Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Post
  • Reply
Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
It was drowned by trumpchat in the CSPAM thread, but someone posted a study which found that the popularity of a policy among people who arent filthy rich in the US had basically no correlation with getting passed by either party. Even when approaching 100% support, the line remained flat. Democracy may as well not exist for those below the top 10% of society. The country that prides itself on Democracy.

If one is aware of this, its hard to argue back "dont abandon democracy, don't support a regime that aligns with your views" if that regime is going to put food on the table and legislate what you need to survive. Democracy loses out to food, shelter, and healthcare.

(This is without getting into how, for a large swathe of the earth, "western democracy" correlates with the US destroying your country & installing puppet figures so yanks can have cheap bananas)

Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 14:51 on Oct 2, 2020

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
Idk about 'whataboutism' or 'tankies' but I just wanted to pop up and say the short-lived panic over china amassing wind farm-mounted nuclear missiles should be cause to contemplate how reliable aerial reporting by credulous idiots can be

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

quote:

It's unknown whether the Washington Post report corresponds to the real situation. But generally speaking, silos are normally used for liquid-fuel intercontinental missiles. Such missiles are high-thrust and long-range, and could carry higher-yield nuclear warheads. Silos provide good conditions for the storage and maintenance of missiles and are able to shorten launch time under emergency situations. However, Lewis assumed that the "silos" in Gansu are intended for DF-41 intercontinental ballistic missiles. In reality, DF-41 is solid-fueled and is loaded on high-mobility launcher vehicles. The necessity of putting it inside a silo is questionable. Therefore, the latest accusations by Washington Post and the US State Department over China cannot hold water.

Sounds less like "yeah those are nukes" and more "gently caress are you going to do about it cunts, also that's stupid".

E: also, it seems like a questionable idea to build your underground silos in an alluvial fan next to a population center of 160,000. On the other hand, circular formations right next to a wind farm, might in fact be wind turbine foundations:

Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 20:58 on Jul 4, 2021

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
I dont really post in here too much because it seems to attract a lot of annoying (and, dare I say, gullible) USNews types, but at the risk of being thrown into the ban blender: I think it more accurately fits the definition of ethnic cleansing (which can constitute attempts to fundamentally change an ethnic culture) rather than genocide; to my knowledge China is not trying to eradicate its Uyghur population, rather the culture that it views as dangerous (being a reaction to funded Uyghur insurgents, making it akin to WW2 japanese internment camps). A sin on par with when Bush ethnically cleansed Iraq (with the similar goal of reducing ethnic strife), or Israel's treatment of Jerusalem palestinian culture & landmarks (although, to my knowledge, Uyghurs who visit the US to do scathing interviews are still considered chinese citizens and allowed to return).

Hopefully the more.....zealous posters can deduce that someone saying that China's camps are ethnic cleansing is not, in fact, suggesting that they are good, nor participating in an action worthy of immediately retreating to a sympathetic moderator.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 15:58 on Aug 3, 2021

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Plastic_Gargoyle posted:

Nothing says "celebrating culture" like removing the domes from the mosques to make them "more Chinese."

Weren't those domes added in the 1970's by wahabbists

XMNN posted:

One thing I always wonder about the supposed US tolerance of political dissent (cf the USSR, DDR etc), is how much credit you can give a country for not locking up people who are basically no threat to power in the imperial core, when it is perfectly happy to orchestrate mass killings of hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of political dissidents in the imperial periphery.

Like just because you have a passable impression of freedom and democracy at home, surely the lack of respect for it abroad sort of negates that almost entirely? Maybe you wouldn't get locked up for advocating communism in Jacksonville in 1965 (although you would probably be spied on by secret police agencies like the FBI), but if you tried it in 1965 Jakarta then you would absolutely get murdered with the full blessing of the CIA, so surely it's not really a system tolerant of anything other than limited forms of political dissent (i.e. in specific geographical locations) when considered in aggregate?

It's one of those things I always think about when you read about e.g. UK police spying on environmentalist groups via extremely intensive and gross methods. Clearly, our commitment to allowing political dissent, even at home where nominally we're supposed to be a liberal democracy is already limited, and I always suspect the reason MI5 isn't murdering communists like MI6 is less because of any unshakable moral principle of the British government and more just because they don't need to. Like you only have to look at the British security state's activities in Northern Ireland to see that they're perfectly happy to pretty openly kill people on allegedly British soil for political reasons.

This, In-My-Opinion, is the real takeaway. Dissent in the US is tolerated for as long as it can be suppressed through soft-power, and when the US becomes significantly intimidated, we see it crack down on dissenting voices, whether it's Fred Hampton or other US communists. So long as that soft power is effective, they dont need to get their hands more visibly dirty.

Hell, what more damning indictment of this approach is necessary, than the fact that it's taught some folks that the history & effectiveness of US communism & socialism amounted to bickering twitter fights:

Mulva posted:

the idea that 'communists' were a single thing that existed in some meaningful group sense, rather than being like 9 million disparate groups which often hated each other.

I think China, Cuba, the like would love to be able to exert that same soft power over their nations, but they dont have the global, cultural power. They dont have a way to deal with a barrage of "CONVERT TO CAPITALISM VIA SHOCK THERAPY AND WIN A FREE IPOD!!" propaganda that the current western superpower can exert, as seen in the former soviet countries the moment the USSR was not regulating its cultural intake.

Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 16:57 on Nov 14, 2021

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
For what it's worth, one-third of Xinjiang was Han Chinese in the 1800's, and has fluctuated over time, and is currently at 40%. I feel like equating such a ratio to say, the treatment of native americans, is very disingenuous. I also feel like framing the migration of Han chinese and miscegenation as 'settler colonialism" kind of gross, and bordering on "The ____ Will Not Replace Us" rhetoric. This isnt to comment on the camps, for which I've said my part in the QCS thread.

It also seems to be implied in the thread that all Uyghur chinese citizens are in favor of independence, which I find a bit suspect.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Vincent Van Goatse posted:

I was assured China didn't do this sort of thing with their African loans.

MarcusSA posted:

That was my understanding as well! :confused:

https://twitter.com/UCAA_Spokesman/status/1464531307619405824?s=20

Grace period ends December 2022, the Ugandan government has already confirmed that they intend to cover the 'ports debt payments, and China has already granted extensions & debt restructurings to Zambia, Ethiopia, and Kenya.

It's pretty understandable that they're struggling with the debt considering the cascading COVID crises (and the Ethiopian civil war), and China so far has been willing to provide relief where necessary. That could change in the future, but whatever half-baked initiative the US is working on will probably keep them honest & competitive.

Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 00:03 on Nov 28, 2021

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
Indecisive superhero choosing between "force everyone to test & lockdown, send them food" and "protect freedoms, murder 3.5 million citizens".

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
I imagine what will happen is China continues to quarantine until the rest of the world figures out how to stop spreading a deadly virus, which leaves 1.4 billion fewer hosts for the virus to mutate from which will be good for the world in general.

Either the the problem-nations in the west figure out how a shutdown actually works & vaccine patents are lifted to aid the global south, or Zero Covid just becomes the norm and China continues to devise ways to maintain trade with other nations without getting everyone killed. Maybe the virus suddenly and idealistically mutates a dominant strain that kills nobody and infects everyone, I'm personally skeptical!

As was mentioned before, I think comparing China (landlocked massively population-dense country which relies on global industry and was the epicenter of the virus) to a Taiwan or New Zealand (island states that were able to shape their COVID policy in reaction) is a little disingenuous. I dont personally see a way in which China, by the time the virus was identified, was going to stamp it out without severe lockdown measures. In fact I think we're witnessing what a more ŕ la carte policy would have accomplished, in the United States.

Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 10:34 on Dec 26, 2021

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
Cant recall if this has already been brought up here, the Eastern Europe thread, or the Eurasia thread, but in any case consensus was basically "The EU isnt going to let one member intentionally agitate outside partners and drag them all into it".

Which makes sense because the EU is about trade, neoliberal reform, and siphoning talent from poorer states. It's not a channel for sanction/trade war diplomacy, and I dont think anyone but Lithuania wants it to be that.

E: And I suppose Lithuania's also grown cold to the idea.
https://twitter.com/taiwanplusnews/status/1478370632471613441?s=20

Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 16:36 on Jan 4, 2022

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
Taiwan is also an island sixty times smaller than mainland China.

E: Following up on prior Lithuania discussion: Most Lithuanians critical of Vilnius’ China policy – survey

quote:

The survey, conducted on December 10-18, asked respondents, among other questions, how they viewed Lithuania's policy on China. Only 13 percent said they supported it, while 60 percent had a negative opinion.

Appears that Lithuania's gambit has backfired on several fronts.

Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 02:16 on Jan 15, 2022

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
In-My-Opinion, a lot of what determines a good pandemic outcome boils down to:
  • Intent (how willing a country is to damage its economy in the short-term to protect its citizens)
  • Control (how much power can be wielded immediately, and how compliant will the populace be)
  • Landmass (does the country have significant and permeable borders with its neighbors, or is it an island)
  • Population (23 million citizens, or nearly 20% of the human race)
  • Outbreak proximity (did Covid explode in the country before it was identified, or did they have the luxury of locking down before it could spread)
What makes China unique, in-my-opinion, is that it had the worst traits of the above, except for intent & control. An enormous country with a huge population that shares great land borders with its neighbors (and requires their travel, owing to a significant migrant labor workforce) which was also the very epicenter of the virus, should have been a recipe for utter disaster. But the chinese government proved a willingness to save lives rather than theorycraft about Herd Immunity or Die for DOW, even if it damages their economy.

We can point to Taiwan (an island nation of 23 million that locked down before the virus could spread), or New Zealand (a middle-earth nation of 5 million that locked down before the virus could spread), but China should have looked like Russia or the USA, possibly even worse seeing as the virus originated in neither. But China doesn't. Why?

VVV Fixed, thanks.

Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 04:47 on Jan 17, 2022

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Plastic_Gargoyle posted:

You're also not recognizing that the ability to even say this undermines your whole point.

He can say this because he is not a significant threat; the last time US hegemony was meaningfully challenged, being sympathetic to Communism was seen as seditious behavior worthy of not only ostracization from job & society, but of active surveillance and even imprisonment. When racial supremacy was challenged, numerous black leaders were assassinated, jailed, and openly discredited. We can even see hints of this today among subjects that US interests are losing control over, like with Palestine & BDS.

The reason, outside those listed examples, that freedom of speech is permitted is because:
1. It serves as a safe release-valve for tension; that which bends does not break, it's better to have citizens vent on Twitter than to let their grievances foment
2. The west has a monopoly on the global culture, and to an extent can shape these winds as desired, in turn allowing passive influence over countries that do not censor. In this sense it becomes valuable as a tool to sway public opinion towards market reforms, getting suckered into capitalism, and shaping what today's villains look like. The modern, enlightened individual can watch a drama on Chernobyl, root for a techbro's intern, then watch a superhero movie where they depose Castro.

Quick thought exercise: if the nazis had won WW2, became a dominant superpower instead of the US, encircled America, and started mass-producing thinly-veiled & extremely accessible media on how great & noble nazism is, the benefits of being a german satellite state, and how great being racially pure is, would the US have as much of an open adoration for freedom of speech & proliferation of ideas? What does our history say? Would we want that?

I wouldn't be surprised if we reach a point, as US influence continues to wane & as China continues to grow as a global superpower, that the tables are turned and heavy-handed moderation wanes as it becomes unnecessary. On the other hand, a lot of modern China has been defined by observing the USSR's mistakes, and the conquering of eastern europe probably has them cautious on this front.


All that was to say, "liberalism vs authoritarianism" is far more defined by a culture-war over which superpower controls the global narratives, than of any real ideological foundation. A 'liberal' state will turn 'authoritarian' as it loses control over the influence and power of ideas (as seen during both Red Scares and the Civil Rights era), and an 'authoritarian' state may turn 'liberal' as it marginalizes dissenting ideals.

Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 15:53 on Jan 19, 2022

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
Pretty interesting to see the contrast between effort posts and lived experiences with

Acebuckeye13 posted:

well they're certainly responsive when high-profile members are accused of sexual assault

Thorn Wishes Talon posted:

Debate & Discussion > China Megathread - What even is authoritarianism, maaaan?

Zingers.

It's entirely fair to ask what determines Authoritarianism, and to what degree countries deemed Liberal are allowed to partake in 'authoritarian' behavior, and how this impacts the attempt to define it, as well as its relation to racist depictions of The East in general.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Jarmak posted:

Talking about politics is rude in the US because it's contentious, and people don't want to have fights with people they consider friends.

You just said made the assertion that a floor of 80% of people support CCP policy... where's the contention?

Fart Simpson described himself as a foreigner, so he would presumably have this US gut habit of assuming politics is a contentious subject, even if he's seen polls and had conversations suggesting otherwise. Seems a lot more likely than this attempt at fishing, personally.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Kavros posted:

We can similarly concede that the DPRK has the support of its population. Overwhelming, even.

I mean, ignoring that two polls outside the control of the chinese government have been posted, both corroborating that the chinese public approve of the chinese government, even NK defectors, a group that would naturally self-select for opposition to the DPRK, say that the country approves of Kim Jong Un. So, yes? Is namedropping the asian discourse equivalent of Venezuela supposed to be a trump card?

Honestly, the extreme credulity around the idea that China approves of Xi even in the face of data is strange. Living conditions have dramatically improved, China is now a dominant superpower, and they have had one of the most impressive COVID recoveries for a nation of its size (especially considering the drat thing started there). This isnt even getting into historic reasons why the average chinese citizen would be proud of the CPC.

Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 20:15 on Jan 19, 2022

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

How are u posted:

Sure, but in absence of polling of the North Korean populace what could be more indicative of their support and feelings than the election results themselves? Nearly unanimous support!

Well, we could start with the defectors, who will naturally view the government and its support with skepticism.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

MikeC posted:

Scale. And. Scope. You still haven't found me a relevant and current Jimmy Lai/Appledaily comparison in the West despite your sixer after accusing the West of the same thing. I guess since you dodged the banhammer from a month ago, you figure exactly how much bad faith shitposting is acceptable and keep toeing that line.

Neurolimal posted:

He can say this because he is not a significant threat; the last time US hegemony was meaningfully challenged, being sympathetic to Communism was seen as seditious behavior worthy of not only ostracization from job & society, but of active surveillance and even imprisonment. When racial supremacy was challenged, numerous black leaders were assassinated, jailed, and openly discredited. We can even see hints of this today among subjects that US interests are losing control over, like with Palestine & BDS.

The reason, outside those listed examples, that freedom of speech is permitted is because:
1. It serves as a safe release-valve for tension; that which bends does not break, it's better to have citizens vent on Twitter than to let their grievances foment
2. The west has a monopoly on the global culture, and to an extent can shape these winds as desired, in turn allowing passive influence over countries that do not censor. In this sense it becomes valuable as a tool to sway public opinion towards market reforms, getting suckered into capitalism, and shaping what today's villains look like. The modern, enlightened individual can watch a drama on Chernobyl, root for a techbro's intern, then watch a superhero movie where they depose Castro.

Quick thought exercise: if the nazis had won WW2, became a dominant superpower instead of the US, encircled America, and started mass-producing thinly-veiled & extremely accessible media on how great & noble nazism is, the benefits of being a german satellite state, and how great being racially pure is, would the US have as much of an open adoration for freedom of speech & proliferation of ideas? What does our history say? Would we want that?

I wouldn't be surprised if we reach a point, as US influence continues to wane & as China continues to grow as a global superpower, that the tables are turned and heavy-handed moderation wanes as it becomes unnecessary. On the other hand, a lot of modern China has been defined by observing the USSR's mistakes, and the conquering of eastern europe probably has them cautious on this front.


All that was to say, "liberalism vs authoritarianism" is far more defined by a culture-war over which superpower controls the global narratives, than of any real ideological foundation. A 'liberal' state will turn 'authoritarian' as it loses control over the influence and power of ideas (as seen during both Red Scares and the Civil Rights era), and an 'authoritarian' state may turn 'liberal' as it marginalizes dissenting ideals.

The US doesn't have to wield hard influence [outside subjugating minority protests] because it doesn't need to, not because it doesn't want to. This is why we keep bringing up the red scares and the civil rights assassinations; we saw what happens when the USA is vulnerable, and can speculate from there how the USA would act if their wall of soft influence faltered.

By all means, I'd be quite into seeing a China so culturally dominant on a global scale that it didn't need to wield hard influence. Perhaps in the future.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Plastic_Gargoyle posted:

And, you know, the genocide thing.

I mean, the WHO estimates that up to a million afghan children may die due to malnutrition, directly related to US sanctions; evidently, genocide is not limited to authoritarian systems. It's entirely possible that a neoliberal China might have also acted with such a heavy hand towards Uyghur insurgency.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

MikeC posted:

But as always, if people are dying and the US is even remotely involved in some way shape or form in that and/or not gloriously riding in like a benevolent white knight - its loving genocide by the US/West/Capitalism what have you.

Would the 9.5 billion in assets currently frozen help or hinder securing food to withstand the drought? Are the imposition of sanctions likely to cause greater or fewer deaths?

You are, however, correct; there are many, many examples of neoliberal governments committing genocide & ethnic cleansings that could also have been referenced. I simply figured one would suffice for making the point that this is not a uniquely 'authoritarian' phenomenon.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
It's a matter of soft influence vs. hard influence, and who controls global cultural trends. If you can exert enough soft influence and hold a monopoly on acceptable discourse, then you don't need to exert hard influence, and in fact your soft influence may be far better at defusing unrest & unacceptable thought than hard influence would; you don't need to ban dissent on Israel if even the most """""neutral"""" news organizations will fire you for attending a pro-Palestine rally in college. You don't need to ban unflattering depictions of the US military if Pentagon approval is all but necessary to depict them in any cost-effective way. You don't need to censor anti-police stories if you have an overwhelming multimillion dollar industry that adores Good Cop stories.

quote:

The modern, enlightened individual can watch a drama on Chernobyl, root for a techbro's intern, then watch a superhero movie where they depose Castro.
And there is no opposing cultural powerhouse contesting any of that.

We have also seen the result when this soft influence buckles under unrest and pressure; hard influence emerges. Assassinations, brutality, censorship. Fred Hampton folk die. Communist parties are banned. Racial protests are put down. Al Jazeera's get blocked. For all its bravado, free thought and expression has its boundaries, and will be severely punished for crossing them.

The USSR didn't have this cultural dominance, and so exerted hard influence upon its states (and we saw that crumbling before the power of the global culture by the end). China, which has defined much of its evolution by the USSR's failures, has only further fortified its hard influence, while also financially incentivizing foreign studios to provide censored editions of globally funded & influenced art.

All this is to say, I'm not particularly surprised when China censors art, it's a tool for cultural control they possess, and states will always look for methods to control its citizens' acceptable views. Perhaps one day China will have amassed enough global cultural power that these hard measures become obsolete, and they adopt a more western approach. I imagine they'd approach it with caution, keeping in mind how the soviet bloc was devoured.

E:

WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:

In China a cop can kill anyone to anything at any time. In America that would never happen because we're free and stuff

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bwDrHqNZ9lo

Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 11:44 on Jan 30, 2022

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Daduzi posted:

Is it not even possible to laugh at clunky censorship in China without invoking "well actually, in America a complex relationship between government, business, and media means..."

It's crude, "Poochy died on the way to his home planet"-level censorship that people in China are laughing at. It's spectacularly unsubtle, that's why it attracted comment, so I'm bemused as to why subtle forms of message manipulation elsewhere (oh, who am I kidding, just in the US) needs to be brought up.

I dont think anyone denies that it's funny and not very convincing, FWIW.

Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 12:10 on Jan 30, 2022

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
There was an explanation, I can't recall if it was from this thread or the Eurasia thread, that whatever system deemed 'social credit' was primarily used for rural areas to track & prevent scam artists, hustlers, thieves etc. from freely traveling from one town to the next to repeat their ploys (as China can be quite large, populous, and hard to govern). This seemed more likely than some extreme method of crushing & ostracizing dissent, seeing as rural territories tend to not [usually] be where uncontrollable mass dissent & riots break out; you'd presumably use such a system around population & intelligentsia hubs.

IIRC that same post also said that it was poorly implemented due to being very decentralized & inconsistent, so I doubt whatever its current state is would be promoted nationwide.

Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 13:31 on Feb 6, 2022

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Thank you for your insight. So it essentially boils down to incentives to do [whatever the city wants to prioritize], punishing & publicizing white collar crime, privileges for party members (though it sounds like you're basically picking up a part-time job for it), and limiting out-of-district school options for people with a criminal record.

Personally, I'd only find the last one contentious, and obviously that partially depends on the severity of the system ("parking ticket = stay in your district" vs. "Serial burglar who's been clean 10 years = send your kid to Beijing").

Echoing other posters in saying it'd be appreciated if you, and other china citizens/expats, lurked the thread for momebts like these.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

lightrook posted:

I'm morbidly curious now, since all I know about the shows are memes about the ubiquity of their advertising. What exactly do you mean by "bonkers?"

Stepping Into the Uncanny, Unsettling World of Shen Yun

quote:

I felt my forehead. The dances continued, sleeves swirling, skirts rippling. A man came onstage to sing a song in Chinese, which was translated on the screen behind him. “We follow Dafa, the Great Way,” he began, singing about a Creator who saved mankind and made the world anew. “Atheism and evolution are deadly ideas. Modern trends destroy what makes us human,” he sang. At the end of the song, the row of older white people sitting behind me clapped fervently. In the final dance number, a group of Falun Dafa followers, who wore blue and yellow and clutched books of religious teachings, battled for space in a public square with corrupt youth. (Their corruption was evident because they were wearing black, looking at their cell phones, and, in the case of two men, holding hands.) Chairman Mao appeared, and the sky turned black; the city in the digital backdrop was obliterated by an earthquake, then finished off by a Communist tsunami. A red hammer and sickle glowed in the center of the wave. Dazed, I rubbed my eyes and saw a huge, bearded face disappearing in the water.

“Was that . . . ?” I said to my brother, wondering if I needed to go to the hospital.

“Karl Marx?” he said. “Yeah, I think that was a tsunami with the face of Karl Marx.”

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Vincent Van Goatse posted:

I went to a Shen Yun show years ago because I thought "Chinese ballet? Sounds worth a look."

Flipping through the program I realized it was sponsored by the Falun Gong, but they didn't do the Evil Karl Marx monster at the show I saw. I mean there was a flying Buddha-looking statue that knocked over some Chinese riot cops but I still feel profoundly ripped off.

Apparently they workshop it for certain regions;

quote:

The vocal numbers, though, were different from the Houston production—instead of the song about atheism and evolution, a soprano in an evening gown sang a song that began, “Many today are far from the warmth of home / Separated by great distances from those they love.” It seemed likely that this was Shen Yun’s way of molding the production to local tastes; the other vocal number bemoaned the busyness of modern life.

Similarly, a lot of past Shen Yun advertisement has danced around the concept, but now the climate in the US is such that "See China Before Communism" can be a draw in-of itself, without alienating too many people.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Mulva posted:

Nobody needs to dedicate that much more focus to containing Russia, Ukraine as is is losing exceptionally slowly. And it's just Ukraine, versus a sizable percentage of all of Russia's forces.

The Georgia war was 12 days. We're 7 days into a war with a country nine times larger, and they're about to encircle three major cities (including the capital), air superiority has been established, and Ukraine's eastern force are kettled.

A lot of the "You're not kicking my rear end fast enough! Loser!" Rhetoric seems based around rumors that Russia intended for a three-day operation, but as canuck defense professional & CSPAM shitposter Frosted Flake points out:

Frosted Flake posted:

Also … they could not have planned for a 3 day operation because:




It takes more than 3 days to get there…

Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 14:43 on Mar 5, 2022

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
The good news is that Shenzhen seems to be on the downswing with-regards-to new cases.

Crossposting because there's been some Sinovac chat in here, University of Hong Kong study on the vaccines:
https://twitter.com/kjoules/status/1506114862816309249?s=20&t=2KeBzyOqDOCm-7pcHYRxFA

Some bad news and good news; the bad news is that Sinovac is indeed not as effective as the mRNA approaches. The good news is that the difference is negligible at 2-3 doses, and that one dose of Sinovac more than halves severe cases & mortality in all groups save severe-60 (which is at 40%).

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Crosby B. Alfred posted:

After reading this article once more, is anyone surprised and could explain the tone? It almost seems as-if China is completely indifferent to the war itself and honestly doesn't care about the human suffering or trajectory of the Ukrainian people.

China has seen significant success from actively avoiding meddling in foreign affairs (beyond Taiwan and China related matters), so it's not really a surprise that they're not interested in taking a side. There's also the popular sentiment that it's better for the US to be preoccupied with multiple opposing powers than Just China (especially after the years of saber rattling against them):
https://twitter.com/LiuXininBeijing/status/1505043155682402306?s=20&t=vlmRtMpFtuGhKoFXMvWZkQ

Additionally, China has its own reasons to have a dim view of NATO (or at least, reasons it can use to cast shade):
https://twitter.com/HollyBlomberg/status/1504475156080517120?s=20&t=vlmRtMpFtuGhKoFXMvWZkQ

And third, the sanctions have put a strain on the Dollar as a reliable constant among major powers' economies; India and Russia are cozying up further with China, Saudi Arabia is flirting with allowing China to pay for oil in Yuan, and no doubt many unaligned nations are considering their western assets. It's likely better for them to foster these relationships & paint the actions against Russia as the US playing world police at the expense of multiple economies (which, if successful, provides the question "when will the US and its related systems blow up your economy?").

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

dr_rat posted:

You'd think the Chinese government would be trying to do a hell of at lot more, at the very least just to avoid a food riot.

China, in spite of what's said about it, isn't actually a hive-mind or ruled in unity; from what I've read Shanghai's officials were reluctant to bring quarantine and lockdowns to such a large city, and so tried to chase a wonkish 2-day quarantine & testing approach, which completely failed. Now that things are bad, and the main government has taken notice, they've jerked towards full lockdown with almost no prior preparation, to try to avoid being the city that killed Zero Covid & putting their heads on the chopping block.

They're scrambling to get services in place to take care of people, because they didn't bother planning any of this in the first place. A bit of arrogance on their part.

Shenzhen, by comparison, took COVID seriously from the start, and dropped from a mind-boggling 31 case week/avg to a nail-biting 9 case week/avg.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Smeef posted:

Something I've noticed is that the central government gets credit until there's a failure, and then it becomes the local government's fault. At some point, the central government is also accountable for outcomes at the local level. It's not like the central government has been detached from what's happening in its leading city, or if it has been, then it's neglectful. It's not like they get an annual report, and that's it. This observation isn't just about Covid but rather drat near everything.

The HK government has (rightly) been criticized for its handling of Covid in recent months, but everyone seems to have forgotten that the central government audited the strategy and systems in November of last year, gave it a good review, and was planning to reopen the border with HK weeks (days?) before it all went to hell.

For what it's worth, I agree; the main government should have been stricter with ensuring that their countermeasures would be sufficient, and that's on them. I also didn't intend for it to sound like the main government is swooping in to save the day; their obvious pressure on the local government to nip this outbreak in the bud or lose their jobs likely contributed to the plan-less hard lockdown, which is causing issues.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
It would probably be quite bad if Omicron received 1.4 billion new vectors for further mutation, so for the sake of self preservation-if nothing else-it would probably be in everyone's best interest to hope that the lockdowns succeed.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
IMO the best kind of democracies are the ones where the majority of people are unsatisfied, 2/3rds of the citizens do not trust their government, all competitive parties enter a gentleman's agreement not to pursue wildly popular policies (& public opinion on policy statistically has no effect on legislation), and every election is framed as an existential crisis.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
Personally, its probably a good thing that the SI are getting additional security from China, seeing as they failed to stop anti-chinese pogroms from happening prior.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Slow News Day posted:

Okay but the only way to prevent those deaths is for everyone to become a bunker-dwelling doomer. Does it surprise you that virtually no one wants to live like that?

I mean, deaths seemed pretty avoidable without maintaining infinite-lockdown, before airport regulations were loosened. Presumably that status can be achieved again, should COVID be successfully mitigated. Seeing as China had successfully eradicated COVID prior, I don't see it as unreasonable that they'd like to achieve it again.

"Infinite bunker mentality vs. Grandma Culling" might have a small nugget of reasonable concern, but "temporary lockdown vs. Grandma Culling" obviously does not.

I do agree that they need to increase vaccination rates for the elderly, but even at 100% vaccination breakthrough cases are significant enough that the scale of China would make those deaths unacceptable.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
Honestly, feel like general numbers show that old people are just really bad about willingly getting vaccinated. Not to say China can't do more of course, and TCM is a counterproductive blight.

Hopefully they're stricter about the elderly receiving vaccinations after the current wave has been resolved.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

ronya posted:

a set of translated Chinese takes on current events:

https://twitter.com/GeringTuvia/status/1524768280942153729

(bringing up the topic of blocking tanks unprompted seems a little on the nose, tbh)

Soviet literati often credited the 1957 World Youth Fair instead, allowed by a somewhat optimistic Khrushchev.

Seems like a pretty good read IMO, and I'm not just saying that because I've harped on US soft power before. You can get a lot of mileage out of controlling the global culture, flaunting your excess wealth, and funding a couple of Radio Free stations. Hard power has its limits, and even if the individuals have been sold on a fantasy & are impeding progress, it still looks bad to crack down on them, and can end up garnering them sympathy.

The USSR, for all its positive traits, was terrible at combatting this cultural assault, and as a result was trivial to pick apart after Yeltsin killed the union. It seems like China's a lot better in this regard, at both exporting its culture across Asia & Africa, and at selling its public on a communist vision. The increasingly ineffective hard controls are eventually going to cause more harm than they prevent, it's just a question of if China is secure enough against cultural threats to transition away from bans & comical censorship.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
From what I've read, his family was from mainland China, relocated to Taiwan as a result of the war (like 95% of Taiwan's modern population), then immigrated to California, after developing grievances with how he felt Taiwan had "treated" him. He then went however-long without shooting anybody (decades?) before snapping one year after his wife had left him and moved to-you guessed it-Taiwan.

So I wouldn't say that his grievances towards Taiwan were completely unrelated, but my gut says that his familial life rapidly unraveling had a greater impact.

https://www.npr.org/2022/05/17/1099586853/california-church-shooting-charged-taiwan

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Despera posted:

Ukraine was dependant on the russian economy untill it wasnt.

I mean, a cursory glance at several measurements (GDP, for example) suggest that depending on which occasion you're referencing Ukraine has either yet to recover economically (1991) or has only recently recovered via aggressive loaning (2014), and that's a country with land borders that Russia couldn't interfere with, and until the war relatively unrestricted access to its ports.

Taiwan has the disadvantage [in comparison to Ukraine] in terms of size, militarization, logistical connection to militant allies, and the ability to defend its supply lines. The reason for a lack of an offensive is less out of a tactical nor geopolitical fear (the global economy is tethered to China, whether it likes that or not), but for the reasons Ronya brought up; an occupation wouldn't accomplish much, they already have strong influence & benefits from Taiwan's economy, and it's far more prestigious/good for political narratives if the final anticommunist holdout in China finds itself compelled to integrate peacefully. However long that takes.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
The idea that you cant innovate/drag behind in innovation without strict IP protection is really funny. It not only flies in the face of the iterative nature of progress, how relatively new the idea of protecting IP globally is (only really gaining teeth in the late 1960's), but it's also shown to obviously not be true in a cultural setting for multiple countries be they open-source development in the US and Europe, Soviet art & innovations, doujin markets in Japan, or the total ownership of creative invention by employees by their employer. We also have plenty of examples of patent trolls retarding development and innovation, as well as a study on the impact of IP law on innovation against the backdrop of two Worlds Faire's, published in 2003 and revised for the last 19 years.

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply