Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Locked thread
redshirt
Aug 11, 2007

more friedman units posted:

It's an academic discussion since the Department of Justice is going to stomp the regulation, production, and distribution aspects in both states.

There's that. It's a tough nut from the Federal perspective, no doubt about it. Without some reclassification or new law, Obama's DOJ/DEA are compelled to enforce existing law. Therefore, the answer to this problem is a reclassification.

There's already a court case in DC Federal Court on the matter. Next stop, SC. How do you think they'll rule on the matter: Does Marijuana have medical value or is the question significant enough to warrant a reclassification? Surely, we could count on a "strict constitutionalist" like Justice Scalia to vote in favor of State's Rights in this matter, yes?

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Brave New World
Mar 10, 2010

more friedman units posted:

It's an academic discussion since the Department of Justice is going to stomp the regulation, production, and distribution aspects in both states.
Don't be too sure about that. With the Fiscal Cliff looming, a new source of revenue may be very welcome indeed. They'll talk a big game, of course.

Full Battle Rattle
Aug 29, 2009

As long as the times refuse to change, we're going to make a hell of a racket.
Beer has no medicinal value, but you can find that pretty readily. Really, the whole medical thing was legitimate at first (to prove that not only is cannabis not terribly bad for you, but can in fact be therapeutic in some situations) but it's really become a canard, hasn't it? It's not exactly a high water mark for the anti-prohibition crowd that people can get marijuana legally - by faking or over playing a medical condition, or going to a dubious medical source and obtaining a shady scrip.

Really, I would be in favor of big business taking over the vast majority of cannabis production in the US. Drug Cartels would really take a blow from that. Al Capone never had anything on Anheiser Busch. When you take the costs of smuggling and armed security out of the equation, Phillip morris could bankrupt them in as much time as it takes to take one plant to maturity, because if the laws were in place tomorrow the first crop would be ready to go in a handful of months and then it'd pretty much be lights out for all but the biggest cartels.

Really though, does anyone have any statistics on the portfolio of some of these cartels? I would have to think that cannabis would be one of the bigger moneymakers, but I honestly don't know.

Marxalot
Dec 24, 2008

Appropriator of
Dan Crenshaw's Eyepatch

Full Battle Rattle posted:

Beer has no medicinal value, but you can find that pretty readily. Really, the whole medical thing was legitimate at first (to prove that not only is cannabis not terribly bad for you, but can in fact be therapeutic in some situations) but it's really become a canard, hasn't it? It's not exactly a high water mark for the anti-prohibition crowd that people can get marijuana legally - by faking or over playing a medical condition, or going to a dubious medical source and obtaining a shady scrip.

Really, I would be in favor of big business taking over the vast majority of cannabis production in the US. Drug Cartels would really take a blow from that. Al Capone never had anything on Anheiser Busch. When you take the costs of smuggling and armed security out of the equation, Phillip morris could bankrupt them in as much time as it takes to take one plant to maturity, because if the laws were in place tomorrow the first crop would be ready to go in a handful of months and then it'd pretty much be lights out for all but the biggest cartels.

Really though, does anyone have any statistics on the portfolio of some of these cartels? I would have to think that cannabis would be one of the bigger moneymakers, but I honestly don't know.

Most estimates I've seen have cannabis pinned at about 50% of cartel income. It wouldn't exactly be a death blow, but legalization would save alot of lives and go a really long way towards making Mexico safe again.

Rigged Death Trap
Feb 13, 2012

BEEP BEEP BEEP BEEP

Cannabis also incurs the lowest cost to produce. It's incredibly profitable for Cartels once you factor in street price and the amounts shipped out.

It's the biggest reason why there should be more support for legalization. Money is flowing freely into the pockets of some very, very dangerous people.

Gucci Loafers
May 20, 2006

Ask yourself, do you really want to talk to pair of really nice gaudy shoes?


Colorado task force created to regulate marjiuana

From the article...

quote:

In an interview last week with Barbara Walters, President Obama assuaged the fears of marijuana proponents, saying the federal government would not pursue marijuana users in states where the drug is now legal.

While Obama might not go after the users - will he stop the Justice Department?

mdemone
Mar 14, 2001

Tab8715 posted:

While Obama might not go after the users - will he stop the Justice Department?

The DOJ and what army are going to pursue individual users across two (and maybe more) large states?

Gucci Loafers
May 20, 2006

Ask yourself, do you really want to talk to pair of really nice gaudy shoes?


mdemone posted:

The DOJ and what army are going to pursue individual users across two (and maybe more) large states?

They won't peruse individual users as it's not efficient but there's nothing stopping them from busting anyone who opens a dispensary.

mdemone
Mar 14, 2001

Tab8715 posted:

They won't peruse individual users as it's not efficient but there's nothing stopping them from busting anyone who opens a dispensary.

There hasn't been anything stopping them from busting every dispensary across all 20 states with medical marijuana laws. Oh wait, there has been something stopping them: it's the fact that it would be literally impossible for an agency of their size to make a quantifiable dent. All they can do is bust somebody for show, every now and then, and hope it changes the course of local policy and public opinion. Obviously, however, it's not working -- and these people aren't stupid. They know full well that state legalization is de facto federal in the particular case of cannabis, and they also know that there are bigger fish to fry for a drug-enforcement agency with finite resources.

Edit: I've tacitly referred to the DEA here, but this goes for the DOJ too, mostly.

mdemone fucked around with this message at 20:14 on Dec 19, 2012

TheGreySpectre
Sep 18, 2012

You let the wolves in. Why would you do that?

Tab8715 posted:

They won't peruse individual users as it's not efficient but there's nothing stopping them from busting anyone who opens a dispensary.

I was under the impression that even when it comes to busting dispensaries over the last couple years they have only been busting dispensaries that are illegal by state laws; dispensaries that are to close to schools and stuff like that. Considering by federal law even medical uses are illegal I would think we could look at how they were treating medical dispensaries in the last 2-3 years as a pretty good indication of how they will treat non-medical dispensaries in WA and CO.

Delta-Wye
Sep 29, 2005

TheGreySpectre posted:

I was under the impression that even when it comes to busting dispensaries over the last couple years they have only been busting dispensaries that are illegal by state laws; dispensaries that are to close to schools and stuff like that. Considering by federal law even medical uses are illegal I would think we could look at how they were treating medical dispensaries in the last 2-3 years as a pretty good indication of how they will treat non-medical dispensaries in WA and CO.

To some degree, yes. They like to play games though where the overlapping bubbles from schools, parks, school bus stops, candy stores, etc, give them a lot of leeway to claim a particular place is in violation.

AreWeDrunkYet
Jul 8, 2006

TheGreySpectre posted:

I would think we could look at how they were treating medical dispensaries in the last 2-3 years as a pretty good indication of how they will treat non-medical dispensaries in WA and CO.

Get too big or loud and you might get smacked down?

Space Gopher
Jul 31, 2006

BLITHERING IDIOT AND HARDCORE DURIAN APOLOGIST. LET ME TELL YOU WHY THIS SHIT DON'T STINK EVEN THOUGH WE ALL KNOW IT DOES BECAUSE I'M SUPER CULTURED.

mdemone posted:

There hasn't been anything stopping them from busting every dispensary across all 20 states with medical marijuana laws. Oh wait, there has been something stopping them: it's the fact that it would be literally impossible for an agency of their size to make a quantifiable dent. All they can do is bust somebody for show, every now and then, and hope it changes the course of local policy and public opinion. Obviously, however, it's not working -- and these people aren't stupid. They know full well that state legalization is de facto federal in the particular case of cannabis, and they also know that there are bigger fish to fry for a drug-enforcement agency with finite resources.

Edit: I've tacitly referred to the DEA here, but this goes for the DOJ too, mostly.

It'd be pretty easy for the feds to shut down the licensing/regulation/taxation systems, though. Small businesses might get away with thumbing their noses at the federal government, but historically, that hasn't worked out so well for state governments. For end users under the possession limits, it probably won't be much different - either way, it's effectively decriminalized. For state governments hoping to stretch their budgets with some sweet weed money, it might be a major issue.

bawfuls
Oct 28, 2009

The other problem, which existing dispensaries are already having to deal with, is that no banks want ton get involved. Its a lot harder to run a small business when you don't have access to loans or even a checking account for your business.

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe
I think marijuana businesses constitute a sufficiently distinct group to qualify for forming a credit union.

AreWeDrunkYet
Jul 8, 2006

Install Gentoo posted:

I think marijuana businesses constitute a sufficiently distinct group to qualify for forming a credit union.

I hope they enjoy fighting federal money laundering prosecutions.

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

AreWeDrunkYet posted:

I hope they enjoy fighting federal money laundering prosecutions.

You can't get in trouble for money laundering when your stated business is selling weed, and selling weed is what you do. There's no laundering going on there.

Rigged Death Trap
Feb 13, 2012

BEEP BEEP BEEP BEEP

Install Gentoo posted:

You can't get in trouble for money laundering when your stated business is selling weed, and selling weed is what you do. There's no laundering going on there.

From what I understand the money would be forfeitured as illegal assets, right?

So having weed money is not onto itself illegal.

AreWeDrunkYet
Jul 8, 2006

Install Gentoo posted:

You can't get in trouble for money laundering when your stated business is selling weed, and selling weed is what you do. There's no laundering going on there.

If a bank were to accept and lend only in cash, maybe (and probably not) they could avoid laundering charges, but then they are wide open to civil forfeiture and wouldn't have a functional business model as a bank anyway.

Realistically, the moment those funds are made electronic and mixed with the rest of the economy, they would be laundering money because it has to pass through other financial institutions who were not explicitly told that the money is from federally illegal activities. And if they made sure that it was perfectly clear, no one with business outside that state would settle a transaction for or with them.

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe
No that is not how money laundering laws work.

NathanScottPhillips
Jul 23, 2009
I'm excited for what's going to happen with industrial hemp. There are a lot of farmers out here who are struggling with fuel and water costs. Hemp takes less water than comparable crops, takes less effort to grow, produces more fabric, and is a much more efficient source of fuel than something like corn (E85).

We're not talking about little mom and pop weed shops, this could be a multi-billion dollar industry for textiles and fuel.

What are some potential ways the feds could stop the regulation and licensing aspect of Amendment 64? Shutting down individual dispensaries didn't stop MMJ, so I don't think shutting down individual farms would work either.

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

NathanScottPhillips posted:

What are some potential ways the feds could stop the regulation and licensing aspect of Amendment 64? Shutting down individual dispensaries didn't stop MMJ, so I don't think shutting down individual farms would work either.
Sue the states.

Sorta doubt that'll happen though.

eSports Chaebol
Feb 22, 2005

Yeah, actually, gamers in the house forever,

Install Gentoo posted:

No that is not how money laundering laws work.

They could still charge dispensaries under RICO if they wanted to be especially cruel. It wouldn't even be such a flagrant abuse of the law on its face.

DrPlump
Oct 5, 2004

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Can't they just have HSBC handle the money laundering? That is what the Mexican drug cartels did.

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

eSports Chaebol posted:

They could still charge dispensaries under RICO if they wanted to be especially cruel. It wouldn't even be such a flagrant abuse of the law on its face.

They totally could, but not because of money laundering.

Spaceman Future!
Feb 9, 2007

eSports Chaebol posted:

They could still charge dispensaries under RICO if they wanted to be especially cruel. It wouldn't even be such a flagrant abuse of the law on its face.

All these things they could "normally" do become much harder though. All these investigations lean pretty heavily on local resources, and in Colorado for example they would be denied the support of any state resources in prosecuting or investigating dispensaries. The Feds would need to allocate significantly more resources to each case.

Gucci Loafers
May 20, 2006

Ask yourself, do you really want to talk to pair of really nice gaudy shoes?


mdemone posted:

There hasn't been anything stopping them from busting every dispensary across all 20 states with medical marijuana laws. Oh wait, there has been something stopping them: it's the fact that it would be literally impossible for an agency of their size to make a quantifiable dent. All they can do is bust somebody for show, every now and then, and hope it changes the course of local policy and public opinion. Obviously, however, it's not working -- and these people aren't stupid. They know full well that state legalization is de facto federal in the particular case of cannabis, and they also know that there are bigger fish to fry for a drug-enforcement agency with finite resources.

Edit: I've tacitly referred to the DEA here, but this goes for the DOJ too, mostly.

There are what? A few thousand dispensaries at best?

They're publicly visible - and it's been done in places like California in the past. I don't think for a second busting distributors isn't attainable because the DEA is too small.

Gucci Loafers fucked around with this message at 07:58 on Dec 21, 2012

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

Tab8715 posted:

There are what? A few thousand dispensaries at best?

They're publicly visible - and it's been done in places like California in the past. I don't think for a second busting distributors isn't attainable because the DEA is too small.

The DEA doesn't have very many agents, and they're mostly required to be used at border control and things like that. They actually don't have the manpower to go around shutting the dispensaries down en masse.

Die Sexmonster!
Nov 30, 2005

Install Gentoo posted:

The DEA doesn't have very many agents, and they're mostly required to be used at border control and things like that. They actually don't have the manpower to go around shutting the dispensaries down en masse.

I'm very sure they could go on a tour of WA and CO, with the ATF if needed, and shut down every open dispensary.

Stores don't reopen for business the day after a Federal raid. If they wanted to, they could put a stop to this very quickly.

800peepee51doodoo
Mar 1, 2001

Volute the swarth, trawl betwixt phonotic
Scoff the festune

Pyroxene Stigma posted:

I'm very sure they could go on a tour of WA and CO, with the ATF if needed, and shut down every open dispensary.

Stores don't reopen for business the day after a Federal raid. If they wanted to, they could put a stop to this very quickly.

I kinda doubt it, they'd probably have to bring in a significant portion of the FBI and US Marshals. Even if they could, it would be politically poisonous and nonsensical to even attempt it. If it wasn't, they'd already have done it with medical dispensaries a long time ago.

My feeling is that there is no real will to enforce MJ laws outside of the agencies that directly financially benefit. The silence from the federal government after WA and CO legalized is very telling. As long as those states don't try to directly challenge federal supremacy, I don't think there is going to be much of a response. But I guess we'll see in about a year...

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

Pyroxene Stigma posted:

I'm very sure they could go on a tour of WA and CO, with the ATF if needed, and shut down every open dispensary.

Stores don't reopen for business the day after a Federal raid. If they wanted to, they could put a stop to this very quickly.

They only have 4500 agents, most of whom are assigned pretty much permanently to anything other than roving enforcement.

They care a whole lot more about stopping people running cocaine across the border or wahtev then they do about dispensaries, and they know that if they ever started mounting widespread raids at their current staffing level; all the drug runner types would be busting through wherever they expected agents to be taken from. It would require depletion of their resources in a major way.

ProFootballGuy
Nov 6, 2012

by angerbot

800peepee51doodoo posted:

I kinda doubt it, they'd probably have to bring in a significant portion of the FBI and US Marshals. Even if they could, it would be politically poisonous and nonsensical to even attempt it. If it wasn't, they'd already have done it with medical dispensaries a long time ago.

My feeling is that there is no real will to enforce MJ laws outside of the agencies that directly financially benefit. The silence from the federal government after WA and CO legalized is very telling. As long as those states don't try to directly challenge federal supremacy, I don't think there is going to be much of a response. But I guess we'll see in about a year...
Exactly. It's not like there's some political gain for any DEA guys to bust legal shops. It won't help anyone's career or credentials. The general public doesn't give a poo poo about weed, and neither does the president.

Any federal enforcement will be token at best. It's a losing issue politically. Even Republicans, who style themselves anti-government, won't be in favor of busts.

Rhandhali
Sep 7, 2003

This is Free Trader Beowulf, calling anyone...
Grimey Drawer
What about tying federal law enforcement grants to enforcement of federal marijuana law? My understanding is a lot of police departments live and die by federal money.

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

Rhandhali posted:

What about tying federal law enforcement grants to enforcement of federal marijuana law? My understanding is a lot of police departments live and die by federal money.

That seems too extreme for a token measure but not extreme enough if the goal is to actually imprison people with marijuana (since I don't think you can tie law enforcement grants to sentencing requirements).

lightpole
Jun 4, 2004
I think that MBAs are useful, in case you are looking for an answer to the question of "Is lightpole a total fucking idiot".

Rigged Death Trap posted:

From what I understand the money would be forfeitured as illegal assets, right?

So having weed money is not onto itself illegal.

One of the guys I went to school with opened up a local co-op here. The city voted to tax marijuana since it was broke. Local law enforcement then cracked down on co-ops and shut down most of them. In this case all money linked to the business was confiscated as it was linked to illegal activities and he couldn't use the lawyer he had on retainer since he couldn't prove he had paid her with clean money. Currently, a state judge is throwing out the cases linked to co-ops that were operating legally and paying taxes.

Basically, it's just a mess until there is decent regulation in place for local dispensaries at federal, state and local levels.

Edit: yeah it was strange, the city was bankrupt and needed the money as well. I do see how cities get frustrated with having a bunch of dispensaries around and a desire to cut back but again, better more consistent regulations at all levels.

lightpole fucked around with this message at 04:31 on Dec 23, 2012

Radbot
Aug 12, 2009
Probation
Can't post for 3 years!
The local police busted a shop in a city with a tax on marijuana? Bizarre.

Unoriginal Name
Aug 1, 2006

by sebmojo
Tax revenue on marijuana is a decent income to poor local governements.

Outright seizing everything involved with a coop under the guise of federal law is probably better money for the short term budget.

Full Battle Rattle
Aug 29, 2009

As long as the times refuse to change, we're going to make a hell of a racket.
So you tax 'em for a few months and then after you're tired of it you raid the place and seize all the assets, netting you more money in the short term and imprisoning evil drug users, thus displaying to scared old white people that you are tough on drugs and therefore, crime. That's the great thing about grey areas! If you're a monster.

Xandu
Feb 19, 2006


It's hard to be humble when you're as great as I am.
Assuming marijuana became legal nationally, would it really end up being good tax revenue? The price would drop massively.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Oakland Martini
Feb 14, 2008

D&D: HASBARA SQUAD
THE APARTHEID ACADEMIC


It's important that institutions never take a stance like "genocide is bad". Now get out there and crack some of my students' skulls.

Xandu posted:

Assuming marijuana became legal nationally, would it really end up being good tax revenue? The price would drop massively.

Not so clear. Depends on the price elasticity of demand for weed, which we really can't estimate reliably considering the illegal --> legal transition.

  • Locked thread