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Ramrod Hotshot
May 30, 2003

tup

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Ramrod Hotshot
May 30, 2003

Mokelumne Trekka posted:

It's crazy how in 2012 polls would show Obama up just 1-2 points then he pulled off a bigger win than expected. now in 2020 Biden is up like 2-4 and we have to to assume he'll vastly underperform and Trump will do better

like Nate Silver has Ohio at 50/50 odds, which to me just means Trump will mostly certainly win that state

It's hard to square the polls with the level of enthusiasm for Trump, new Republican registered voters, etc. Plus incumbents usually do better than their polling indicates, Obama is a case in point

Ramrod Hotshot
May 30, 2003

TrixRabbi posted:

The fact that the electoral college even allows for a tie is absolutely insane.

this is why it must happen

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