Clemson 0.5596 14 Oklahoma State 0.5515 15 Wisconsin 0.5070 16 Virginia Tech 0.5062 17 Oklahoma 0.5020 18 Texas A&M 0.4881 19 Notre Dame 0.4629 20 Washington 0.4628 21 LSU 0.4572 22 Mississippi State 0.4571 23 Ole Miss 0.4427 24 UCLA 0.4352 25 BYU 0.4292 26 Louisville 0.4113 27 Iowa 0.4025 28 Duke 0.3962 29 Miami (FL) 0.3926 30 UCF 0.3909 31 Michigan 0.3782 32 Houston 0.3742 33 Texas 0.3509 34 Minnesota 0.3493 35 Tennessee 0.3467 36 Georgia Tech 0.3415 37 Arizona 0.3242 38 USC 0.3128 39 Pittsburgh 0.3047 40 North Carolina 0.3035 41 Indiana 0.3011 42 Northern Illinois 0.2983 43 Utah 0.2868 44 Bowling Green 0.2854 45 Washington State 0.2717 46 Penn State 0.2539 47 Fresno State 0.2290 48 Kansas State 0.2228 49 Vanderbilt 0.2216 50 Toledo 0.2165 51 Rice 0.2156 52 Syracuse 0.2120 53 Boston College 0.2040 54 Florida 0.2006 55 Utah State 0.1950 56 North Texas 0.1738 57 Nebraska 0.1723 58 East Carolina 0.1684 59 Texas Tech 0.1658 60 Boise State 0.1417 61 Ball State 0.1327 62 Oregon State 0.1294 63 Buffalo 0.1260 64 Northwestern 0.1196 65 UTSA 0.1192 66 Maryland 0.1118 67 Marshall 0.1085 68 San Jose State 0.1009 69 Navy 0.0888 70 Virginia 0.0818 71 Tulane 0.0773 72 Wake Forest 0.0746 73 Ohio U 0.0620 74 TCU 0.0506 75 Arkansas State 0.0405 76 Nevada 0.0285 77 Arkansas 0.0218 78 Middle Tennessee 0.0174 79 Cincinnati 0.0135 80 Louisiana-Monroe 0.0081 81 Kentucky 0.0077 82 UNLV 0.0051 83 NC State 0.0032 84 Florida Atlantic -0.0024 85 Illinois -0.0057 86 Colorado -0.0098 87 Purdue -0.0107 88 Akron -0.0195 89 Western Kentucky -0.0377 90 Rutgers -0.0405 91 Louisiana-Lafayette -0.0589 92 Kansas -0.0703 93 West Virginia -0.0725 94 Kent State -0.0727 95 Old Dominion (FBS-T) -0.0779 96 South Alabama -0.0823 97 San Diego State -0.0843 98 Colorado State -0.0843 99 Iowa State -0.0856 100 California -0.0881 101 Troy -0.0990 102 Tulsa -0.1032 103 South Florida -0.1186 104 SMU -0.1409 105 Memphis -0.1424 106 Idaho -0.1590 107 Central Michigan -0.1991 108 Connecticut -0.2118 109 Wyoming -0.2226 110 Texas State -0.2667 111 Eastern Michigan -0.2780 112 Temple -0.2924 113 UAB -0.3008 114 New Mexico -0.3077 115 Army -0.3136 116 Hawaii -0.3315 117 Air Force -0.3382 118 Western Michigan -0.3502 119 New Mexico State -0.3741 120 Massachusetts -0.3855 121 UTEP -0.4356 122 Florida International -0.4478 123 Louisiana Tech -0.4509 124 Miami (OH) -0.4845 125 Southern Miss -0.5029 126 Georgia State (FBS-T) -0.5654
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# ? Dec 9, 2013 20:20 |
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Final poll:pre:Rank LW Team Record Final Score 1 1 Florida State 14-0 3.4997 2 6 Missouri 12-2 2.7768 3 2 Auburn 12-2 2.6728 4 8 Michigan State 13-1 2.4909 5 9 South Carolina 11-2 2.4513 6 5 Stanford 11-3 2.4156 7 3 Alabama 11-2 2.3662 8 15 Oklahoma 11-2 2.2861 9 11 Louisville 12-1 2.2473 10 4 Baylor 11-2 2.2408 11 7 Ohio State 12-2 2.1596 12 14 Oregon 11-2 2.1325 13 13 Clemson 11-2 2.1153 14 16 UCF 12-1 2.0962 15 12 Oklahoma State 10-3 1.9506 16 10 Arizona State 10-4 1.9146 17 21 UCLA 10-3 1.7835 18 18 Northern Illinois 12-2 1.6475 19 22 LSU 10-3 1.5229 20 17 Wisconsin 9-4 1.4483 21 26 Washington 9-4 1.4377 22 19 Bowling Green 10-4 1.3594 23 33 USC 10-4 1.3525 24 20 Fresno State 11-2 1.3329 25 31 East Carolina 10-3 1.2533 pre:Rank LW Team Record Final Score 26 38 Texas A&M 9-4 1.2243 27 24 Ball State 10-3 1.1670 28 36 Utah State 9-5 1.1261 29 41 Notre Dame 9-4 1.1158 30 40 North Texas 9-4 1.0968 31 37 Marshall 10-4 1.0855 32 23 Houston 8-5 1.0795 33 25 Miami (FL) 9-4 1.0736 34 27 Duke 10-4 1.0507 35 29 Rice 10-4 1.0110 36 45 Navy 9-4 0.9207 37 28 Virginia Tech 8-5 0.9183 38 46 Vanderbilt 9-4 0.8841 39 30 BYU 8-5 0.8441 40 48 Ole Miss 8-5 0.8327 41 35 Cincinnati 9-4 0.8048 42 49 Arizona 8-5 0.8015 43 34 Georgia 8-5 0.7867 44 39 Texas 8-5 0.7704 45 32 Iowa 8-5 0.7460 46 52 Louisiana-Lafayette 9-4 0.7042 47 54 Nebraska 9-4 0.6594 48 42 Buffalo 8-5 0.6325 49 43 Boise State 8-5 0.6122 50 44 Minnesota 8-5 0.5986 51 60 Kansas State 8-5 0.5935 52 61 Arkansas State 8-5 0.5490 53 47 Middle Tennessee 8-5 0.5375 54 53 Western Kentucky 8-4 0.5272 55 65 Texas Tech 8-5 0.4950 56 55 Old Dominion (FBS-T) 8-4 0.4834 57 57 Penn State 7-5 0.4830 58 66 Mississippi State 7-6 0.4662 59 56 Toledo 7-5 0.4573 60 50 Michigan 7-6 0.3976 61 69 North Carolina 7-6 0.3387 62 63 UTSA 7-5 0.3192 63 51 Georgia Tech 7-6 0.3179 64 68 Colorado State 8-6 0.3099 65 58 Tulane 7-6 0.2787 66 59 Ohio U 7-6 0.2286 67 73 Pittsburgh 7-6 0.1625 68 72 Syracuse 7-6 0.1560 69 62 UNLV 7-6 0.1509 70 75 Oregon State 7-6 0.1391 71 74 San Diego State 8-5 0.1362 72 64 Boston College 7-6 0.1084 73 67 Maryland 7-6 0.0482 74 70 South Alabama 6-6 0.0377 75 71 Florida Atlantic 6-6 0.0307 76 76 San Jose State 6-6 -0.0275 77 78 Texas State 6-6 -0.0962 78 77 Washington State 6-7 -0.1624 79 79 Louisiana-Monroe 6-6 -0.1718 80 80 Troy 6-6 -0.1834 81 82 Tennessee 5-7 -0.1891 82 84 Central Michigan 6-6 -0.2254 83 83 Indiana 5-7 -0.2280 84 85 Northwestern 5-7 -0.2323 85 86 Utah 5-7 -0.2331 86 81 Rutgers 6-7 -0.3827 87 87 Akron 5-7 -0.3836 88 88 Nevada 4-8 -0.4248 89 89 Wyoming 5-7 -0.4356 90 90 Florida 4-8 -0.4362 91 92 TCU 4-8 -0.4433 92 91 SMU 5-7 -0.4443 93 93 Wake Forest 4-8 -0.4961 94 94 Kent State 4-8 -0.6088 95 96 NC State 3-9 -0.6128 96 95 Illinois 4-8 -0.6189 97 97 West Virginia 4-8 -0.6235 98 98 Colorado 4-8 -0.6251 99 102 Tulsa 3-9 -0.7327 100 99 Arkansas 3-9 -0.7378 101 101 Kansas 3-9 -0.7708 102 100 Virginia 2-10 -0.8031 103 104 Kentucky 2-10 -0.8131 104 103 Louisiana Tech 4-8 -0.8155 105 105 Memphis 3-9 -0.8379 106 106 Iowa State 3-9 -0.8568 107 107 South Florida 2-10 -0.9793 108 108 Purdue 1-11 -0.9879 109 111 New Mexico 3-9 -1.0048 110 110 Army 3-9 -1.0053 111 112 Idaho 1-11 -1.0103 112 109 Connecticut 3-9 -1.0118 113 113 California 1-11 -1.1130 114 118 Hawaii 1-11 -1.1966 115 115 UAB 2-10 -1.2349 116 116 Temple 2-10 -1.2939 pre:Rank LW Team Record Final Score 117 117 Air Force 2-10 -1.3000 118 114 Eastern Michigan 2-10 -1.3522 119 120 UTEP 2-10 -1.4315 120 119 New Mexico State 2-10 -1.4841 121 121 Western Michigan 1-11 -1.6023 122 123 Florida International 1-11 -1.6459 123 122 Massachusetts 1-11 -1.6843 124 124 Southern Miss 1-11 -1.7191 125 125 Miami (OH) 0-12 -1.8701 126 126 Georgia State (FBS-T) 0-12 -2.3477 1. SEC 2. Pac 12 3. ACC 4. Big 10 5. Big 12 6. American 7. Mountain West 8. Conference USA 9. MAC 10. Sun Belt
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# ? Jan 7, 2014 16:28 |
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Hey so I finally ran the last six weeks of my poll. congrats to Oregon! FSU was actually in first going into bowls, but the huge spread for Oregon over Texas was enough to put them on top. Also my poll has been down on Auburn since the start. code:
wa27 fucked around with this message at 02:00 on May 6, 2014 |
# ? May 6, 2014 01:06 |
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your poll really liked TCU...
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# ? May 6, 2014 01:24 |
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Woah! I just found a bug in my poll. Apparently Vegasinsider uses "pk" instead of 0 for an even matchup. I missed this for the past three years, so games that should have been even got practically random values assigned for their point spreads. I'm not sure how I didn't notice this before, especially in previous years when I spent a lot of time looking at the results. Thankfully Vegasinsider still has data for the past few years on their site. I've updated my last post with the actual final poll. Although I based my initial values off last year's final values, so changes I make to 2011's data might have a minor impact on 2013's results.
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# ? May 6, 2014 02:07 |
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wa27 posted:Woah! I just found a bug in my poll. Apparently Vegasinsider uses "pk" instead of 0 for an even matchup. I missed this for the past three years, so games that should have been even got practically random values assigned for their point spreads. I'm not sure how I didn't notice this before, especially in previous years when I spent a lot of time looking at the results. Thankfully Vegasinsider still has data for the past few years on their site. Your poll still really, really likes TCU.
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# ? May 6, 2014 03:59 |
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kayakyakr posted:Your poll still really, really likes TCU. But they went to the Rosebowl that one time and beat a B1G team! THAT MEANS THEY ARE A TOP TIER BIG 12 TEAM REGARDLESS OF PERFORMANCE UNLESS WE COUNT ALL THOSE MAC TEAMS THEY BEAT. Seriously though, I hope the Big XII kept their receipt for TCU.
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# ? May 6, 2014 14:37 |
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Numlock posted:Seriously though, I hope the Big XII kept their receipt for TCU. Eh, we kinda needed a team from Texas and they were easily the most promising program. They can probably get good again. Maybe not great, but good. I've heard some claims that they have trouble drumming up respectable attendance, but the same was true of Baylor until like last year.
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# ? May 6, 2014 16:45 |
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kayakyakr posted:Your poll still really, really likes TCU. It looks like, for some reason, bettors really liked TCU more than they should have. TCU was favored against Texas and Texas Tech, and heavily favored over West Virginia (which my poll also liked for a while). They went 4-8 against the spread. On the other end of the spectrum, Tulane didn't get any respect from bettors. They went 9-4 against the spread and were the lowest ranked team to go to a bowl.
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# ? May 6, 2014 17:01 |
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Thermos H Christ posted:Eh, we kinda needed a team from Texas and they were easily the most promising program. They can probably get good again. Maybe not great, but good. We most certainly did not need another team from Texas. DFW was already a solid market for UT and TTU. Houston would have been a better team because at least they would have brought more Houston viewership. TCU was wholly because UT wanted another team that would do whatever UT wanted.
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# ? May 6, 2014 17:58 |
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Thermos H Christ posted:Eh, we kinda needed a team from Texas and they were easily the most promising program. They can probably get good again. Maybe not great, but good. While this is probably better discussed in the Off season thread I agree with Kayakyakr. TCU was just a warm body that happened to be available when the Big XII was looking like it would get picked apart. Hell if certain rumors are true they got in because Dodds was drunk when decision time came.
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# ? May 6, 2014 18:44 |
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# ? May 21, 2024 18:33 |
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Numlock posted:Hell if certain rumors are true they got in because Dodds was drunk when decision time came. When I read that story I took it to mean that the B12 ADs had already decided to go with TCU by the time the TCU guy showed up to pitch to Dodds (the day before the official vote). Rather than sit around listening to a pointless sales pitch, Deloss told the dude not to bother and took him to a bar. kayakyakr posted:We most certainly did not need another team from Texas. DFW was already a solid market for UT and TTU. Houston would have been a better team because at least they would have brought more Houston viewership. TCU was wholly because UT wanted another team that would do whatever UT wanted. That and they wanted a replacement for A&M in as many categories as possible. An in-state team means the travel budget/logistics didn't change as much, and I think it was aimed at maintaining a dynamic where the B12 should always feature at least a couple major matchups between teams from within the state of Texas. Prior to A&M's departure I loved that bragging rights to Texas were basically always on the line in the B12. I felt so robbed when we didn't get to see A&M vs Baylor to settle the issue last year.
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# ? May 7, 2014 01:06 |