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Sorry if this has been posted before. http://dollarsandsense.org/blog/201...dnt-listen.html quote:I am writing this article late on election night in my office at the University of Missouri-Kansas City, about a mile from the home in which Tom Frank grew up just over the state line in Kansas. Beginning with his famous book, What’s the Matter with Kansas, first published in 2004, Tom Frank has been warning the Democratic Party of the increasing cost it was paying by abandoning and even attacking the working class, particularly the white working class. Some political scientists tried to savage his work, pointing to Bill Clinton’s electoral success and arguing that the disaffected members of the working class were also less likely to vote. Frank returned to the theme just in time for this election with a new book – Listen, Liberal – that documents in damning, lively narrative the New Democrats’ war on the New Deal, their disdain for organized labor, and their antipathy for what they viewed as retrograde white working class attitudes. Dark Juno fucked around with this message at 15:40 on Nov 13, 2016 |
# ? Nov 13, 2016 15:36 |
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# ? May 25, 2024 01:50 |
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punk rebel ecks posted:It's something a lot of the anti-politically correct crowd is pushing. However, it's bullshit as Trump had less votes than Romeny. Dems lost because of a huge turnout fall for their party. It wasn't turnout. https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/796789450537861120 https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/796844140784971776 https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/796846348045848576 LinYutang fucked around with this message at 15:44 on Nov 13, 2016 |
# ? Nov 13, 2016 15:42 |
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theflyingorc posted:You have the least appropriate username It's a reminder to myself to remain optimistic and to believe the morning sun. Right now, it's not really working.
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# ? Nov 13, 2016 15:42 |
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MiddleOne posted:I never actually understood this sentiment during the primary's. Like what honestly did he do to deserve the amount of distrust he got? I honestly think we may be beginning to see that the identity politics side of the Democratic Party will not be willing to vote for a white male ever again. Some people on this very forum have hinted at that without outright saying it.
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# ? Nov 13, 2016 15:51 |
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So, I've heard a lot of people blame Hillary for not exciting voters and I feel that there are things on this that have not been addressed in this thread or any other election thread that I have read on this forum. Hillary had to do the most careful balancing act any person who has ran for president ever has, it's hard to be a woman. You're judged on your appearance, you're judged on the pitch of your voice, you're judged on how you stand, if you smile, if you smile too much or too little, if you scream or even raise your voice, if you don't wear make up, if you wear too much make up, if you interrupt, if you do really anything that somebody might tie back to the horrible stereotype of "women are shrill, naggy, irrational beings". This is a rhetoric which I have been subject to my entire life, because even women are socialized to stigmatize other women this way. It's the most ridiculous balancing act to have to ask somebody to make, and all I hear from Democrats is "Well I wasn't impressed enough." It's easier to get people to vote in racial blocs than it is across the gender line. There are so many men who will never vote for a woman because of the things they have been taught women are, because if they say and predicate those things then it makes them and all other men more powerful. That is the promise. So there are plenty of men, even across racial lines that didn't want to vote for Hillary. They weren't worried about what the threat of Trump meant to them, they're religious convictions and socially informed positions have told them that a woman should not hold that office, it is unholy to do so, improper and devalues men if we let it happen. You also have women saying this because they are part of those socialized circles to say "that is not the place of a woman". e: (Nevermind that Trump himself embodies the inverse of this, the chauvinistic pig who gets away with openly groping and grabbing women, or at least saying he does and the power of being able to do that speaks to some men.) Syfe fucked around with this message at 16:30 on Nov 13, 2016 |
# ? Nov 13, 2016 15:58 |
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LinYutang posted:It wasn't turnout. This sounds an awful lot like confirmation bias though. The lesson I am taking from this election is that the Democratic party needs to focus on economic empowerment and racial justice. Do you think otherwise? If some Obama voters supported Trump, that's not going to change my outlook substantially unless the number is really high, but maybe I'm just refusing to see the light.
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# ? Nov 13, 2016 16:06 |
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Huzanko posted:People keep saying this without realizing that the point that is being made is that the DNC needs to keep supporting minority voters AND focus on economic populism. It's additive. Pollyanna posted:I want to believe this. I know it's true, and I'll keep fighting for it. I want to have my cake and eat it too, and I don't want to have to choose. gently caress that bullshit, it's a false division and I won't stand for it. I really hope more people realize this. It's a convenient fall back that benefits both the corporate party members as well as their well off voters. The amusing part is that even their minority issues are all bullshit outside of the LGBT. They will pander to minority voters, but not actually do much to truly improve their situation. Where are the legislation to desegregate schools and the communities? Where is stronger affirmative action codes? Why is it that whenever "tough choices" come to cut education to balance the budget, the Democrats always cut or even close minority schools but never white ones? There is a reason why young minority voters are far less likely to support Hillary Clinton compared to their parents. Especially young blacks. People will crucify me for this, but it is very telling that the rich whites in the uptown and downtown vote for the same party and candidates as the working class and poor minorities in the inner city and ghettos. They really shouldn't want the same thing, and it is no surprise why a lot of these "liberal" cities and up gentrifying the living hell out of almost everyone and become playgrounds for young white professionals. Star Man posted:No, I think that's the answer I was looking for. And I can understand that frustration. I'd rather someone come around on something like gay rights if they thought it would make them more popular than not at all. This is also why so many people support Bernie and not Hillary. Bernie's voting record is extremely consistent, not matter what the conversation in Washington. Hillary was known to flicker amongst issues both in rhetoric and and at times policy. This is often what some people mean when they say "we don't want another politician".
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# ? Nov 13, 2016 16:12 |
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LinYutang posted:It wasn't turnout. He got only 1,000 more votes than Romney in Wisconsin. (2016) (2012) While Trump did have a bump in Michigan compared to Romney, Clinton lost significantly much more votes compared to Obama. (2016) (2012) Same story for Ohio. (2016) (2012) And Iowa. (2016) (2012) If turnout was at or near Obama 2012 levels, then these states would have carried over and Clinton would be president. Nate Silver seems to be drinking the Kool Aid again. Sure maybe some of the smaller rural areas flipped, but not the states as a whole. Though I will admit that things are happening in Pennsylvania and Florida. EDIT - Someone did argue with me in another thread that the split between Dems and Republicans who stayed home would be around 50/50, which is a possibility. punk rebel ecks fucked around with this message at 17:28 on Nov 13, 2016 |
# ? Nov 13, 2016 16:36 |
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punk rebel ecks posted:Nate Silver seems to be drinking the Kool Aid again. Sure maybe some of the smaller rural areas flipped, but not the states as a whole. Though I will admit that things are happening in Pennsylvania and Florida.
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# ? Nov 13, 2016 16:53 |
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Whoops I forget it's time to stop making fun of Nate Silver since he was the least wrong of anyone. Still, that wasn't him.
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# ? Nov 13, 2016 16:53 |
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Lets make it simple. This was a year where a surge of populism caused a great desire for an 'outsider' candidate. The GOP ended up fielding Trump, which they obviously did not want to do for a while, cementing their candidate as anti-establishment. Trump made them look like chumps. The DNC has a similarly popular candidate that aligned with their goals, but stabbed him in the back to field the ultra-establishment, ultra-insider, personally unpopular candidate. Then everyone wants to be surprised when the votes didn't come rolling in.
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# ? Nov 13, 2016 17:17 |
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punk rebel ecks posted:If turnout was at or near Obama 2012 levels, then these states would have carried over and Clinton would be president. I'm gonna keep quoting Nate Cohn, because he's correct on this. Trump won because a central part of the Obama coalition flipped to him. Dems need to deal with that or they'll keep losing. https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/796848403003150336 LinYutang fucked around with this message at 17:37 on Nov 13, 2016 |
# ? Nov 13, 2016 17:31 |
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LinYutang posted:I'm gonna keep quoting Nate Cohn, because he's correct on this. Trump won because a central part of the Obama coalition flipped to him. Dems need to deal with that or they'll keep losing. I was suggesting that a lot of people of all creeds sat home. Which IMO is true to a point. However, I will concede that if Trump didn't still a portion of the white working class vote, Clinton would have won. So yes that indeed was a major factor.
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# ? Nov 13, 2016 17:39 |
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Syfe posted:So, I've heard a lot of people blame Hillary for not exciting voters and I feel that there are things on this that have not been addressed in this thread or any other election thread that I have read on this forum. If you think the gender line is harder to cross than the race line, you're out of your god drat mind. While it's true that women face a lot of pressure and overall unfairness in today's society, they don't have to worry about things like getting shot by cops on a regular basis as long as they are white. Conservative males may disapprove of women in leadership positions, but remember how they went absolutely ballistic when Obama was elected, to the point where they pledged to sabotage his presidency no matter the cost. A woman president who is white would never have it that difficult.
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# ? Nov 13, 2016 18:39 |
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Kilroy posted:Those are Good Nate tweets not Woke Nate. Wait, which Nate is Shook Nate? Is Good Nate Shook Nate or is Shook Nate Woke Nate?
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# ? Nov 13, 2016 18:39 |
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Kilroy posted:Whoops I forget it's time to stop making fun of Nate Silver since he was the least wrong of anyone. Still, that wasn't him. In what way was he wrong? He said Trump had a 30% of winning. 30% odds happen every day.
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# ? Nov 13, 2016 20:23 |
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Hillary lost because all rural whites love black people but they hate women, thus why Obama's rust belt states turned red
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 01:32 |
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The corncob mindset in here is
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 01:32 |
LinYutang posted:I'm gonna keep quoting Nate Cohn, because he's correct on this. Trump won because a central part of the Obama coalition flipped to him. Dems need to deal with that or they'll keep losing. Horseshit, he offers absolutely no convincing evidence that this happened (because non exists).
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 02:08 |
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Typical Pubbie posted:Wait, which Nate is Shook Nate? Is Good Nate Shook Nate or is Shook Nate Woke Nate? Mr. Belding posted:In what way was he wrong? He said Trump had a 30% of winning. 30% odds happen every day.
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 02:32 |
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Pollyanna posted:It's a reminder to myself to remain optimistic and to believe the morning sun. Right now, it's not really working. I believe in you.
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 02:45 |
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https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/797900923020382210
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 03:37 |
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English please.
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 03:58 |
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Education is also a very good determinate of class.
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 03:59 |
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seems like between education and income, income would probably be more closely associated with class
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 04:07 |
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WhiskeyJuvenile posted:seems like between education and income, income would probably be more closely associated with class If anything I would say the opposite, you could be out of school and working service industry jobs and still identity yourself much more strongly as middle class even if your making a working class income (this happens quite a bit). Hell adjunct professors make nothing and would never consider themselves working class. Ardennes fucked around with this message at 04:13 on Nov 14, 2016 |
# ? Nov 14, 2016 04:09 |
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Kilroy posted:I meant Shook Nate. There is no Woke Nate afaik. It's impossible to gauge whether he is right, but he is almost certainly far more right than every other poll aggregator. Like he said, this didn't feel like an election where one candidate had 99% odds. Likely directed at Wang the wrong. Edit: also, 30% is pretty god damned likely. Since when is 3/10 unlikely? People in general suck at statistics, but I wouldn't take Russian Roulette lightly at 1 in 6. 3 in 10 is way worse. Mr. Belding fucked around with this message at 04:14 on Nov 14, 2016 |
# ? Nov 14, 2016 04:12 |
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Mr. Belding posted:It's impossible to gauge whether he is right, but he is almost certainly far more right than every other poll aggregator. Like he said, this didn't feel like an election where one candidate had 99% odds. Likely directed at Wang the wrong. I would say he was less wrong, probably since his methodology gives more leeway but at the end of the day it is an poll aggregator. On one hand he can't go against his primary way of collecting data, but one the other hand polling in general has gotten far more inaccurate (especially internationally).
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 04:15 |
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Unless the two variables are on the same scale, we need the standardized betas to accurately judge the difference in the size of the effect, no? Maybe they are on the same scale? However, I won't be surprised if cultural capital was a stronger predictor than economic capital.
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 04:30 |
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How do you completely untangle culture from economics? Or education from class? There's a lot of cultural capital being expended right now to assure people that the white working class are all a bunch of irredeemable racists.
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 05:06 |
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Typical Pubbie posted:How do you completely untangle culture from economics? Or education from class? Who's said anything about irredeemable? Racism is learned, therefore it can be unlearned. This is why I find it so patronizing when it's claimed that we simply must avoid hurting racists' feelings because the poor dears just can't change. Of course they can change! That's why it's right to expect them to change, and treat them like garbage when they don't. It's not like you need a college education to examine the ways in which you behave in a racist way towards other, or the ways in which you normalize and support white supremacy.
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 05:22 |
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PT6A posted:Who's said anything about irredeemable? The people who treat any direct outreach to rural American whites as "coddling racists."
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 05:28 |
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Typical Pubbie posted:The people who treat any direct outreach to rural American whites as "coddling racists." No, any outreach where their racism is simply allowed to persist is what's being called "coddling racists," because it is. "We'll help you, but you have to stop blaming the Mexicans and the Jews for all your problems, and for gently caress sake stop whinging about affirmative action and political correctness" seems quite reasonable.
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 05:31 |
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PT6A posted:No, any outreach where their racism is simply allowed to persist is what's being called "coddling racists," because it is. I assume your outlining the collective dreams of the Republican Party, but that is a sure as well good way to give Trump a second term. At this point we have to create alliances even with people who "whine about affirmative action and political correctness" because otherwise the same thing is going to keep on happening. The best way to do that is economics and the hope that with time the racial tension that exists will dissipate without an economic drive pushing it forward. Ardennes fucked around with this message at 05:38 on Nov 14, 2016 |
# ? Nov 14, 2016 05:35 |
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PT6A posted:No, any outreach where their racism is simply allowed to persist is what's being called "coddling racists," because it is. I don't support allowing racist ideology to persist but I also don't support being a patronizing liberal stereotype. Perhaps the truth... is in the middle. e: Did I say middle? I meant the left.
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 05:37 |
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Typical Pubbie posted:The people who treat any direct outreach to rural American whites as "coddling racists." Acknowledging them as basically people with the same rights has been problematic in some of the threads in the forums. Check out that rural poverty thread for some hot takes. Dr. Angela Ziegler posted:I think the time for small towns in the middle of nowhere has come to an end. We need to talk about whether or not these towns should exist. If there's a way to buy out everyone in a town and just bulldoze/let nature take its course and start clumping people into ever-larger towns until there are swaths of gorgeous countryside and parks between commercial/industrial hubs of cities, that would solve many problems, such as people in need of urgent care being far from hospitals.
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 05:37 |
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You don't convince people to accept help, or anything else, by assaulting their world view. Wrong or right, it's their worldview and cognitive dissonance is a hell of a thing. They'll do any sort of mental gymnastics to avoid it and ultimately reject your help, and by extension your platform.
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 05:38 |
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Grognan posted:Acknowledging them as basically people with the same rights has been problematic in some of the threads in the forums. Check out that rural poverty thread for some hot takes. I get a feeling part large portions of the Democratic party are going to prefer flushing the entire country down the toilet (already in process) rather than compromise on identity. It is very hard to be excited about the next couple years. Edit: Btw, 61%+ of the population of the country supports gay marriage, it isn't that you have to wind back the clock but be willing to compromise. Ardennes fucked around with this message at 05:46 on Nov 14, 2016 |
# ? Nov 14, 2016 05:40 |
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PT6A posted:"We'll help you, but you have to stop blaming the Mexicans and the Jews for all your problems, and for gently caress sake stop whinging about affirmative action and political correctness" seems quite reasonable.
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 05:41 |
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# ? May 25, 2024 01:50 |
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What? Maybe you haven't noticed, but there's been a huge upswing in anti-semitism, and Steve Bannon, a huge anti-semite, is currently a probable candidate for a very high-ranking position in the White House. Granted, until now, they were usually clever enough to refer to them as "globalists" or "coastal elites" but it's all basically the same lovely thing.
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# ? Nov 14, 2016 05:44 |