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Devor posted:Not everyone has to freak out, because lots of other people are freaking out, so I don't need to do anything or be worried So it's just a roundabout way of saying "Other people care about this, so I don't have to"? Lame. Nate Silver is a lame man.
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Aug 16, 2020 20:30
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I have it on good authority by the professional reporters on Fox News that Biden is a socialist who will enact medicare for all on the first day of his presidency.
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Aug 16, 2020 20:31
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CrocodileKingSaysNO posted:Best benefit of the doubt interpretation i have is 'it would be more worrisome if nobody cared' vs 'it is a good thing that a lot of people are trying to act on this' that was my immediate read it's clunky but not difficult to parse
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Aug 16, 2020 20:32
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Mizaq posted:I hope Democrats keep telling Trump he cannot pardon Edward Snowden and he throws out a pardon out of spite. Obama should have done it before he left office. I doubt Biden will do it, so oddly Trump is probably Snowden's best chance for the next 12 years.
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Aug 16, 2020 20:33
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A big flaming stink posted:https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1294301326839554048 Is he trying to say it's like Y2K, in that idiots think it's not a big deal because a bunch of people freaked out and made sure it wasn't actually a big deal?
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Aug 16, 2020 20:34
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https://twitter.com/kenlemonWSOC9/status/1294339931775610884?s=19
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Aug 16, 2020 20:36
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Bar Ran Dun posted:Sometimes the act of trying to prevent a thing increases the likelihood of a thing happening. Or suppressing something causes a more exaggerated form of the suppressed thing. An old French proverb states “You meet your fate on the road you take to avoid it.” Another one states “Nate Silver is a dink.”
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Aug 16, 2020 20:38
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https://twitter.com/CoriBush/status/1295064673193271296?s=19 I can't wait to watch what she does in office.
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Aug 16, 2020 20:39
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nine-gear crow posted:An old French proverb states “You meet your fate on the road you take to avoid it.” isnt that a variant of that old jewish proverb about the servant who meets death in the marketplace and asks for a horse to escape him? e: looks like its actually from 1934 A big flaming stink fucked around with this message at 20:45 on Aug 16, 2020 |
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Aug 16, 2020 20:42
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Thom12255 posted:Do you think this of Biden or the mythological DNC hivemind? Biden and Bernie have a good working relationship and Bernie seems to trust him a lot. Or is Bernie not on the left anymore? Bernie trusts Biden so much that he stayed in a race where people were going to vote in person in the middle of pandemic as long as he had even a 1% chance of stopping Biden from being the nominee.
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Aug 16, 2020 20:47
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Mr Ice Cream Glove posted:https://twitter.com/CoriBush/status/1295064673193271296?s=19 if i were a national convention delegate, which i am not, so don't doxx me, i'd have voted against the platform (and more seriously I did bug the delegates of whom i was/am constituent as a state delegate not to vote for it and got responses ranging from politely mildly positive to very positive so while I'm not too optimistic about it being voted down and redone, maybe there'll be enough of a revolt to be noticed)
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Aug 16, 2020 20:48
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Eminai posted:Bernie trusts Biden so much that he stayed in a race where people were going to vote in person in the middle of pandemic as long as he had even a 1% chance of stopping Biden from being the nominee. That's not true, he stayed in for that last race because getting high Democrat turnout was super important for getting a Judge seat and it was successful. He stayed in til really late in '16 because Clinton and him did indeed hate each other.
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Aug 16, 2020 20:51
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CrocodileKingSaysNO posted:Best benefit of the doubt interpretation i have is 'it would be more worrisome if nobody cared' vs 'it is a good thing that a lot of people are trying to act on this' his follow up to that tweet make it clear that it's this. it's an asinine point to make, but it's fairly clear the point he's trying to make and 538 has been putting out material discussing the possible effects of administration tampering with usps, which is about the limits of the meager power held by a minor political pundit nate silver isn't great at stats and is terrible at political punditry, but some posters really get more worked up about him than he warrants
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Aug 16, 2020 20:54
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Solaris 2.0 posted:Lol “Moderate” Republicans thats funny. The future of the GOP are the Qanon types. Exactly and even the moderates will vote for the q-anon nuts because they’d rather die than vote democrat or another party.
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Aug 16, 2020 21:02
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Thom12255 posted:Do you think this of Biden or the mythological DNC hivemind? Biden and Bernie have a good working relationship and Bernie seems to trust him a lot. Or is Bernie not on the left anymore? Leftists don't give a poo poo about whatever loving supposed personal relationships politicians have between themselves.
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Aug 16, 2020 21:05
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Thom12255 posted:Do you think this of Biden or the mythological DNC hivemind? Biden and Bernie have a good working relationship and Bernie seems to trust him a lot. Or is Bernie not on the left anymore? If Bernie trusts Biden, he is mistaken to do so. We believe in ideas, not people who symbolize ideas. Hope this helps.
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Aug 16, 2020 21:07
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Thom12255 posted:That's not true, he stayed in for that last race because getting high Democrat turnout was super important for getting a Judge seat and it was successful. He stayed in til really late in '16 because Clinton and him did indeed hate each other. So you're saying that Bernie cynically stayed in to deceive people into showing up to vote in person in the middle of a pandemic? And you think that is someone we should trust?
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Aug 16, 2020 21:08
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nine-gear crow posted:An old French proverb states “You meet your fate on the road you take to avoid it.” 
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Aug 16, 2020 21:09
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A big flaming stink posted:https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1294301326839554048 A pretty easy example of this is Coronavirus. The more people that are worried about it and taking precaution the less of a problem it actually is. If nobody cares and takes precaution it's a disaster.
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Aug 16, 2020 21:12
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I tipped my mailman last week. Just put $20 in an envelope and wrote a big "Thank you!" on it. He wrote a thank you message the next day on the front of some junk mail. It was cool and good. I'll probably leave him another $20 next week.
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Aug 16, 2020 21:14
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Bashez posted:A pretty easy example of this is Coronavirus. In fact, there's relatively few issues you couldn't say this about, which probably makes it an incredibly facile and asinine point
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Aug 16, 2020 21:15
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Space Cadet Omoly posted:A few packages I've ordered have been delayed and it's pretty obviously because of the attack on the post office.  I actually had some certified mail (the kind they as you to sign and poo poo) get misdelivered to a neighbor, and my wife had a small package of masks from Disney which she ordered in like May just altogether not get delivered at the start of the month. I put in a request for the local post office to look into it. Neighbor dropped the mail in my box 2-3ish days later, and my wife's package was redelivered in about a week. Then I learned about all this fuckery and immediately regretted raising a flag about the deliveries. Just received a call from the post office branch asking about the issue and if it had been resolved, and I was (I hope) suitably mortified that I had caused them to devote time to my piddly-rear end problem when they are understaffed, underfunded and in a whole-rear end tumult ON TOP of working during the pandemic. The rep basically said " thanks, and I think if we can solve these small problems for people now, we can get folks to solve the other problems too". Which I really hope so, because the post has been rock solid during this whole pandemic and honestly just taken for granted as a whole. I'd like to think the Dem leadership would fix the insane prefunding poo poo and allow banking/other "it makes sense" poo poo to go forward but I have no faith in them.
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Aug 16, 2020 21:19
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FilthyImp posted:
The House already passed a bill reversing this. Guess what happened when it got to the Senate?
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Aug 16, 2020 21:21
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FlamingLiberal posted:https://twitter.com/willsommer/status/1294984789355790336?s=21 Cool, my wife is from the part of Wisconsin where these idiots live. Can't say I'm surprised.
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Aug 16, 2020 21:24
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Space Cadet Omoly posted:A few packages I've ordered have been delayed and it's pretty obviously because of the attack on the post office. Feeling the same but with Immigration services. My wife is a Green Card holder and we were able to do everything fine throughout the Obama admin. Then Trump came in and the change was visible. The immigration offices in Manhattan used to be poorly staffed during Obama's term, maybe 3-4 people in a row of 20 booths. but now they staff ONE person, and we've been turned away during the process because THEY can't find some paper work. Her case has been bouncing around between districts as they shuffle things around just to add complication. It's the same poo poo they're starting to do with USPS, just pulling the plug on a live patient while screaming "We can't save him!" Her Green Card renewal should've taken 90 days. It's been 32 months and counting. She could've been a citizen by now too so it's successfully suppressing her vote.
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Aug 16, 2020 21:31
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https://twitter.com/BoKnowsNews/status/1295004891019001857?s=20
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Aug 16, 2020 21:37
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piracy is cool again  https://twitter.com/WideAsleepNima/status/1295093283245498433 quote:The U.S. isn’t licensing acts of piracy by private individuals. Nor, in this case, has it resorted to military action. A senior U.S. official told The Associated Press that no military force was used in the seizures. Instead, threats of potentially crippling sanctions against the owners, insurers and captains of the vessels persuaded them to hand over the cargoes. double nine fucked around with this message at 21:41 on Aug 16, 2020 |
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Aug 16, 2020 21:38
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double nine posted:piracy is cool again lol Ya ain’t seen nothing yet. Did you know the US can just seize any vessel alongside in the US for National security reasons during a war (maybe even all the time).
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Aug 16, 2020 21:43
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Failed Imagineer posted:In fact, there's relatively few issues you couldn't say this about, which probably makes it an incredibly facile and asinine point Nate's not a very good pundit. His point isn't confusing.
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Aug 16, 2020 21:45
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https://twitter.com/LeslieMac/status/1295060534639894529?s=20
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Aug 16, 2020 21:46
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Bashez posted:Nate's not a very good pundit. His point isn't confusing. "Facile and asinine" doesn't mean confusing. See also this tweet, because the large bald stats son is extremely on his bullshit today https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1295092374566207492?s=19
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Aug 16, 2020 21:47
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eggyolk posted:Feeling the same but with Immigration services. Can she not apply for citizenship while the renewal is processing? I'm on ROC processing right now and I am able to apply for the N-400 if the ROC isn't complete by the time I'm eligible. I've read that it speeds up your other application if you do.
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Aug 16, 2020 21:49
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https://twitter.com/WFKARS/status/1295100352262545408?s=20 HIPPA
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Aug 16, 2020 21:55
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One weird trick! The elderly and immuno-compromised hate it!
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Aug 16, 2020 22:00
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It’s been posted a few times being seen at various places and it kills me that every single time they spell HIPAA wrong
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Aug 16, 2020 22:01
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Bar Ran Dun posted:lol The Korean War never ended. In fact I don't think any war involving the US has legally ended since WW2.
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Aug 16, 2020 22:03
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Failed Imagineer posted:"Facile and asinine" doesn't mean confusing. What a diseased mind. Just gross.
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Aug 16, 2020 22:07
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Failed Imagineer posted:"Facile and asinine" doesn't mean confusing. Other people seemed confused by his tweet.
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Aug 16, 2020 22:13
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Maine isnt necessarily Trump country (the coast) but there are plenty of conservatives there who never shut the gently caress up about Janet Mills. Just by nature of governing during a pandemic, I bet she'll be a one term governor, unfortunately.
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Aug 16, 2020 22:15
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A HIPPA is a female hippo.
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