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Adar
Jul 27, 2001

Adar posted:

2016 Presidential Primary: Lindsay Graham is guaranteed to beat at least one person in Iowa

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pentyne
Nov 7, 2012

I could honestly see him just angling for a position in the next democratic administration to stay in power. With Jindal and Huckabee openly calling for the dissolution of the Supreme Court, right wing groups demanding resistance, and the Governor of Texas issuing a public statement to the effects of "The Supreme Court can't tell Texas what to do" there is literally no reason anyone who didn't vote GOP in 2012 would even consider voting in 2016. For all the "Oh another Clinton" the only other option is a theocratic dictator who promises to disband the parts of the constitution they don't like and their only platform is "undo the last 8 years asap".

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



VanSandman posted:

Well, no poo poo. He made a lot of them obsolete.
Well that and he actually uses data, whereas most of those pundits just want to create the illusion that a race is close when in reality it's not (2012 being the biggest example).

LeeMajors
Jan 20, 2005

I've gotta stop fantasizing about Lee Majors...
Ah, one more!



What blows my mind is that Graham is a literal war-crazy hawk and he is by far the most reasonable Republican candidate. Everyone else is totally out to lunch--disowning and trashing various parts of the government because they don't agree with them. It's incredible to watch in real time.

Cythereal
Nov 8, 2009

I love the potoo,
and the potoo loves you.
I'm honestly curious at this point what any of the pubbies are campaigning on beyond "I have a time machine and can make the last eight years unhappen."

Captain_Maclaine
Sep 30, 2001

LeeMajors posted:

What blows my mind is that Graham is a literal war-crazy hawk and he is by far the most reasonable Republican candidate. Everyone else is totally out to lunch--disowning and trashing various parts of the government because they don't agree with them. It's incredible to watch in real time.

Of this current crop, I think he's the only one that's actually held office at the national level for any significant length of time*, and was active back in the horse-trading days when congressionals had to actually work together (to at least a minor degree) to bring home the bacon.

*Santorum was in the Senate for a non-trivial amount of time, but since he did so much to ruin cross-aisle collegiality and is personally such a weirdo I'm not counting him here.

Captain_Maclaine fucked around with this message at 22:22 on Jun 28, 2015

Dapper_Swindler
Feb 14, 2012

Im glad my instant dislike in you has been validated again and again.

LeeMajors posted:

What blows my mind is that Graham is a literal war-crazy hawk and he is by far the most reasonable Republican candidate. Everyone else is totally out to lunch--disowning and trashing various parts of the government because they don't agree with them. It's incredible to watch in real time.

probaly because he sees where the wind is blowing and he knows how hosed the GOP is with their rash short sighted short term choices of late. He knows anti marrage equality is sinking ship and he wants to try anything to salvage some GOP poo poo.

CaptainCarrot
Jun 9, 2010

Captain_Maclaine posted:

Of this current crop, I think he's the only one that's actually held office at the national level for any significant length of time, and was active back in the horse-trading days when congressionals had to actually work together (to at least a minor degree) to bring home the bacon. Probably has something to do with it.

Santorum. And possibly Jindal, depending on when you define that era as ending. And possibly Kasich, depending on whether you count him as an actual candidate since nobody gives a poo poo about him. (To be fair, that applies to Jindal as well.)

Captain_Maclaine
Sep 30, 2001

CaptainCarrot posted:

Santorum. And possibly Jindal, depending on when you define that era as ending. And possibly Kasich, depending on whether you count him as an actual candidate since nobody gives a poo poo about him. (To be fair, that applies to Jindal as well.)

I edited in Santorum as the same thought occurred to me and, like the rest of America, I totally forgot Kasich even existed. Jindal did only a short hitch in the House so I left him out as well.

Vertical Lime
Dec 11, 2004

Who wants more fun with Trump

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/615268729748893696

Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump
Univision apologized to me but I will not accept their apology. I will be sueing them for a lot of money. Miss U.S.A. contestants are hurt!

Sueing

LeeMajors
Jan 20, 2005

I've gotta stop fantasizing about Lee Majors...
Ah, one more!


Dapper_Swindler posted:

probaly because he sees where the wind is blowing and he knows how hosed the GOP is with their rash short sighted short term choices of late. He knows anti marrage equality is sinking ship and he wants to try anything to salvage some GOP poo poo.

The entire GOP platform is a sinking ship in the 21st century--and the only thing he is doing is alienating his base.

I don't remember a time when the GOP was so incredibly fractured and extremist. GHWB was mostly reasonable, and Reagan wasn't overtly lovely while he destroyed the middle-class. W was a fucktard from the jump, but unapologetically so--and he wasn't particularly extremist in any way, even if he rode a wave of nationalism to two trillion-dollar wars.

But literally every GOP candidate from the past two elections has been either a beep-boop robot or too much of a fundie retard to get any traction.

It's kind of amazing.

Slate Action
Feb 13, 2012

by exmarx

Cythereal posted:

I'm honestly curious at this point what any of the pubbies are campaigning on beyond "I have a time machine and can make the last eight years unhappen."

I'm sure they have individual strategies, but the strategy that has a chance of working is one they're all essentially participating in - pander enough to win the primary, then present as a "reasonable" candidate in the general election, then hope that the economy goes bad / Hillary develops a health problem / Hillary eats a baby on live television, and win by default.

e: simply being The Republican Candidate will assure the GOP nominee 47% of the national vote. Since all the actual candidates are so bad, the remaining 3.1% is probably going to have to come from things outside of their control (unless you count voter suppression).

Slate Action fucked around with this message at 22:53 on Jun 28, 2015

Bel Shazar
Sep 14, 2012

Vertical Lime posted:

Who wants more fun with Trump

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/615268729748893696

Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump
Univision apologized to me but I will not accept their apology. I will be sueing them for a lot of money. Miss U.S.A. contestants are hurt!

Sueing

The Miss U.S.A. contestants should form a class action suit against Trump based on his statements.

Dapper_Swindler
Feb 14, 2012

Im glad my instant dislike in you has been validated again and again.

Vertical Lime posted:

Who wants more fun with Trump

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/615268729748893696

Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump
Univision apologized to me but I will not accept their apology. I will be sueing them for a lot of money. Miss U.S.A. contestants are hurt!

Sueing

again, what a petty little assclown


LeeMajors posted:

The entire GOP platform is a sinking ship in the 21st century--and the only thing he is doing is alienating his base.

I don't remember a time when the GOP was so incredibly fractured and extremist. GHWB was mostly reasonable, and Reagan wasn't overtly lovely while he destroyed the middle-class. W was a fucktard from the jump, but unapologetically so--and he wasn't particularly extremist in any way, even if he rode a wave of nationalism to two trillion-dollar wars.

But literally every GOP candidate from the past two elections has been either a beep-boop robot or too much of a fundie retard to get any traction.

It's kind of amazing.

I know that. I was just trying to think of it from his perspective.

Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK

pentyne posted:

I could honestly see him just angling for a position in the next democratic administration to stay in power. With Jindal and Huckabee openly calling for the dissolution of the Supreme Court, right wing groups demanding resistance, and the Governor of Texas issuing a public statement to the effects of "The Supreme Court can't tell Texas what to do" there is literally no reason anyone who didn't vote GOP in 2012 would even consider voting in 2016. For all the "Oh another Clinton" the only other option is a theocratic dictator who promises to disband the parts of the constitution they don't like and their only platform is "undo the last 8 years asap".

I look forward to my kids learning about the time Obama sent in the national guard to force Texas Clerks of Court to marry gay people. Also to the amazing, impotent, poo poo storm when President Clinton fills the vacated seat of one of the conservative justices, ushering in a new age of liberal socialist dictator Supreme Court rulings. Not only do you have to get gay married, but it has to be a vegan reception.

If I'm remembering correctly, history shows that you must either be at Andrew Jackson levels of not giving a poo poo, or Lincoln levels of in the poo poo before you ignore the Supreme Court. So until you let a man shoot you just so you can properly line up a neck shot or are President during Civil War 2, President You is going to back down and abide by the Court's ruling.

De Nomolos
Jan 17, 2007

TV rots your brain like it's crack cocaine
Bernie Sanders has the Jesse Jackson problem.

I'm gonna go ahead and coin that phrase.

By this, I mean a lot of people down the ballot, especially in the swing congressional and gubernatorial races, are gonna have a hard time campaigning with him.

Holding the presidency without any majorities and with governorships and state house numbers in the teens is almost worthless except for bureaucratic reasons.

RACHET
Dec 29, 2014

by exmarx

Captain_Maclaine posted:

*Santorum was in the Senate for a non-trivial amount of time, but since he did so much to ruin cross-aisle collegiality and is personally such a weirdo I'm not counting him here.

Santorum also likes to play with dead babies

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


My Imaginary GF posted:

How much money has Sanders gotten? That's your answer as to whether he's a viable candidate.

And before you go 'b-b-but Obama!!!!', Obama had Pritzkers before he had netroots.


8+ million, more than any Republican candidate (and less than :shillary:)

Horseshoe theory
Mar 7, 2005

Sheng-ji Yang posted:

8+ million, more than any Republican candidate (and less than :shillary:)

That doesn't mean anything since Adelson, the Kochs, etc. haven't dumped their truckloads of money yet.

Horseshoe theory fucked around with this message at 23:44 on Jun 28, 2015

TheScott2K
Oct 26, 2003

I'm just saying, there's a nonzero chance Trump has a really toad penis.

ThirdPartyView posted:

That doesn't mean anything since Adelson, the Kochs, etc. haven't dumped their truckloads of money yet.

Remember when all that money just ended up buying them a Reverse Kerry and Obama ended up being a two-termer? poo poo was hilarious.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

ThirdPartyView posted:

That doesn't mean anything since Adelson, the Kochs, etc. haven't dumped their truckloads of money yet.

Oh they have. They're not going into to the campaigns directly. They're going into other organizations with less strict reporting requirements.


Jeb's unofficial campaign may actually be larger than his official campaign when things are all said and done.

CaptainCarrot
Jun 9, 2010

RACHET posted:

Santorum also likes to play with dead babies

That's low, man. You're going to judge a dude for how he copes with the death of his child?

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

LeeMajors posted:

I don't remember a time when the GOP was so incredibly fractured and extremist.

Extremist, yes, but not fractured. The GOP is almost entirely in agreement about policy, they're just divided on tactics.

LeeMajors
Jan 20, 2005

I've gotta stop fantasizing about Lee Majors...
Ah, one more!


Joementum posted:

Extremist, yes, but not fractured. The GOP is almost entirely in agreement about policy, they're just divided on tactics.

A cohesive, unified party wouldn't have eleventy-billion candidates running against one another.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

LeeMajors posted:

A cohesive, unified party wouldn't have eleventy-billion candidates running against one another.

Hence what Joe said about being divided on tactics. Also, the Republicans are used to having an anointed successor, which they don't now. So its kinda a free for all.

RACHET
Dec 29, 2014

by exmarx

CaptainCarrot posted:

That's low, man. You're going to judge a dude for how he copes with the death of his child?

Absolutely. Treating a baby corpse like a cabbage patch doll is disgusting by any rational standards.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

LeeMajors posted:

A cohesive, unified party wouldn't have eleventy-billion candidates running against one another.

There were significant differences between Pat Buchanan and George H.W. Bush on policy in the 1992 primary's limited field.

There is very little difference between the policies of Jeb! Bush and Ted Cruz, but a significant difference in what they think will be the most successful path to enact those reforms.

What happened in the Republican party is that Reagan [PBUH] won and the movement's ideas are now the orthodoxy.

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

Trabisnikof posted:

Hence what Joe said about being divided on tactics. Also, the Republicans are used to having an anointed successor, which they don't now. So its kinda a free for all.

The previous second placer always wins the nomination.

Santorum 2016: The Stars Are Right.

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


Clearly as an organization they are fractured and have no clear leadership. I agree that ideologically they are largely cohesive.

QuoProQuid
Jan 12, 2012

Tr*ckin' and F*ckin' all the way to tha
T O P

RACHET posted:

Absolutely. Treating a baby corpse like a cabbage patch doll is disgusting by any rational standards.

Coping with the death of your child is extremely difficult and, at the time, what Santorum did was recommended practice according to the American Pregnancy Association.

It's weird and difficult to understand, but insulting Santorum for how he reacted to his dead child is extremely petty. Call him out on something else.

WhiskeyJuvenile
Feb 15, 2002

by Nyc_Tattoo

Joementum posted:

There were significant differences between Pat Buchanan and George H.W. Bush on policy in the 1992 primary's limited field.

There is very little difference between the policies of Jeb! Bush and Ted Cruz, but a significant difference in what they think will be the most successful path to enact those reforms.

What happened in the Republican party is that Reagan [PBUH] won and the movement's ideas are now the orthodoxy.

That's what's funny

Every Republican candidate would be the same, except for Trump

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Jim Webb won a straw poll... at the Western Conservatives Summit.

quote:

This year's straw poll also included a field of Democrats, which drew votes from 294 attendees.

Former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb was the favorite of the conservatives in Denver with 83 votes, far outpacing former New York Sen. Hillary Clinton with 48. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders collected 42 votes, and Vice President Joe Biden had 39.

Besides Pelosi,who finished last, Democrats receiving votes were Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, 21; former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley-17; former Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee, 16; first lady Michelle Obama, 15; and Nevada Sen. Harry Reid, 8.

Oh, and Ben Carson won the Republican version. He also spoke at the event.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
And Kasich's in. Announcing July 21.

The X-man cometh
Nov 1, 2009

GreyjoyBastard posted:

The previous second placer always wins the nomination.

Santorum 2016: The Stars Are Right.

Except for '96-2000, where a Bush son took the nomination. And Santorum's as extreme as Buchanan.

CaptainCarrot
Jun 9, 2010

The X-man cometh posted:

Except for '96-2000, where a Bush son took the nomination. And Santorum's as extreme as Buchanan.

Eh, son of the previous president, who didn't have to run against previous second-place winner Pat Buchanan, at least not for long.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Chris Christie's mom loved him, so he should be President. A compelling message for a new America.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4gFOz_UlHbM

Joementum fucked around with this message at 00:22 on Jun 29, 2015

QuoProQuid
Jan 12, 2012

Tr*ckin' and F*ckin' all the way to tha
T O P


It will be interesting to see if Kasich is able to make it to the top tier debates. I have doubts.

Wonder where he is going to announce from.

EDIT: Apparently, Kasich talked about his position on same-sex marriage on Face the Nation, earlier today.

quote:

KASICH: I think we need to take a deep breath. I personally believe in traditional marriage, but the Supreme Court has ruled and it's the law of the land. We'll abide by it. I think everyone needs to take a deep breath to see how this evolves. Religious institutions, religious entities, you know like the Catholic Church, need to be honored as well, but I think there's an ability to strike a balance. You know, as Governor, you learn how to strike a balance. Sometimes you get into an argument, but what you want to do as a public official is look for solutions where you can create more win-wins.

DICKERSON: Do you think that this ruling, as some Conservative leaders have said, is a threat to the culture of America?

KASICH: Look, I've said what I've said about my view on it. I think there's so many other things we have to focus on. It's going to be job growth, defeating poverty, healing the division between races, coming up with an immigration solution that's going to be fair and help people, rebuilding the national defense. That's where our energy ought to be focused, on the things that are vital to strengthen our country. I'm trying to avoid your question now, but my head is already moving in the direction of what we can do to solve problems.

QuoProQuid fucked around with this message at 00:42 on Jun 29, 2015

Chelb
Oct 24, 2010

I'm gonna show SA-kun my shitposting!
I look forward to seeing what effect Obergefell will have as a whole on the Republican party in the elections. Will they be emboldened, demoralized, or unaffected? Will it affect the voter base in any meaningful way? Will Hillary figure out a way to spin this into a positive for her campaign?

Will nobody give a poo poo about any of this come voting day November?

The X-man cometh
Nov 1, 2009
Kasich's answer was very Huntsmanian.

The X-man cometh fucked around with this message at 01:43 on Jun 29, 2015

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Hobnob
Feb 23, 2006

Ursa Adorandum

Joementum posted:

Chris Christie's mom loved him, so he should be President. A compelling message for a new America.

And her love made Christie grow so big, they had to leave their home.
Christie's so much fun he's a friend to us all.
I love Christie, the Big Red Dog!

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